Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.50B. It ranks number 24 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 5.25x is the lowest of the 19 peers that report one. Its Gross Margin of 2.4% is the lowest of the 17 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PARR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PARR included.
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How PARR ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.50B | 24/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 5.25x | 19/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 15.41x | 2/43 |
| EPS | $16.44 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $5.83 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $135.63 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.23 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -195.3% | 39/39 |
| Gross Margin | 2.4% | 17/17 |
| Operating Margin | 19.9% | 14/37 |
| EBT Margin | 19.0% | 15/41 |
| Tax Rate | 23.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.84x | 8/47 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.76x | 10/19 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.54x | 11/43 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.54x | 12/43 |
| Interest Coverage | 68.7x | 5/41 |
| Working Capital | $1.12B | 3/47 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $555M | 22/47 |
| Free Cash Flow | $412M | 6/11 |
| Capital Spending | -$143M | 3/11 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 184.3% | 1/41 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 1268.7% | 1/8 |
| FCF/Sales | 6.1% | 7/11 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.1% | 11/11 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 9.17x | 1/43 |
| Receivables Turnover | 13.2x | 7/39 |
| Inventory Turnover | 4.6x | 3/8 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.6x | 5/34 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 28 days | 33/39 |
| Days Inventory | 79 days | 5/7 |
| Payables Period | 30 days | 14/15 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 77 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $6.79B | 7/43 |
| Operating Income | $1.16B | 11/40 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $6.63B | 2/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PARR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 50M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $2.45B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $185M | 25.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $514M | 69.4% of assets |
| Inventory | $1.44B | |
| Total Liabilities | $449M | 60.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $794M |
PARR quarterly financials and insider trading
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.50B |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $720.36B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $196.28B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $189.78B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $180.78B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $108.53B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $80.34B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $61.83B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▶ | $61.63B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $55.50B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▶ | $55.23B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.11B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▶ | $34.05B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $20.32B |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▼ | $18.37B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $16.82B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.54B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▶ | $9.93B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▼ | $9.17B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.01B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▼ | $6.92B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▲ | $5.95B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▼ | $5.60B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▼ | $5.23B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▶ | $2.97B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.93B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▼ | $2.81B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▶ | $2.67B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▶ | $1.87B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▲ | $1.85B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.48B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▲ | $1.48B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▲ | $1.02B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▼ | $881M |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▶ | $850M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▲ | $838M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▲ | $796M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $792M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▼ | $747M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $695M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $671M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $658M |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▲ | $612M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $578M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▲ | $532M |
| NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. | ▶ | $457M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $376M |
| REI Ring Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $354M |
| PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp | ▼ | $347M |
| KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | ▶ | $231M |
| AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. | ▶ | $191M |
| EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $182M |
| PED Pedevco Corp | ▲ | $176M |
| EP Empire Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $135M |
| EPM Evolution Petroleum Corp | ▶ | $135M |
| INDO Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd | ▼ | $42M |
| AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group, Inc. | ▼ | $40M |
| RSRV Reserve Petroleum Co | ▶ | $34M |
Where PARR sits on the market map
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock news
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Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. (PARR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PARR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Par Pacific Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, PARR included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Eni Spa (E), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.