Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, AMSF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Amerisafe Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $457M. It ranks number 45 by market capitalization among the 53 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AMSF is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AMSF included.
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How AMSF ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $457M | 45/53 |
| P/E Ratio | 9.73x | 21/40 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.83x | 21/52 |
| Dividend Yield | 13.83% | 2/32 |
| EPS | $2.52 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $13.49 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $18.11 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.04 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 18.8% | 25/48 |
| ROA | 4.2% | 24/48 |
| Net Margin | 14.0% | 25/48 |
| EBT Margin | 17.5% | 25/50 |
| Tax Rate | 19.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 3.51x | 20/54 |
| Financial Leverage | 4.51x | 21/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $20M | 47/55 |
| Free Cash Flow | $19M | 26/30 |
| Capital Spending | -$1M | 6/30 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 125.6% | 2/44 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 143.8% | 3/24 |
| FCF/Sales | 5.8% | 26/30 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.3% | 17/30 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.30x | 28/54 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 48.3x | 14/30 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $335M | 47/55 |
| Net Income | $46M | 39/48 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AMSF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $3.41 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 135.3% | 3/31 |
| Shares Outstanding | 19M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $65M | 5.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $877M | 77.8% of assets |
AMSF quarterly financials and insider trading
Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Amerisafe Inc (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 55 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AMSF Amerisafe Inc | ▶ | $457M |
| CB Chubb Ltd | ▼ | $134.26B |
| PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ | ▶ | $129.58B |
| TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. | ▶ | $77.86B |
| ALL Allstate Corp | ▶ | $59.78B |
| AIG American International Group, Inc. | ▼ | $40.60B |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | ▶ | $35.54B |
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | ▼ | $33.05B |
| WRB Berkley W R Corp | ▼ | $27.30B |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp | ▼ | $25.42B |
| L Loews Corp | ▼ | $22.17B |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | ▼ | $22.17B |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $14.37B |
| RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $14.16B |
| CNA Cna Financial Corp | ▶ | $12.65B |
| AFG American Financial Group Inc | ▼ | $11.99B |
| THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | ▶ | $7.75B |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $7.74B |
| AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $7.19B |
| MCY Mercury General Corp | ▶ | $5.70B |
| RLI Rli Corp | ▼ | $5.24B |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc | ▶ | $5.07B |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd | ▼ | $5.00B |
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $3.51B |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | ▶ | $3.46B |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.98B |
| SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd | ▼ | $2.93B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $2.65B |
| HCI Hci Group, Inc. | ▲ | $2.47B |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $2.30B |
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd | ▶ | $2.04B |
| HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ | ▶ | $1.86B |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc | ▼ | $1.52B |
| KMPR Kemper Corp | ▼ | $1.46B |
| UFCS United Fire Group Inc | ▲ | $1.43B |
| UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.31B |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings | ▲ | $1.24B |
| HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.08B |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $906M |
| EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $894M |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | ▶ | $755M |
| TIPT Tiptree Inc. | ▶ | $649M |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $539M |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp | ▲ | $502M |
| GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | ▼ | $485M |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc | ▲ | $343M |
| NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $303M |
| KWY Kingsway Corp | ▲ | $275M |
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $269M |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $172M |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd | ▲ | $37M |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $30M |
| OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $8M |
| BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc | ▼ | N/A |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc | ▶ | N/A |
Where AMSF sits on the market map
Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) stock news
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Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Amerisafe Inc (AMSF) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, AMSF is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Amerisafe Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for AMSF is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Amerisafe Inc forecasts updated?
Amerisafe Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Amerisafe Inc's industry peers?
55 issuers in our coverage, AMSF included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.