Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) Stock Forecast Oct. 7, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 7, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.44B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 12 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 6.41x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one. Its D/E Ratio of 30.61x is the highest of the 8 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ULCC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-07 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ULCC included.
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How ULCC ranks among 5375 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.44B | 10/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.41x | 1/8 |
| EPS | $-1.59 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.98 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $16.55 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-2.04 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -164.9% | 6/6 |
| ROA | -5.2% | 6/7 |
| ROIC | -8.1% | 8/8 |
| Operating Margin | -10.2% | 8/8 |
| Net Margin | -9.6% | 6/6 |
| EBT Margin | -9.9% | 8/8 |
| Tax Rate | 2.4% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49x | 7/9 |
| D/E Ratio | 30.61x | 1/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 31.61x | 1/8 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.4x | 7/8 |
| Working Capital | -$1.14B | 4/9 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$399M | 8/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$468M | 6/6 |
| Capital Spending | -$69M | 1/6 |
| FCF/Sales | -12.3% | 6/6 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.8% | 6/6 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.54x | 8/8 |
| Receivables Turnover | 32.2x | 2/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.8x | 1/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 11 days | 6/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $3.80B | 6/8 |
| Operating Income | -$386M | 8/8 |
| Net Income | -$366M | 7/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ULCC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 230M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.10B | 15.6% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $772M | 11.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $118M | 1.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $6.79B | 96.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $2.12B | 30.2% of assets |
ULCC quarterly financials and insider trading
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $1.44B |
| LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. | ▶ | $29.99T |
| RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc | ▼ | $58.32B |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | ▲ | $55.02B |
| UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $36.31B |
| LUV Southwest Airlines Co | ▶ | $20.77B |
| AAL American Airlines Group Inc. | ▲ | $8.61B |
| CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. | ▼ | $5.69B |
| ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. | ▶ | $4.45B |
| ALGT Allegiant Travel Co | ▶ | $2.12B |
| RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $824M |
| FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. | ▶ | $90M |
Where ULCC sits on the market map
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock news
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Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ULCC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 7, 2026.
Which companies are Frontier Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, ULCC included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.