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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $3.06B mid-cap · #4 of 6 peers
Summary

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 13, 2026, AGO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Assured Guaranty Ltd is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.06B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AGO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

AGO price chart and AI forecast

AGO
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How AGO ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.06B $3.76B 4/6
P/E Ratio 8.73x 8.19x 1/5
P/B Ratio 0.55x 0.98x 5/5
Dividend Yield 2.22% – –
EPS $7.53 – –
Book Value/Share $126.40 – –
Revenue/Share $21.37 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
ROE 6.3% 12.0% 5/5
ROA 2.8% 4.3% 5/6
Net Margin 37.3% 35.4% 3/6
EBT Margin 44.0% 45.5% 4/6
Tax Rate 8.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.27x 1.22x 2/5
Financial Leverage 2.27x 2.22x 2/5

Cash Flow

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $324M $641M 5/6
OCF Growth YoY 42.1% – –

Operational Efficiency

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.07x 0.16x 5/6

Income Statement

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $940M $1.13B 4/6
Net Income $351M $466M 5/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricAGOIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.55 – –
Payout Ratio 20.6% – –
Shares Outstanding 44M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$331M2.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$7.06B55.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

AGO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surety Insurance

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Assured Guaranty Ltd (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd ▶ $3.06B 8.7x 0.6x
ORI Old Republic International Corp ▼ $9.21B 8.1x 1.5x
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. ▲ $5.58B 8.2x 1.0x
RDN Radian Group Inc ▶ $4.47B 8.3x 0.9x
NMIH Nmi Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.98B 7.5x 1.1x
MBI Mbia Inc ▶ $230M – –

Where AGO sits on the market map

Finance · Surety Insurance
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News

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) stock news

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FAQ

Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO) stock forecast?

On Oct. 13, 2026, AGO is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Assured Guaranty Ltd stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AGO is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Assured Guaranty Ltd forecasts updated?

Assured Guaranty Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Assured Guaranty Ltd's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, AGO included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Old Republic International Corp (ORI), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Radian Group Inc (RDN), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH), Mbia Inc (MBI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.