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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $172M small-cap · #50 of 53 peers
Summary

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, JRVR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

James River Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $172M. It ranks number 50 by market capitalization among the 53 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JRVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JRVR included.

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Price

JRVR price chart and AI forecast

JRVR
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How JRVR ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $172M $2.65B 50/53
P/B Ratio 0.33x 1.47x 51/52
Dividend Yield 1.12% 1.90% 26/32
EPS $0.83 – –
Book Value/Share $11.30 – –
Revenue/Share $14.13 – –
FCF/Share $-0.05 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
ROE 5.8% 19.2% 42/48
ROA 0.6% 4.1% 42/48
Net Margin 4.7% 14.4% 43/48
EBT Margin 3.8% 17.3% 45/50
Tax Rate -26.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.88x 3.04x 4/54
Financial Leverage 9.13x 4.04x 4/54

Cash Flow

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $2M $411M 49/55
Free Cash Flow -$2M $574M 28/30
Capital Spending -$4M -$7M 11/30
FCF/Sales -0.3% 19.2% 28/30
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 0.4% 11/30

Operational Efficiency

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.14x 0.30x 50/54

Income Statement

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $653M $1.75B 42/55
Net Income $30M $355M 43/48

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJRVRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.04 – –
Payout Ratio 4.8% 17.2% 27/31
Shares Outstanding 46M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$196M4.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.12B88.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JRVR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as James River Group Holdings, Inc. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 55 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $172M – 0.3x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $134.26B 11.7x 1.8x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▶ $129.58B 11.1x 3.8x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▶ $77.52B 9.3x 2.3x
ALL Allstate Corp ▶ $59.78B 4.5x 1.8x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $40.60B 13.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $35.54B 8.1x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $33.05B 7.0x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.06B 14.0x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $25.42B 7.6x 1.5x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.17B 13.1x 1.3x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.17B 9.7x 1.2x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▼ $14.37B 7.5x 0.9x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▶ $14.16B 5.4x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▼ $12.65B 10.2x 1.1x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $11.99B 12.6x 2.5x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $7.74B 13.6x 3.8x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $7.72B 10.2x 2.1x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.19B 6.6x 1.1x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▶ $5.70B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.24B 11.9x 3.0x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▶ $5.07B 10.2x 1.4x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $4.98B 4.4x 0.9x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.51B 17.3x 3.6x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▶ $3.46B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.98B 4.6x 2.5x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▼ $2.97B 5.9x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.65B 14.1x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▶ $2.47B 8.0x 2.3x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▼ $2.30B – 0.8x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▶ $2.04B – 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▶ $1.86B 10.5x 1.2x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.52B 22.2x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▲ $1.44B 10.2x 1.5x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.29B 5.9x 2.0x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▲ $1.24B 10.8x 1.9x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 5.0x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▼ $906M 7.5x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▶ $894M – 1.0x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $755M 12.3x –
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▶ $652M 15.1x 1.3x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▲ $538M 6.1x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▲ $502M 5.0x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▼ $485M – 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▶ $457M 9.7x 1.8x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $356M 10.4x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▶ $303M – 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $274M – 21.3x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $269M – 2.1x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▶ $37M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.2x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ N/A – –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ N/A – –

Where JRVR sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) stock news

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FAQ

James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the James River Group Holdings, Inc. (JRVR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, JRVR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are James River Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for JRVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are James River Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

James River Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are James River Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

55 issuers in our coverage, JRVR included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.