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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 11.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $45M small-cap · #32 of 40 peers
Summary

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks One Group Hospitality, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

One Group Hospitality, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $45M. It ranks number 32 by market capitalization among the 40 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For STKS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, STKS included.

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Price

STKS price chart and AI forecast

STKS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How STKS ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-28

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $45M $480M 32/40
EPS $-3.82 – –
Revenue/Share $25.26 – –
FCF/Share $0.11 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
ROA -9.3% 4.3% 25/28
ROIC 2.2% 7.4% 23/34
Operating Margin 2.1% 4.5% 25/38
Net Margin -10.2% 4.7% 28/30
EBT Margin -2.9% 3.1% 33/40
Tax Rate -260.5% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.38x 0.65x 31/39
Quick Ratio 0.30x 0.61x 27/34
Interest Coverage 0.8x 4.1x 27/34
Working Capital -$77M -$42M 26/39

Cash Flow

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $52M $76M 24/40
Free Cash Flow $3M $38M 24/34
Capital Spending -$48M -$75M 12/34
OCF Growth YoY 6.1% 8.2% 19/35
FCF/Sales 0.4% 2.3% 25/34
CapEx/Sales 6.0% 5.3% 14/34

Operational Efficiency

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.90x 1.06x 20/32
Receivables Turnover 65.8x 77.7x 15/24
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.8x 4.3x 25/34
Days Sales Outstanding 6 days 5 days 10/24

Income Statement

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $801M $1.19B 20/35
Operating Income $17M $34M 23/38
Net Income -$82M $24M 29/30

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSTKSIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 32M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$47M5.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$6M0.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$12M1.4% of assets
Inventory$10M1.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$771M87.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$88M9.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

STKS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Eating Places

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as One Group Hospitality, Inc. (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. ▲ $45M – –
MCD Mcdonalds Corp ▶ $171.94B 19.7x –
YUM Yum Brands Inc ▼ $41.07B 17.0x –
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc ▲ $37.82B 26.2x 11.3x
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. ▼ $26.12B 23.2x 6.8x
DRI Darden Restaurants Inc ▼ $24.48B 21.2x 11.8x
YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. ▼ $15.45B 17.2x 2.9x
ARMK Aramark ▼ $14.57B 42.2x 4.3x
TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ▶ $11.05B 26.9x 7.1x
EAT Brinker International, Inc ▶ $8.53B 18.8x 19.2x
CAVA Cava Group, Inc. ▶ $6.69B 100.4x 8.0x
CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc ▲ $5.72B 26.4x 11.0x
WING Wingstop Inc. ▶ $3.59B 31.1x –
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc ▲ $1.54B 49.3x 3.2x
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. ▲ $1.37B – 2.5x
BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc ▶ $1.26B 46.8x 3.2x
SG Sweetgreen, Inc. ▲ $1.19B – 2.6x
BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ▲ $852M 62.2x 2.0x
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $748M 37.9x 1.2x
PZZA Papa Johns International Inc ▲ $638M 22.6x –
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ▼ $497M 15.0x 1.6x
KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. ▲ $463M – 2.0x
NATH Nathans Famous, Inc. ▼ $418M 21.1x –
DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. ▶ $405M 56.2x –
PTLO Portillo's Inc. ▲ $354M 19.4x 1.1x
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. ▲ $265M – 3.0x
JACK Jack In The Box Inc ▲ $234M 9.0x –
RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. ▶ $196M 9.4x 0.8x
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc ▲ $167M – –
BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc ▶ $89M 13.2x 1.3x
NDLS Noodles & Co ▲ $83M – –
GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $56M – 4.6x
LVO Liveone, Inc. ▲ $32M – –
CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd ▶ $19M – –
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp ▲ $16M 17.5x 0.5x
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. ▲ $15M 9.9x 0.4x
NROM Noble Romans Inc ▲ $13M 11.7x 3.5x
REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. ▼ $12M – 32.9x
BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. ▲ $10M – 1.6x
BABB Bab, Inc. ▶ $6M 9.1x 1.6x
VSTD Vestand Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where STKS sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Eating Places
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News

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) stock news

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FAQ

One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the One Group Hospitality, Inc. (STKS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks One Group Hospitality, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are One Group Hospitality, Inc. stock predictions?

For STKS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 11.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are One Group Hospitality, Inc. forecasts updated?

One Group Hospitality, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are One Group Hospitality, Inc.'s industry peers?

41 issuers in our coverage, STKS included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.