Evolution Petroleum Corp's Dividend Analysis
This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) recently announced a total dividend of $0.12 per share, with the ex-dividend date set for Sept. 21, 2026. This payout consists ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$135M
small-cap · #57 of 60 peers
Summary
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 13, 2026, EPM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
Evolution Petroleum Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $135M. It ranks number 57 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Dividend Yield of 13.27% is the highest of the 22 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EPM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EPM included.
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EPM price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How EPM ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $135M | 57/60 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.11x | 13/43 |
| Dividend Yield | 13.27% | 1/22 |
| EPS | $-0.08 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.78 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.41 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -4.0% | 20/26 |
| ROA | -1.4% | 19/28 |
| ROIC | 2.4% | 23/39 |
| Gross Margin | 41.7% | 14/17 |
| Operating Margin | 4.0% | 25/37 |
| Net Margin | -2.8% | 18/26 |
| EBT Margin | -3.6% | 24/41 |
| Tax Rate | 22.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.92x | 24/47 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.79x | 8/43 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.79x | 8/43 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.9x | 37/41 |
| Working Capital | -$2M | 23/47 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $24M | 40/47 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -28.9% | 36/41 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.51x | 8/43 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.6x | 15/39 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 43 days | 25/39 |
| Payables Period | 100 days | 11/15 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $86M | 38/43 |
| Operating Income | $3M | 28/40 |
| Net Income | -$2M | 19/28 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $50M | 15/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EPM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.50 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $21M | 11.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $6M | 3.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $10M | 5.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $108M | 62.9% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $9M | 5.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
EPM quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Evolution Petroleum Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EPM Evolution Petroleum Corp | ▶ | $135M |
| EC Ecopetrol S.A. | ▶ | $720.36B |
| TTE Totalenergies Se | ▼ | $196.28B |
| PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa | ▶ | $189.78B |
| E Eni Spa | ▼ | $180.78B |
| CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd | ▼ | $108.53B |
| EOG Eog Resources Inc | ▶ | $80.34B |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | ▶ | $61.83B |
| OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ | ▶ | $61.63B |
| FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. | ▶ | $55.50B |
| DVN Devon Energy Corp/De | ▶ | $55.23B |
| WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd | ▼ | $44.11B |
| EQT Eqt Corp | ▶ | $34.05B |
| PR Permian Resources Corp | ▶ | $20.32B |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | ▼ | $18.37B |
| APA Apa Corp | ▼ | $16.82B |
| AR Antero Resources Corp | ▼ | $11.54B |
| RRC Range Resources Corp | ▶ | $9.93B |
| SM Sm Energy Co | ▼ | $9.17B |
| CHRD Chord Energy Corp | ▶ | $8.01B |
| MTDR Matador Resources Co | ▼ | $6.92B |
| MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp | ▲ | $5.95B |
| MUR Murphy Oil Corp | ▼ | $5.60B |
| CNX Cnx Resources Corp | ▼ | $5.23B |
| PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.50B |
| GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp | ▶ | $2.97B |
| TALO Talos Energy Inc. | ▶ | $2.93B |
| NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. | ▼ | $2.81B |
| BKV Bkv Corp | ▶ | $2.67B |
| VET Vermilion Energy Inc. | ▶ | $1.87B |
| MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp | ▲ | $1.85B |
| KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | ▲ | $1.48B |
| DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. | ▲ | $1.48B |
| DEC Diversified Energy Co | ▶ | $1.05B |
| TBN Tamboran Resources Corp | ▲ | $1.02B |
| INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. | ▼ | $881M |
| GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. | ▶ | $850M |
| TTI Tetra Technologies Inc | ▲ | $838M |
| TXO Txo Partners, L.P. | ▲ | $796M |
| OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $792M |
| VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. | ▼ | $747M |
| SOC Sable Offshore Corp. | ▼ | $695M |
| GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $671M |
| EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ | ▲ | $658M |
| GPRK Geopark Ltd | ▲ | $612M |
| WTI W&T Offshore Inc | ▲ | $578M |
| SD Sandridge Energy Inc | ▲ | $532M |
| NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. | ▶ | $457M |
| GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. | ▶ | $376M |
| REI Ring Energy, Inc. | ▲ | $354M |
| PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp | ▼ | $347M |
| KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. | ▶ | $231M |
| AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. | ▶ | $191M |
| EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. | ▲ | $182M |
| PED Pedevco Corp | ▲ | $176M |
| EP Empire Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $137M |
| INDO Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd | ▼ | $42M |
| AGIG Abundia Global Impact Group, Inc. | ▼ | $40M |
| RSRV Reserve Petroleum Co | ▶ | $34M |
Where EPM sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
News
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) stock news
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strategic Acquisitions and ...
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Evolution Petroleum: Fiscal Q4 Earnings Snapshot
HOUSTON (AP) — HOUSTON (AP) — Evolution Petroleum Corp. (EPM) on Tuesday reported fiscal fourth-quarter profit of $4.6 million. The Houston-based company said it had net income of 13 cents per share.
FAQ
Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Evolution Petroleum Corp (EPM) stock forecast?
On Oct. 13, 2026, EPM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Evolution Petroleum Corp stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for EPM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Evolution Petroleum Corp forecasts updated?
Evolution Petroleum Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Evolution Petroleum Corp's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, EPM included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Ecopetrol S.A. (EC), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Eni Spa (E), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.