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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4009 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $7.11B mid-cap · #4 of 6 peers
Summary

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Aaon, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Aaon, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $7.11B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAON is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AAON included.

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Price

AAON price chart and AI forecast

AAON
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How AAON ranks among 4009 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $7.11B $9.65B 4/6
P/E Ratio 44.62x – –
P/B Ratio 7.03x 6.72x 2/5
Dividend Yield 0.46% – –
EPS $1.78 – –
Book Value/Share $12.25 – –
Revenue/Share $23.44 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
ROE 15.8% 9.7% 3/7
ROA 8.6% -12.1% 3/8
ROIC 13.9% 6.3% 2/5
Gross Margin 25.6% – –
Operating Margin 11.1% – –
Net Margin 8.2% 8.2% 3/5
EBT Margin 9.9% 9.9% 3/5
Tax Rate 16.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 3.01x 2.25x 2/6
Quick Ratio 2.01x 0.85x 1/5
D/E Ratio 0.84x 0.84x 4/7
Financial Leverage 1.84x 1.84x 4/7
Working Capital $665M $410M 2/6

Cash Flow

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $87M $87M 4/7
OCF Growth YoY 157.7% -13.2% 1/5

Operational Efficiency

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.04x 0.78x 2/5
Receivables Turnover 5.4x 5.8x 4/5
Inventory Turnover 4.3x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.8x 7.0x 5/5
Days Sales Outstanding 68 days 62 days 2/5
Days Inventory 84 days – –
Payables Period 44 days – –
Cash Conversion Cycle 109 days – –

Income Statement

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.93B $5.26B 4/5
Operating Income $213M $213M 3/5
Net Income $159M $80M 4/8
SG&A Expense $281M $488M 4/6
Cost of Goods Sold $1.44B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAAONIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.40 – –
Payout Ratio 22.5% – –
Shares Outstanding 82M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$995M53.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$10K0.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$361M19.4% of assets
Inventory$331M17.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$853M45.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$159M8.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AAON quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Aaon, Inc. (Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip): 8 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AAON Aaon, Inc. ▲ $7.11B 44.6x 7.0x
JCI Johnson Controls International Plc ▼ $95.46B 25.7x 6.7x
CARR Carrier Global Corp ▶ $45.71B 35.0x 3.4x
LII Lennox International Inc ▼ $12.18B 15.8x 10.4x
TGEN Tecogen Inc. ▲ $69M – 3.9x
QWTR Quest Water Global, Inc. ▶ $4M – –
AIRJ Airjoule Technologies Corp. ▲ N/A – –
SHGI Sparx Holdings Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where AAON sits on the market map

Technology · Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip
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News

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock news

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FAQ

Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Aaon, Inc. (AAON) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Aaon, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Aaon, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AAON is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Aaon, Inc. forecasts updated?

Aaon, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Aaon, Inc.'s industry peers?

8 issuers in our coverage, AAON included, share the SEC industry code Air-Cond & Warm Air Heatg Equip & Comm & Indl Refrig Equip. The largest are: Johnson Controls International Plc (JCI), Carrier Global Corp (CARR), Lennox International Inc (LII), Tecogen Inc. (TGEN), Quest Water Global, Inc. (QWTR), Airjoule Technologies Corp. (AIRJ).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.