VNCE trades at a discount despite 320% rally in a year: What's next?
Vince Holding Corp. VNCE has been benefiting from strong demand across its direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels, ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
Total
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$152M
small-cap · #4 of 6 peers
Summary
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, VNCE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Vince Holding Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $152M. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VNCE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
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VNCE price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How VNCE ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $152M | 4/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.59x | 2/5 |
| EPS | $0.36 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $4.54 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $24.31 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.62 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 8.5% | 2/7 |
| Gross Margin | 52.4% | 1/7 |
| Operating Margin | 4.3% | 1/7 |
| EBT Margin | 4.1% | 1/7 |
| Tax Rate | 40.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.49x | 3/7 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.46x | 4/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.89x | 4/6 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.89x | 4/6 |
| Interest Coverage | 19.1x | 3/7 |
| Working Capital | $35M | 3/7 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $23M | 4/8 |
| Free Cash Flow | $21M | – |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | – |
| OCF Growth YoY | 67.5% | – |
| FCF Growth YoY | 190.5% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 6.7% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.6% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.37x | – |
| Receivables Turnover | 11.6x | – |
| Inventory Turnover | 2.0x | 6/7 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 39.6x | – |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 32 days | – |
| Days Inventory | 179 days | 2/7 |
| Payables Period | 82 days | 2/6 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 128 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $314M | – |
| Operating Income | $13M | 3/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $152M | 6/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $149M | 6/7 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | VNCE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 13M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $106M | 46.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1M | 0.4% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $27M | 11.9% of assets |
| Inventory | $73M | 32.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $170M | 74.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $38M | 16.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
VNCE quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vince Holding Corp. (Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Trade & Services · Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores
News
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) stock news
Vince Holding's DTC Comps Jump 18.4%: Can Demand Remain Strong?
Vince Holding Corp. VNCE continues to witness strong customer demand, supported by healthy full-price selling and favorable responses to seasonal collections. In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, ...
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
Vince Holding (VNCE) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +277.78% and +0.97%, respectively, for the quarter ended ...
FAQ
Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, VNCE is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Vince Holding Corp. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for VNCE is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vince Holding Corp. forecasts updated?
Vince Holding Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Vince Holding Corp.'s industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, VNCE included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Apparel & Accessory Stores. The largest are: Citi Trends Inc (CTRN), Torrid Holdings Inc. (CURV), Zumiez Inc (ZUMZ), Duluth Holdings Inc. (DLTH), Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS), Digital Brands Group, Inc. (DBGI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.