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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $267M small-cap · #58 of 60 peers
Summary

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $267M. It ranks number 58 by market capitalization among the 60 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TMCI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TMCI included.

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Price

TMCI price chart and AI forecast

TMCI
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How TMCI ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $267M $1.43B 58/60
P/B Ratio 3.94x 4.84x 33/55
EPS $-0.89 – –
Book Value/Share $1.04 – –
Revenue/Share $3.16 – –
FCF/Share $-0.39 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
ROE -87.9% -11.6% 35/39
ROA -32.9% -6.5% 34/42
ROIC -38.5% -1.2% 47/54
Gross Margin 79.4% 66.4% 7/52
Operating Margin -26.2% -2.4% 40/53
Net Margin -29.0% -7.4% 28/41
EBT Margin -26.2% -1.2% 41/53

Financial Health

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.90x 3.99x 37/58
Quick Ratio 1.95x 2.56x 34/54
D/E Ratio 1.67x 0.56x 14/55
Financial Leverage 2.67x 1.56x 14/55
Interest Coverage -9.6x 0.1x 36/48
Working Capital $79M $219M 47/58

Cash Flow

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$15M $36M 40/54
Free Cash Flow -$25M $2M 35/48
Capital Spending -$10M -$16M 21/48
FCF/Sales -12.2% 0.5% 36/47
CapEx/Sales 5.1% 3.6% 10/47

Operational Efficiency

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.13x 0.72x 6/51
Receivables Turnover 7.2x 6.5x 15/50
Inventory Turnover 1.1x 2.0x 45/50
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.3x 6.4x 27/51
Days Sales Outstanding 51 days 56 days 36/50
Days Inventory 342 days 187 days 6/50
Payables Period 139 days 51 days 6/45
Cash Conversion Cycle 254 days 192 days 9/41

Income Statement

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $205M $612M 38/51
Operating Income -$53M -$6M 42/54
Net Income -$59M -$24M 29/42
R&D Expense $18M $61M 42/52
SG&A Expense $258M $319M 28/53
Cost of Goods Sold $42M $156M 42/52

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTMCIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 65M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$120M66.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$13M7.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$29M15.9% of assets
Inventory$40M21.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$113M62.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$25M14.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TMCI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. ▲ $267M – 3.9x
SYK Stryker Corp ▼ $108.38B 29.1x 4.5x
MMM 3m Co ▼ $83.94B 28.0x 28.4x
BSX Boston Scientific Corp ▼ $62.77B 17.1x 2.5x
BDX Becton Dickinson & Co ▼ $51.04B 54.2x 2.1x
MDLN Medline Inc. ▶ $46.94B – 4.1x
RMD Resmed Inc ▼ $33.91B 22.3x 5.2x
DXCM Dexcom Inc ▶ $32.42B 32.4x 12.4x
WST West Pharmaceutical Services Inc ▼ $25.87B 45.8x 8.7x
SOLV Solventum Corp ▼ $14.69B 10.2x 3.1x
BAX Baxter International Inc ▶ $12.87B – 2.1x
PEN Penumbra Inc ▼ $12.61B 78.5x 8.2x
GMED Globus Medical Inc ▼ $10.25B 19.1x 5.2x
GKOS Glaukos Corp ▲ $9.76B – 14.3x
PODD Insulet Corp ▼ $9.58B 25.5x 6.7x
STVN Stevanato Group S.P.A. ▲ $5.83B – –
HAE Haemonetics Corp ▼ $5.54B 57.5x 6.6x
TFX Teleflex Inc ▼ $5.27B – 1.8x
MMSI Merit Medical Systems Inc ▼ $5.26B 36.2x 3.1x
MMED Minimed Group, Inc. ▶ $5.18B – 1.4x
HTFL Heartflow, Inc. ▲ $4.38B – 15.6x
ICUI Icu Medical Inc/De ▼ $4.08B – 1.9x
IRTC Irhythm Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.55B – 19.1x
PLSE Pulse Biosciences, Inc. ▲ $3.46B – 34.8x
ATRC Atricure, Inc. ▶ $2.89B – 5.6x
UFPT Ufp Technologies Inc ▶ $2.29B 31.7x 5.0x
INSP Inspire Medical Systems, Inc. ▶ $1.99B 14.7x 2.4x
LMAT Lemaitre Vascular Inc ▲ $1.86B 28.4x 4.4x
ATEC Alphatec Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.67B – –
NVCR Novocure Ltd ▲ $1.67B – 4.9x
KMTS Kestra Medical Technologies, Ltd. ▲ $1.61B – 7.2x
DRTS Alpha Tau Medical Ltd. ▲ $1.26B – 16.3x
TNDM Tandem Diabetes Care Inc ▶ $1.16B – 8.9x
IRMD Iradimed Corp ▲ $1.15B 49.7x 11.3x
BVS Bioventus Inc. ▶ $1.14B 20.9x 5.0x
PRCT Procept Biorobotics Corp ▲ $1.09B – 3.2x
IART Integra Lifesciences Holdings Corp ▼ $1.08B – 1.0x
AORT Artivion, Inc. ▲ $1.04B – 2.3x
SIBN Si-Bone, Inc. ▲ $882M – 4.8x
SGP Spyglass Pharma, Inc. ▲ $800M – 3.4x
BBNX Beta Bionics, Inc. ▲ $796M – 3.1x
MDXG Mimedx Group, Inc. ▲ $684M – 3.2x
KIDS Orthopediatrics Corp ▶ $573M – 1.7x
SSII Ss Innovations International, Inc. ▲ $511M – 9.6x
TCMD Tactile Systems Technology Inc ▶ $505M 20.3x 2.3x
SGHT Sight Sciences, Inc. ▲ $494M – 9.3x
BWAY Brainsway Ltd. ▲ $467M – –
CERS Cerus Corp ▲ $455M – 6.5x
ANGO Angiodynamics Inc ▲ $451M – 2.8x
NPCE Neuropace Inc ▶ $435M – 36.6x
RCEL Avita Medical, Inc. ▲ $413M – –
CARL Carlsmed, Inc. ▲ $395M – 4.7x
OFIX Orthofix Medical Inc. ▼ $377M – 0.9x
EMBC Embecta Corp. ▲ $351M 4.0x –
OBIO Orchestra Biomed Holdings, Inc. ▲ $344M – 17.8x
CLPT Clearpoint Neuro, Inc. ▲ $299M – 27.8x
MOBI Mobia Medical, Inc. ▲ $283M – 1.6x
ANIK Anika Therapeutics, Inc. ▲ $275M – 2.0x
OSUR Orasure Technologies Inc ▲ $263M – 0.8x
PROF Profound Medical Corp. ▲ $256M – 5.1x

Where TMCI sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus
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News

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) stock news

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FAQ

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (TMCI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TMCI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. forecasts updated?

Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Treace Medical Concepts, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TMCI included, share the SEC industry code Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus. The largest are: Stryker Corp (SYK), 3m Co (MMM), Boston Scientific Corp (BSX), Becton Dickinson & Co (BDX), Medline Inc. (MDLN), Resmed Inc (RMD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.