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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 4012 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 24.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $21.70B large-cap · #13 of 60 peers
Summary

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Expand Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Expand Energy Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $21.70B. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For EXE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.4%, sell < -0.7%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, EXE included.

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Price

EXE price chart and AI forecast

EXE
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How EXE ranks among 4012 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $21.70B $3.14B 13/60
P/E Ratio 7.85x 9.88x 23/30
Dividend Yield 3.53% 2.70% 8/24
EPS $11.61 – –
Revenue/Share $57.09 – –
FCF/Share $11.25 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Operating Margin 56.4% 19.9% 3/39
EBT Margin 54.5% 15.7% 2/45
Tax Rate 21.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.96x 0.95x 25/52
Interest Coverage 5.4x 7.5x 29/41
Working Capital -$123M -$35M 32/52

Cash Flow

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.66B $837M 9/51
Free Cash Flow $2.68B $408M 4/16
Capital Spending -$2.98B -$526M 14/16
OCF Growth YoY 75.5% 12.2% 4/45
FCF Growth YoY 129.4% 18.6% 2/12
FCF/Sales 19.7% 16.6% 8/16
CapEx/Sales 21.9% 22.1% 9/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 12.4x 8.4x 11/41
Fixed Assets Turnover 0.6x 0.5x 17/41
Days Sales Outstanding 29 days 44 days 31/41

Income Statement

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $13.60B $1.76B 7/48
Operating Income $3.66B $474M 6/42

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricEXEIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.21 – –
Payout Ratio 27.6% 27.8% 10/18
Shares Outstanding 238M – –
EPS Growth 8192.9% 24.7% 1/17

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$2.84B
Cash & Short-term Investments$663M
Accounts Receivable$1.10B
Total Liabilities$13.26B
Short-term Debt$2.02B
Quarterly Financial Reports

EXE quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Expand Energy Corp (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $21.70B 7.9x –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $197.80B – –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $193.05B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $107.87B 2.9x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $94.78B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $80.88B 12.0x 2.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $61.44B 9.2x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $61.39B 8.5x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $55.31B 38.2x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $54.91B 10.0x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $43.84B – –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▼ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.00B 11.2x 2.2x
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.15B – 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▼ $18.39B 20.0x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $16.60B 8.3x 2.4x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.26B 8.8x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.78B 11.4x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.09B 9.1x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.00B 9.7x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▶ $6.83B 9.4x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▲ $5.89B 13.8x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▼ $5.64B 19.2x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▼ $5.15B 5.5x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.14B 97.7x 1.0x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.52B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.44B 5.2x 15.2x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▼ $4.02B 13.4x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.93B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.35B 13.0x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.93B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▶ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.80B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▼ $2.53B 16.3x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.90B – –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▲ $1.82B – –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.61B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.47B 16.9x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.38B – 1.2x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.04B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▲ $1000M – 1.2x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $809M 4.7x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▲ $790M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $789M – 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $774M – –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $750M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▼ $734M – 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▶ $652M 22.5x 1.2x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $645M – 1.6x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $637M – 1.7x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $551M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▲ $521M 6.3x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▼ $380M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $363M – 2.6x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▲ $344M – 0.5x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp ▼ $336M – 1.5x
KGEI Kolibri Global Energy Inc. ▶ $227M – –
AMPY Amplify Energy Corp. ▶ $180M – 0.4x
EPSN Epsilon Energy Ltd. ▲ $180M – 1.4x

Where EXE sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) stock news

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FAQ

Expand Energy Corp (EXE) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Expand Energy Corp (EXE) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Expand Energy Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Expand Energy Corp stock predictions?

For EXE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 24.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Expand Energy Corp forecasts updated?

Expand Energy Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Expand Energy Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, EXE included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Cenovus Energy Inc. (CVE).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.