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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 13.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.37B small-cap · #14 of 40 peers
Summary

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, BH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Biglari Holdings Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.37B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 40 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

BH price chart and AI forecast

BH
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How BH ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.37B $480M 14/40
P/B Ratio 2.49x 2.94x 17/28
Book Value/Share $174.18 – –
Revenue/Share $128.06 – –
FCF/Share $15.89 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
ROE -1.3% 11.1% 18/20
Gross Margin 60.0% 66.4% 11/18
Net Margin -0.9% 4.7% 24/30
EBT Margin -5.0% 3.1% 35/40
Tax Rate 23.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.45x 0.65x 5/39
Quick Ratio 2.42x 0.61x 3/34
D/E Ratio 0.85x 1.87x 26/29
Working Capital $227M -$42M 4/39

Cash Flow

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $84M $76M 19/40
Free Cash Flow $50M $38M 15/34
Capital Spending -$34M -$75M 11/34
OCF Growth YoY -2.8% 8.2% 24/35
FCF Growth YoY -19.5% 12.5% 18/21
FCF/Sales 12.4% 2.3% 6/34
CapEx/Sales 8.4% 5.3% 9/34

Operational Efficiency

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 16.2x 77.7x 20/24
Inventory Turnover 41.7x 44.5x 9/12
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.1x 4.3x 33/34
Days Sales Outstanding 22 days 5 days 5/24
Days Inventory 9 days 8 days 4/12
Payables Period 68 days 45 days 5/15
Cash Conversion Cycle -37 days -6 days 8/8

Income Statement

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $406M $1.19B 26/35
Net Income -$7M $24M 24/30
SG&A Expense $94M $114M 8/10
Cost of Goods Sold $162M $602M 13/17

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$384M37.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$68M6.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$25M2.4% of assets
Inventory$4M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$469M45.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$127M12.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

BH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Eating Places

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Biglari Holdings Inc. (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. ▶ $1.37B – 2.5x
MCD Mcdonalds Corp ▼ $171.94B 19.7x –
YUM Yum Brands Inc ▼ $41.07B 17.0x –
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc ▲ $37.82B 26.2x 11.3x
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. ▼ $26.12B 23.2x 6.8x
DRI Darden Restaurants Inc ▼ $24.48B 21.2x 11.8x
YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. ▼ $15.45B 17.2x 2.9x
ARMK Aramark ▼ $14.57B 42.2x 4.3x
TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ▶ $11.05B 26.9x 7.1x
EAT Brinker International, Inc ▶ $8.53B 18.8x 19.2x
CAVA Cava Group, Inc. ▶ $6.69B 100.4x 8.0x
CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc ▲ $5.72B 26.4x 11.0x
WING Wingstop Inc. ▶ $3.59B 31.1x –
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc ▲ $1.54B 49.3x 3.2x
BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc ▶ $1.26B 46.8x 3.2x
SG Sweetgreen, Inc. ▲ $1.19B – 2.6x
BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ▲ $852M 62.2x 2.0x
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $748M 37.9x 1.2x
PZZA Papa Johns International Inc ▶ $638M 22.6x –
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ▼ $497M 15.0x 1.6x
KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. ▶ $463M – 2.0x
NATH Nathans Famous, Inc. ▼ $418M 21.1x –
DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. ▶ $405M 56.2x –
PTLO Portillo's Inc. ▶ $354M 19.4x 1.1x
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. ▲ $265M – 3.0x
JACK Jack In The Box Inc ▲ $234M 9.0x –
RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. ▶ $196M 9.4x 0.8x
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc ▲ $167M – –
BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc ▼ $89M 13.2x 1.3x
NDLS Noodles & Co ▶ $83M – –
GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $56M – 4.6x
STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. ▲ $38M – –
LVO Liveone, Inc. ▲ $32M – –
CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd ▶ $19M – –
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp ▼ $16M 17.5x 0.5x
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. ▶ $15M 9.9x 0.4x
NROM Noble Romans Inc ▲ $13M 11.7x 3.5x
REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. ▶ $12M – 32.9x
BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. ▲ $10M – 1.6x
BABB Bab, Inc. ▼ $6M 9.1x 1.6x
VSTD Vestand Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where BH sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Eating Places
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News

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) stock news

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FAQ

Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Biglari Holdings Inc. (BH) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, BH is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Biglari Holdings Inc. stock predictions?

For BH, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 13.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Biglari Holdings Inc. forecasts updated?

Biglari Holdings Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Biglari Holdings Inc.'s industry peers?

41 issuers in our coverage, BH included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.