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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $45.71B large-cap · #2 of 6 peers
Summary

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Carrier Global Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Carrier Global Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $45.71B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 6 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CARR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, CARR included.

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Price

CARR price chart and AI forecast

CARR
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How CARR ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $45.71B $9.65B 2/6
P/E Ratio 35.04x – –
P/B Ratio 3.41x 6.72x 5/5
Dividend Yield 1.69% – –
EPS $1.53 – –
Book Value/Share $16.13 – –
Revenue/Share $26.33 – –
FCF/Share $2.03 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
ROE 9.7% 9.7% 4/7
ROA 3.5% -12.1% 4/8
ROIC 6.3% 6.3% 3/5
Operating Margin 8.2% – –
Net Margin 6.0% 8.2% 4/5
EBT Margin 6.5% 9.9% 4/5
Tax Rate 2.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.05x 2.25x 5/6
Quick Ratio 0.75x 0.85x 4/5
D/E Ratio 1.74x 0.84x 3/7
Financial Leverage 2.76x 1.84x 3/7
Interest Coverage 0.2x – –
Working Capital $433M $410M 3/6

Cash Flow

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2.11B $87M 1/7
Free Cash Flow $1.69B $661M 1/5
Capital Spending -$423M -$149M 5/5
OCF Growth YoY 109.6% -13.2% 2/5
FCF Growth YoY 219.3% – –
FCF/Sales 7.7% – –
CapEx/Sales 1.9% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.59x 0.78x 5/5
Receivables Turnover 7.0x 5.8x 2/5
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.0x 7.0x 3/5
Days Sales Outstanding 52 days 62 days 4/5

Income Statement

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $21.87B $5.26B 2/5
Operating Income $1.80B $213M 1/5
Net Income $1.31B $80M 2/8
R&D Expense $615M – –
SG&A Expense $3.22B $488M 2/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCARRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.93 – –
Payout Ratio 60.8% – –
Shares Outstanding 831M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$9.02B24.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.37B3.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$3.13B8.4% of assets
Inventory$2.58B6.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$23.39B62.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$5.61B15.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CARR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Carrier Global Corp (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CARR Carrier Global Corp ▼ $45.71B 35.0x 3.4x
JCI Johnson Controls International Plc ▼ $95.46B 25.7x 6.7x
LII Lennox International Inc ▼ $12.18B 15.8x 10.4x
AAON Aaon, Inc. ▶ $7.11B 44.6x 7.0x
TGEN Tecogen Inc. ▲ $69M – 3.9x
QWTR Quest Water Global, Inc. ▼ $4M – –
AIRJ Airjoule Technologies Corp. ▲ N/A – –
SHGI Sparx Holdings Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where CARR sits on the market map

Technology · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
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News

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock news

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FAQ

Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Carrier Global Corp (CARR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Carrier Global Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Carrier Global Corp stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for CARR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Carrier Global Corp forecasts updated?

Carrier Global Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Carrier Global Corp's industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, CARR included, share the SEC industry code Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip. The largest are: Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI), Lennox International Inc (LII), Aaon, Inc. (AAON), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN), Quest Water Global, Inc. (QWTR), Airjoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.