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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.52B small-cap · #32 of 53 peers
Summary

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Safety Insurance Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Safety Insurance Group Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.52B. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 53 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 22.22x is the highest of the 40 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SAFT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SAFT included.

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Price

SAFT price chart and AI forecast

SAFT
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How SAFT ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.52B $2.65B 32/53
P/E Ratio 22.22x 9.87x 1/40
P/B Ratio 1.74x 1.47x 24/52
Dividend Yield 3.54% 1.89% 7/32
EPS $5.63 – –
Book Value/Share $59.72 – –
Revenue/Share $87.62 – –
FCF/Share $11.97 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
ROE 7.8% 19.2% 39/48
ROA 2.7% 4.1% 36/48
Net Margin 5.3% 14.4% 41/48
EBT Margin 6.8% 17.3% 43/50
Tax Rate 21.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.86x 3.04x 46/54
Financial Leverage 2.86x 4.04x 47/54

Cash Flow

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $180M $411M 38/55
Free Cash Flow $176M $574M 22/30
Capital Spending -$5M -$7M 12/30
OCF Growth YoY 12.9% 2.8% 15/44
FCF Growth YoY 10.8% 5.7% 10/24
FCF/Sales 13.7% 19.2% 22/30
CapEx/Sales 0.4% 0.4% 15/30

Operational Efficiency

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.51x 0.30x 7/54

Income Statement

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.29B $1.75B 34/55
Net Income $68M $355M 37/48

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSAFTIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.68 – –
Payout Ratio 65.4% 17.2% 7/31
Shares Outstanding 15M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$68M2.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.63B65.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SAFT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Safety Insurance Group Inc (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 55 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.52B 22.2x 1.7x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $134.26B 11.7x 1.8x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▶ $129.58B 11.1x 3.8x
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▼ $77.86B 9.4x 2.4x
ALL Allstate Corp ▶ $59.78B 4.5x 1.8x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $40.60B 13.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $35.54B 8.1x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $33.05B 7.0x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.30B 14.2x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $25.42B 7.6x 1.5x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.17B 13.1x 1.3x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.17B 9.7x 1.2x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▼ $14.37B 7.5x 0.9x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▶ $14.16B 5.4x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▼ $12.65B 10.2x 1.1x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $11.99B 12.6x 2.5x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $7.75B 10.3x 2.1x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $7.74B 13.6x 3.8x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.19B 6.6x 1.1x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▶ $5.70B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.24B 11.9x 3.0x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▶ $5.07B 10.2x 1.4x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.00B 4.5x 0.9x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▼ $3.51B 17.3x 3.6x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▶ $3.46B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.98B 4.6x 2.5x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▼ $2.93B 5.8x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.65B 14.1x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▶ $2.47B 8.0x 2.3x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▼ $2.30B – 0.8x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▶ $2.04B – 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▶ $1.86B 10.5x 1.2x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▲ $1.43B 10.2x 1.5x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.31B 6.0x 2.1x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▲ $1.24B 10.8x 1.9x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 5.0x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▼ $906M 7.5x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▶ $894M – 1.0x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $755M 12.3x –
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▶ $649M 15.1x 1.3x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $539M 6.1x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▲ $502M 5.0x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▼ $485M – 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▶ $457M 9.7x 1.8x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $343M 10.0x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▶ $303M – 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $275M – 21.5x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $269M – 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $172M – 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▶ $37M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.2x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ N/A – –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ N/A – –

Where SAFT sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) stock news

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FAQ

Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Safety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Safety Insurance Group Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Safety Insurance Group Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SAFT is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Safety Insurance Group Inc forecasts updated?

Safety Insurance Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Safety Insurance Group Inc's industry peers?

55 issuers in our coverage, SAFT included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.