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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.48B small-cap · #32 of 60 peers
Summary

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.48B. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AESI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AESI included.

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Price

AESI price chart and AI forecast

AESI
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How AESI ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.48B $1.75B 32/60
P/B Ratio 1.33x 1.48x 28/43
EPS $-0.57 – –
Book Value/Share $8.90 – –
Revenue/Share $8.54 – –
FCF/Share $-1.47 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
ROIC -3.9% 5.6% 29/39
Gross Margin 23.4% 83.7% 16/17
Operating Margin -8.3% 13.8% 28/37
EBT Margin -14.8% 10.8% 31/41
Tax Rate 25.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.82x 0.92x 9/47
Quick Ratio 1.78x 0.76x 1/19
D/E Ratio 1.30x 0.83x 14/43
Financial Leverage 2.30x 1.85x 14/43
Interest Coverage 1.4x 7.5x 36/41
Working Capital $216M -$8M 7/47

Cash Flow

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $55M $326M 37/47
Free Cash Flow -$184M $412M 10/11
Capital Spending -$239M -$486M 4/11
OCF Growth YoY -77.0% 12.2% 39/41
FCF/Sales -17.2% 20.2% 10/11
CapEx/Sales 22.4% 22.4% 7/11

Operational Efficiency

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.42x 0.37x 16/43
Receivables Turnover 4.9x 7.7x 33/39
Inventory Turnover 65.4x 3.6x 1/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.7x 0.5x 11/34
Days Sales Outstanding 74 days 48 days 7/39
Days Inventory 6 days 95 days 7/7
Payables Period 38 days 337 days 13/15
Cash Conversion Cycle 42 days 42 days 3/5

Income Statement

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.07B $1.15B 23/43
Operating Income -$88M $81M 36/40
SG&A Expense $145M $299M 5/7
Cost of Goods Sold $818M $452M 7/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAESIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 125M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$479M18.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$168M6.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$218M8.5% of assets
Inventory$13M0.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.44B56.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$178M7.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AESI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.48B – 1.3x
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $720.36B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $196.28B – –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $189.78B – –
E Eni Spa ▼ $180.78B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $108.53B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $80.34B 11.7x 2.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $61.83B – –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▶ $61.63B 8.5x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▶ $55.50B 38.5x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▶ $55.23B – 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $44.11B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▶ $34.05B 12.6x 2.3x
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.32B – 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $18.37B 20.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▶ $16.82B 10.0x 2.4x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.54B 10.7x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.93B 11.5x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.17B 9.2x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.01B 9.5x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▶ $6.92B 9.6x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▲ $5.95B 14.0x 2.8x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▼ $5.60B 19.0x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▼ $5.23B 5.5x 1.1x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.50B 5.3x 15.4x
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▶ $2.97B 6.0x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.93B – 2.5x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▼ $2.81B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▶ $2.67B – 1.2x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.87B – –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▲ $1.85B – –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.66B – 3.1x
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▲ $1.48B 17.0x –
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.05B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▲ $1.02B – 1.2x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▼ $881M – 2.2x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▶ $850M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $838M – 2.1x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▲ $808M – –
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $792M – –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▼ $747M – 1.2x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $695M – 1.8x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▲ $671M – 1.2x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $658M – 1.7x
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▲ $612M – –
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $578M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▲ $532M 6.4x 1.0x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $457M – 3.3x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $376M – 2.8x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▲ $354M – 0.5x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp ▼ $347M – 1.6x
KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. ▶ $231M – –
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. ▶ $191M – 0.4x
EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. ▲ $182M – 1.4x
PED Pedevco Corp ▲ $176M – 0.9x
EP Empire Petroleum Corp ▲ $137M – 18.8x
EPM Evolution Petroleum Corp ▶ $135M – 2.1x
INDO Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd ▼ $42M – –
AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group, Inc. ▼ $40M – 1.4x
RSRV Reserve Petroleum Co ▶ $34M 6.3x 1.0x

Where AESI sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock news

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FAQ

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AESI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. forecasts updated?

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, AESI included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Eni Spa (E), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.