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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5111 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -1.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $1.03B small-cap · #44 of 60 peers
Summary

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.03B. It ranks number 44 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For REPX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, REPX included.

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Price

REPX price chart and AI forecast

REPX
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How REPX ranks among 5111 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.03B $3.64B 44/60
P/E Ratio 8.41x 10.21x 26/36
P/B Ratio 1.62x 1.55x 17/40
Dividend Yield 3.33% 2.70% 10/24
EPS $5.52 – –
Book Value/Share $28.59 – –
Revenue/Share $21.84 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
ROE 18.7% 14.4% 12/30
ROA 9.3% 8.8% 14/33
ROIC 17.9% 8.7% 8/36
Operating Margin 38.4% 20.6% 10/39
Net Margin 24.5% 19.9% 12/33
EBT Margin 31.8% 17.6% 10/47
Tax Rate 22.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.45x 0.95x 51/54
Quick Ratio 0.41x 0.78x 21/24
D/E Ratio 1.01x 1.01x 24/48
Financial Leverage 2.01x 1.98x 20/42
Interest Coverage 14.3x 7.6x 14/41
Working Capital -$128M -$46M 34/54

Cash Flow

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $239M $857M 38/52
OCF Growth YoY 7.5% 12.2% 29/47

Operational Efficiency

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.38x 0.38x 21/43
Receivables Turnover 8.4x 8.6x 22/42
Fixed Assets Turnover 20.9x 0.5x 5/42
Days Sales Outstanding 44 days 42 days 20/42

Income Statement

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $484M $1.98B 40/51
Operating Income $186M $391M 25/41
Net Income $119M $496M 24/35

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricREPXIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.55 – –
Payout Ratio 28.1% 28.0% 9/19
Shares Outstanding 22M – –
Net Income Growth 24.0% 16.7% 11/26
EPS Growth 0.9% 3.4% 16/30

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$104M8.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$21M1.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$58M4.5% of assets
Inventory$9M0.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$637M50.1% of assets
Short-term Debt$199M15.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

REPX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.03B 8.4x 1.6x
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $299.02B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $197.80B – –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.17B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $107.87B 2.9x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $94.78B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $80.88B 12.0x 2.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▼ $61.44B 9.2x –
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $61.39B 8.5x 1.5x
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $55.31B 38.2x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $54.91B 10.0x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▼ $43.84B – –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.00B 11.2x 2.2x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $21.70B 7.9x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.15B 12.5x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.39B 23.3x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $16.60B 8.3x 2.4x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.26B 8.8x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.78B 10.4x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.09B 9.1x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.00B 9.7x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $6.83B 9.0x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $5.89B 14.2x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.64B 18.3x 1.1x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.15B 5.5x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.14B 97.7x 1.0x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.52B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.44B 5.4x 15.2x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $4.02B 13.4x 1.6x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.93B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.35B 13.0x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.93B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▲ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.80B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▶ $2.53B 16.3x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.90B – –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.82B 12.0x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.77B 21.5x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.61B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.47B 16.9x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.29B – 1.2x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.04B – 1.1x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▲ $1000M – 1.2x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $809M 4.7x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▲ $790M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $789M – 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $774M 1.9x –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $750M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $734M – 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▲ $652M 22.5x 1.2x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $645M – 1.6x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $637M – 1.7x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $551M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▲ $521M 6.3x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $380M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $363M – 2.6x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▲ $344M – 0.5x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp ▼ $336M 20.7x 1.5x

Where REPX sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) stock news

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FAQ

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. stock predictions?

For REPX, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -1.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-28 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. forecasts updated?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, REPX included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Shell Plc (SHEL), Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.