American Express Fined $350 Million for 11 Years of Blind Eye to 'Suspicious' Transactions
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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
American Express Co (AXP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Total
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Total
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
8.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$211.77B
mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary
American Express Co (AXP) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
American Express Co is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $211.77B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 Finance Services issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For AXP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, AXP included.
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AXP price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How AXP ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
American Express Co (AXP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Finance Services peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $211.77B | 1/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.04x | 8/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.18x | 6/46 |
| Dividend Yield | 1.14% | 6/7 |
| EPS | $16.47 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $50.76 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $124.49 | – |
| FCF/Share | $22.29 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 33.4% | 4/29 |
| ROA | 3.7% | 5/31 |
| Net Margin | 13.6% | 5/28 |
| EBT Margin | 17.6% | 5/41 |
| Tax Rate | 22.5% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 7.99x | 9/54 |
| Financial Leverage | 8.99x | 9/52 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.7x | 9/33 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $18.48B | 1/46 |
| Free Cash Flow | $15.05B | 1/32 |
| Capital Spending | -$3.42B | 32/32 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 41.1% | 7/18 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 35.7% | 5/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 17.9% | 8/29 |
| CapEx/Sales | 4.1% | 13/29 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.27x | 10/35 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.9x | 19/34 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $84.07B | 1/38 |
| Net Income | $11.45B | 1/32 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AXP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $3.58 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 21.7% | 4/5 |
| Shares Outstanding | 675M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 12.8% | 6/13 |
| EPS Growth | 15.6% | 6/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $45.08B | 14.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $273.92B | 88.9% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AXP quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Finance Services
American Express Co (AXP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as American Express Co (Finance Services): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AXP American Express Co | ▶ | $211.77B |
| MSTR Strategy Inc | ▲ | $52.57B |
| COIN Coinbase Global, Inc. | ▲ | $45.69B |
| SYF Synchrony Financial | ▶ | $23.97B |
| CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. | ▲ | $20.87B |
| SOFI Sofi Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $18.79B |
| BMNR Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $13.07B |
| CHYM Chime Financial, Inc. | ▲ | $11.23B |
| IREN Iren Ltd | ▲ | $10.64B |
| WULF Terawulf Inc. | ▲ | $5.83B |
| RIOT Riot Platforms, Inc. | ▲ | $5.15B |
| DAVE Dave Inc./De | ▲ | $4.96B |
| KLAR Klarna Group Plc | ▶ | $4.91B |
| BLSH Bullish | ▲ | $4.45B |
| CORZ Core Scientific, Inc./Tx | ▲ | $4.33B |
| CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. | ▲ | $3.73B |
| GPGI Gpgi, Inc. | ▶ | $3.61B |
| MARA Mara Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.91B |
| IOND Ionic Digital Inc. | ▶ | $2.83B |
| SII Sprott Inc. | ▶ | $2.79B |
| UPST Upstart Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.29B |
| CLSK Cleanspark, Inc. | ▲ | $2.15B |
| BTDR Bitdeer Technologies Group | ▲ | $2.10B |
| ASST Strive, Inc. | ▲ | $2.06B |
| XXI Twenty One Capital, Inc. | ▲ | $1.95B |
| PURR Hyperliquid Strategies Inc | ▲ | $1.79B |
| WLTH Wealthfront Corp | ▲ | $1.66B |
| SECZ Securitize Corp. | ▶ | $1.61B |
| PGY Pagaya Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $1.44B |
| KEEL Keel Infrastructure Corp. | ▲ | $1.43B |
| PWP Perella Weinberg Partners | ▲ | $1.25B |
| WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | ▶ | $1.12B |
| RHLD Resolute Holdings Management, Inc. | ▶ | $889M |
| GDOT Green Dot Corp | ▶ | $695M |
| BTGO Bitgo Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $691M |
| QFIN Qfin Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $681M |
| BUR Burford Capital Ltd | ▲ | $659M |
| VEL Velocity Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $581M |
| HIVE Hive Digital Technologies Ltd. | ▲ | $557M |
| ABTC American Bitcoin Corp. | ▲ | $551M |
| FWDI Forward Industries, Inc. | ▲ | $510M |
| OPFI Oppfi Inc. | ▲ | $481M |
| GEMI Gemini Space Station, Inc. | ▲ | $463M |
| WYFI Whitefiber, Inc. | ▲ | $457M |
| OPRT Oportun Financial Corp | ▲ | $418M |
| BTBT Bit Digital, Inc | ▲ | $346M |
| SVIA Silvia, Inc. | ▼ | $323M |
| ORBS Eightco Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $318M |
| DGXX Digi Power X Inc. | ▲ | $266M |
| USDE Stablecoinx Inc. | ▼ | $257M |
| MFIN Medallion Financial Corp | ▲ | $257M |
| CNCK Coincheck Group N.V. | ▲ | $255M |
| BKKT Bakkt, Inc. | ▲ | $252M |
| SNFCA Security National Financial Corp | ▶ | $239M |
| ZSQR Z Squared Inc. | ▲ | $214M |
| CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services, Inc. | ▲ | $197M |
| LDI Loandepot, Inc. | ▲ | $181M |
| USBC Usbc, Inc. | ▲ | $170M |
| SLNH Soluna Holdings, Inc | ▲ | $164M |
| AMBR Amber International Holding Ltd | ▲ | $159M |
Where AXP sits on the market map
Finance or Crypto Assets · Finance Services
News
American Express Co (AXP) stock news
American Express Co (AXP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue and Strategic Shifts ...
The above button links to Coinbase. Yahoo Finance is not a broker-dealer or investment adviser and does not offer securities or cryptocurrencies for sale or facilitate trading. Coinbase pays us for ...
American Express to triple size of members-only Houston airport lounge
American Express is dramatically expanding its Centurion Lounge at George Bush Intercontinental Airport (IAH). When the work ...
FAQ
American Express Co (AXP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the American Express Co (AXP) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AXP is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are American Express Co stock predictions?
For AXP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 8.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are American Express Co forecasts updated?
American Express Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are American Express Co's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, AXP included, share the SEC industry code Finance Services. The largest are: Strategy Inc (MSTR), Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN), Synchrony Financial (SYF), Circle Internet Group, Inc. (CRCL), Sofi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI), Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. (BMNR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.