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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

California Resources Corp (CRC) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4012 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 19.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $4.52B mid-cap · #26 of 60 peers
Summary

California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 15, 2026, CRC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4012 stocks scored that day.

California Resources Corp is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.52B. It ranks number 26 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 100.0% is the highest of the 17 peers that report one.

For CRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.4%, sell < -0.8%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

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Price

CRC price chart and AI forecast

CRC
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How CRC ranks among 4012 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

California Resources Corp (CRC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $4.52B $3.14B 26/60
P/B Ratio 1.33x 1.50x 25/40
Dividend Yield 7.35% 2.69% 3/23
EPS $-1.29 – –
Book Value/Share $40.67 – –
Revenue/Share $38.19 – –
FCF/Share $4.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
ROE -3.6% 13.0% 23/27
ROA -1.7% 7.1% 25/31
ROIC -0.9% 8.1% 28/38
Gross Margin 100.0% 85.2% 1/17
Operating Margin -1.7% 19.9% 31/39
Net Margin -3.8% 19.0% 25/30
EBT Margin -6.4% 16.8% 34/46
Tax Rate 40.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.66x 0.95x 38/54
Quick Ratio 0.56x 0.78x 17/22
D/E Ratio 1.09x 0.93x 20/47
Financial Leverage 2.09x 1.94x 18/44
Interest Coverage 102.2x 7.6x 3/41
Working Capital -$358M -$35M 45/54

Cash Flow

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $876M $857M 26/52
Free Cash Flow $385M $404M 10/17
Capital Spending -$491M -$562M 8/17
OCF Growth YoY 12.7% 12.4% 22/46
FCF Growth YoY -22.9% 11.5% 12/13
FCF/Sales 12.1% 13.5% 10/17
CapEx/Sales 15.4% 22.4% 14/17

Operational Efficiency

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.45x 0.36x 15/44
Receivables Turnover 9.3x 8.9x 18/41
Inventory Turnover 0.0x 3.4x 8/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.5x 0.5x 21/42
Days Sales Outstanding 39 days 41 days 24/41

Income Statement

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $3.19B $1.91B 18/49
Operating Income -$55M $474M 37/42
Net Income -$121M $471M 28/32
SG&A Expense $385M $299M 4/9
Cost of Goods Sold $0.00M $452M 17/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricCRCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.97 – –
Shares Outstanding 84M – –
Net Income Growth -118.2% 16.2% 18/19
EPS Growth -116.8% -1.5% 18/22

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$697M9.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$56M0.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$342M4.8% of assets
Inventory$111M1.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.70B52.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$666M9.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

CRC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

California Resources Corp (CRC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as California Resources Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.52B – 1.3x
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $197.80B – –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $193.05B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $107.87B 2.9x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $94.78B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $80.88B 12.0x 2.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $61.44B 9.2x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $61.39B 8.5x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $55.31B 38.2x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $54.91B 10.0x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $43.84B – –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.00B 11.2x 2.2x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $21.70B 7.9x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.15B – 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.39B 20.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $16.60B 8.3x 2.4x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.26B 8.8x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.78B 11.4x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.09B 9.1x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.00B 9.7x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $6.83B 9.0x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $5.89B 14.2x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.64B 18.3x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.15B 5.5x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.14B 97.7x 1.0x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.44B 5.2x 15.2x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.02B 13.4x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.93B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.35B 13.0x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.93B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.80B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.53B 16.3x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.90B – –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.82B 12.0x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.77B 21.5x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.61B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.47B 16.9x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.38B – 1.2x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.04B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▲ $1000M – 1.2x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $809M 4.7x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▲ $790M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $789M – 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $774M 1.9x –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $750M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $734M – 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▲ $652M 22.5x 1.2x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $645M – 1.6x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $637M – 1.7x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $551M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▲ $521M 6.3x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $380M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $363M – 2.6x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▲ $344M – 0.5x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp ▼ $336M – 1.5x
KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. ▶ $227M – –
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. ▶ $180M – 0.4x

Where CRC sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

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FAQ

California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the California Resources Corp (CRC) stock forecast?

On Oct. 15, 2026, CRC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4012 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are California Resources Corp stock predictions?

For CRC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 19.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are California Resources Corp forecasts updated?

California Resources Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are California Resources Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, CRC included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.