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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-04

Valneva Se (VALN) Stock Forecast Nov. 4, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 4, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -4.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $551M small-cap · #59 of 60 peers
Summary

Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Valneva Se every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Valneva Se is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $551M. It ranks number 59 by market capitalization among the 60 Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-08-06 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-10-05. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.7%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VALN included.

Price

VALN price chart and AI forecast

VALN
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How VALN ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Valneva Se (VALN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances) peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in EUR and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $551M $2.40B 59/60
EPS $-1.43 – –
Revenue/Share $5.08 – –
FCF/Share $-1.27 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
ROIC -52.0% -30.2% 41/52
Gross Margin 44.6% 72.4% 22/24
Operating Margin -35.4% -35.4% 21/41
EBT Margin -45.6% -45.6% 22/43
Tax Rate -2.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.38x 5.23x 49/59
Quick Ratio 1.85x 3.33x 25/30
D/E Ratio 2.76x 0.39x 7/52
Financial Leverage 3.76x 1.40x 7/51
Working Capital $152M $440M 51/58

Cash Flow

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$114M -$141M 26/56
Free Cash Flow -$127M -$127M 25/49
Capital Spending -$13M -$6M 34/49
FCF/Sales -25.0% -6.3% 19/32
CapEx/Sales 2.6% 3.0% 19/32

Operational Efficiency

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.12x 0.38x 4/37
Receivables Turnover 16.1x 5.6x 3/23
Inventory Turnover 5.0x 2.7x 5/23
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.8x 3.9x 21/38
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days 65 days 21/23
Days Inventory 74 days 134 days 19/23
Payables Period 36 days 69 days 20/26
Cash Conversion Cycle 60 days 83 days 11/18

Income Statement

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $508M $405M 15/38
Operating Income -$180M -$180M 27/53
R&D Expense $218M $207M 25/55
Cost of Goods Sold $281M $163M 12/27

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVALNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 100M – –
EPS Growth -270.3% 11.5% 14/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from EUR)

Total Current Assets$261M
Cash & Short-term Investments$129M
Accounts Receivable$33M
Inventory$59M
Total Liabilities$344M
Short-term Debt$81M
Quarterly Financial Reports

VALN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Valneva Se (VALN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Valneva Se (Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VALN Valneva Se $551M – –
AMGN Amgen Inc $248.84B 26.7x 17.3x
GILD Gilead Sciences, Inc. $207.84B – 15.9x
MRNA Moderna, Inc. $96.40B – 14.3x
ARGX Argenx Se $55.37B 23.5x –
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. $42.80B – 17.8x
BIIB Biogen Inc. $36.06B 105.1x 1.9x
BNTX Biontech Se $21.71B 2.2x –
EXEL Exelixis, Inc. $16.77B 24.7x 9.1x
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences Inc $16.24B 23.4x 4.2x
HALO Halozyme Therapeutics, Inc. $13.96B 24.9x –
TECH Bio-Techne Corp $11.41B 62.6x 5.4x
QGEN Qiagen N.V. $11.03B 36.1x 2.9x
KYMR Kymera Therapeutics, Inc. $10.94B – 6.8x
RGEN Repligen Corp $10.77B – 5.2x
PCVX Vaxcyte, Inc. $9.21B – 3.7x
KRYS Krystal Biotech, Inc. $8.90B 40.8x 6.2x
IBRX Immunitybio, Inc. $8.49B – –
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp $7.56B – 17.0x
IMVT Immunovant, Inc. $5.86B – 8.0x
CGON Cg Oncology, Inc. $5.74B – 5.6x
KOD Kodiak Sciences Inc. $5.72B – 93.6x
SRRK Scholar Rock Holding Corp $5.54B – 21.8x
CRSP Crispr Therapeutics Ag $4.70B – 2.9x
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp $4.28B – 24.3x
RLAY Relay Therapeutics, Inc. $3.95B – 4.8x
IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. $3.51B – 4.3x
TARS Tarsus Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $3.33B – 32.0x
DNLI Denali Therapeutics Inc. $3.15B – 3.4x
ADMA Adma Biologics, Inc. $2.96B 19.7x 6.8x
BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc. $2.67B 369.6x 2.8x
COAG Hemab Therapeutics Holdings, Inc. $2.13B – 4.7x
VCEL Vericel Corp $2.10B 83.9x 5.5x
LIFE Atyr Pharma Inc $2.08B – 42.7x
RXRX Recursion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. $2.08B – 2.3x
REPL Replimune Group, Inc. $1.96B – 9.6x
BCRX Biocryst Pharmaceuticals Inc $1.95B – –
VIR Vir Biotechnology, Inc. $1.86B – 2.1x
MAZE Maze Therapeutics, Inc. $1.81B – 4.0x
MESO Mesoblast Ltd $1.81B – –
ALVO Alvotech $1.62B – –
NVAX Novavax Inc $1.61B 108.7x –
IMCR Immunocore Holdings Plc $1.46B – 3.5x
TSHA Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. $1.33B – 3.4x
VOR Vor Biopharma Inc. $1.15B – –
CGEM Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. $1.01B – 3.1x
ODTX Odyssey Therapeutics, Inc. $907M – 2.4x
GLUE Monte Rosa Therapeutics, Inc. $874M – 1.8x
IMTX Immatics N.V. $829M – –
MGTX Meiragtx Holdings Plc $817M 11.1x 3.8x
PRME Prime Medicine, Inc. $799M – 20.1x
SANA Sana Biotechnology, Inc. $700M – 3.9x
SLDB Solid Biosciences Inc. $699M – 2.0x
SLBT Sl Science Holding Ltd $679M – –
DNA Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. $671M – 1.6x
AURA Aura Biosciences, Inc. $657M – 2.1x
FDMT 4d Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. $621M – 1.5x
DBVT Dbv Technologies S.A. $616M – 3.7x
CADL Candel Therapeutics, Inc. $615M – 4.9x
ENTX Entera Bio Ltd. $518M 9.1x 71.3x

Where VALN sits on the market map

Life Sciences · Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
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News

Valneva Se (VALN) stock news

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FAQ

Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Valneva Se (VALN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Valneva Se every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Valneva Se stock predictions?

For VALN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -4.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-08-06 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-17 and 2026-10-05. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Valneva Se forecasts updated?

Valneva Se forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 4, 2026.

Which companies are Valneva Se's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, VALN included, share the SEC industry code Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances). The largest are: Amgen Inc (AMGN), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (GILD), Moderna, Inc. (MRNA), Argenx Se (ARGX), Revolution Medicines, Inc. (RVMD), Biogen Inc. (BIIB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.