Aaon, Inc. (AAON) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, AAON is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Aaon, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.11B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAON is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How AAON ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Aaon, Inc. (AAON) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $7.11B | 4/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 44.62x | – |
| P/B Ratio | 7.03x | 2/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.46% | – |
| EPS | $1.78 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $12.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $23.44 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 15.8% | 3/7 |
| ROA | 8.6% | 3/8 |
| ROIC | 13.9% | 2/5 |
| Gross Margin | 25.6% | – |
| Operating Margin | 11.1% | – |
| Net Margin | 8.2% | 3/5 |
| EBT Margin | 9.9% | 3/5 |
| Tax Rate | 16.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.01x | 2/6 |
| Quick Ratio | 2.01x | 1/5 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.84x | 4/7 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.84x | 4/7 |
| Working Capital | $665M | 2/6 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $87M | 4/7 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 157.7% | 1/5 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.04x | 2/5 |
| Receivables Turnover | 5.4x | 4/5 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.3x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.8x | 5/5 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 68 days | 2/5 |
| Days Inventory | 84 days | – |
| Payables Period | 44 days | – |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 109 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.93B | 4/5 |
| Operating Income | $213M | 3/5 |
| Net Income | $159M | 4/8 |
| SG&A Expense | $281M | 4/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $1.44B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AAON | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.40 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 22.5% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 82M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $995M | 53.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $10K | 0.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $361M | 19.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $331M | 17.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $853M | 45.8% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $159M | 8.5% of assets |
AAON quarterly financials and insider trading
Aaon, Inc. (AAON) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aaon, Inc. (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AAON Aaon, Inc. | ▶ | $7.11B |
| JCI Johnson Controls International Plc | ▼ | $95.46B |
| CARR Carrier Global Corp | ▼ | $45.71B |
| LII Lennox International Inc | ▼ | $12.18B |
| TGEN Tecogen Inc. | ▲ | $69M |
| QWTR Quest Water Global, Inc. | ▼ | $4M |
| AIRJ Airjoule Technologies Corp. | ▲ | N/A |
| SHGI Sparx Holdings Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AAON sits on the market map
Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock news
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Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, AAON is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Aaon, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAON is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Aaon, Inc. forecasts updated?
Aaon, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Aaon, Inc.'s industry peers?
8 issuers in our coverage, AAON included, share the SEC industry code Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip. The largest are: Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI), Carrier Global Corp (CARR), Lennox International Inc (LII), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN), Quest Water Global, Inc. (QWTR), Airjoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.