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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $695M small-cap · #6 of 28 peers
Summary

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $695M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 28 Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TCBX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TCBX included.

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Price

TCBX price chart and AI forecast

TCBX
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How TCBX ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $695M $192M 6/28
P/E Ratio 9.35x 16.31x 19/21
P/B Ratio 1.04x 0.98x 11/28
EPS $3.91 – –
Book Value/Share $40.27 – –
Revenue/Share $13.75 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
ROE 11.1% 5.5% 5/27
ROA 1.1% 0.8% 6/27
Net Margin 32.5% 20.1% 5/27
EBT Margin 39.7% 23.9% 7/28
Tax Rate 18.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.04x 7.05x 10/31
Financial Leverage 10.04x 8.05x 10/31

Cash Flow

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $33M $18M 10/28
OCF Growth YoY -23.4% 39.6% 22/22

Operational Efficiency

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.04x 15/27
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.7x 3.9x 5/25

Income Statement

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $228M $41M 5/27
Net Income $74M $4M 3/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTCBXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 17M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$404M6.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.06B90.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TCBX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered): 31 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TCBX Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $695M 9.4x 1.0x
FLG Flagstar Bank, National Association ▶ $4.65B – 0.6x
BBT Beacon Financial Corp ▼ $2.29B – 1.9x
HFWA Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ ▲ $1.11B 14.2x 1.0x
NBBK Nb Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $974M 16.5x 1.2x
SMBC Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $776M 10.8x 2.3x
GCBC Greene County Bancorp Inc ▲ $586M 14.3x 2.1x
HBCP Home Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $518M 11.1x 1.1x
AVBC Avidia Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $441M – 1.1x
PBFS Pioneer Bancorp, Inc./Md ▲ $436M 125.3x 1.3x
NECB Northeast Community Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▲ $383M 9.0x 1.1x
TSBK Timberland Bancorp Inc ▲ $352M 11.2x 1.3x
FBLA Fb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▶ $272M – 1.0x
RBKB Rhinebeck Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $201M – 1.4x
ECBK Ecb Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $182M 15.9x 1.0x
SRBK Sr Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $151M 36.7x 0.8x
HYNE Hoyne Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $136M 647.5x 0.9x
WSBK Winchester Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▼ $120M 27.2x 1.0x
BSBK Bogota Financial Corp. ▲ $117M 45.2x 0.8x
FNWB First Northwest Bancorp ▲ $94M 62.8x 0.6x
FMFG Farmers & Merchants Bancshares, Inc. ▼ $61M 8.5x 0.9x
TCBS Texas Community Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $49M 14.7x 0.9x
MBBC Marathon Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▲ $44M 24.8x 0.9x
QNTO Quaint Oak Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $39M – 0.7x
PFSB Pfs Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $34M 19.8x 0.9x
URSB Ursb Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $30M – 0.8x
GOVB Gouverneur Bancorp, Inc./Md/ ▶ $23M 23.7x 0.7x
MSBB Mercer Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $23M 16.3x 0.9x
CULL Cullman Bancorp, Inc. /Md/ ▼ N/A – –
FBSI First Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ N/A – –
VWFB Vwf Bancorp, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where TCBX sits on the market map

Finance · Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered
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News

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) stock news

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FAQ

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. (TCBX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TCBX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. forecasts updated?

Third Coast Bancshares, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.'s industry peers?

31 issuers in our coverage, TCBX included, share the SEC industry code Savings Institutions, Not Federally Chartered. The largest are: Flagstar Bank, National Association (FLG), Beacon Financial Corp (BBT), Heritage Financial Corp /Wa/ (HFWA), Nb Bancorp, Inc. (NBBK), Southern Missouri Bancorp, Inc. (SMBC), Greene County Bancorp Inc (GCBC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.