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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-30

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) Stock Forecast Oct. 30, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 30, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 22.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $6.16B mid-cap · #57 of 60 peers
Summary

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Duolingo, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Duolingo, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.16B. It ranks number 57 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DUOL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.7%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DUOL included.

Price

DUOL price chart and AI forecast

DUOL
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How DUOL ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.16B $16.00B 57/60
P/E Ratio 15.81x 35.38x 35/39
P/B Ratio 4.37x 7.56x 43/51
EPS $8.32 – –
Book Value/Share $30.13 – –
Revenue/Share $24.47 – –
FCF/Share $8.72 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
ROE 29.1% 15.2% 14/45
ROA 19.8% 6.6% 6/47
ROIC 10.5% 7.3% 22/53
Gross Margin 72.7% 75.5% 31/55
Operating Margin 13.7% 9.2% 25/58
Net Margin 35.9% 14.5% 5/49
EBT Margin 17.6% 11.4% 22/58
Tax Rate -103.5% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.72x 1.53x 11/57
D/E Ratio 0.47x 0.77x 39/52
Financial Leverage 1.47x 1.78x 38/51
Working Capital $993M $541M 20/57

Cash Flow

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $431M $657M 37/58
Free Cash Flow $408M $497M 26/49
Capital Spending -$23M -$23M 23/49
OCF Growth YoY 28.2% 28.2% 26/51
FCF Growth YoY 24.3% 25.3% 22/42
FCF/Sales 35.6% 25.9% 6/49
CapEx/Sales 2.0% 1.0% 13/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.55x 0.57x 26/49
Receivables Turnover 8.7x 6.3x 16/49
Fixed Assets Turnover 26.9x 30.0x 27/48
Days Sales Outstanding 42 days 58 days 34/49
Payables Period 19 days 24 days 33/52

Income Statement

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.15B $2.52B 46/52
Operating Income $157M $218M 31/58
Net Income $411M $296M 20/49
R&D Expense $337M $496M 41/58
SG&A Expense $631M $1.64B 52/57
Cost of Goods Sold $312M $521M 43/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDUOLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 47M – –
Net Income Growth 250.5% 18.8% 4/31
EPS Growth 264.9% 22.3% 5/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.57B75.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$1.18B56.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$131M6.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$664M32.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$562M27.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DUOL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Duolingo, Inc. (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. $6.16B 15.8x 4.4x
MSFT Microsoft Corp $3.77T 26.5x 8.0x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. $428.53B 196.0x 43.8x
ORCL Oracle Corp $360.49B 18.7x 5.4x
SAP Sap Se $287.00B 13.0x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. $247.60B 2686.8x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. $201.00B 110.8x 15.9x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. $186.15B 20.6x 5.4x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $98.68B – 60.9x
ADBE Adobe Inc. $97.87B 14.0x 8.3x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc $89.69B 65.5x 13.1x
SNPS Synopsys Inc $89.32B 88.3x 2.9x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. $84.48B 560.2x 19.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. $73.99B – –
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. $53.90B 30.6x 15.9x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc $49.71B 50.3x 6.7x
TEAM Atlassian Corp $47.36B – 44.7x
XYZ Block, Inc. $45.79B 55.2x 2.1x
OKTA Okta, Inc. $36.40B 131.0x 5.2x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc $35.92B – 10.0x
TWLO Twilio Inc $31.88B 27.1x 3.5x
RBLX Roblox Corp $30.71B – –
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. $27.66B – 5.5x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. $26.62B – 8.9x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. $23.77B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. $21.22B 17.9x 6.1x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc $19.14B 24.0x 2.9x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. $17.89B 16.2x 6.5x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $17.43B 12.5x –
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc $16.15B 49.7x 5.8x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd $16.06B 12.4x 5.6x
DT Dynatrace, Inc. $15.93B 95.1x 7.0x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc $14.76B 70.3x 73.6x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. $13.32B 99.7x 11.2x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc $12.36B 46.5x 10.3x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. $11.99B 28.3x 21.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. $11.83B – 8.0x
HUBS Hubspot Inc $11.64B 131.2x 7.0x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. $10.96B – 1.6x
FROG Jfrog Ltd $10.49B – 10.9x
ESTC Elastic N.V. $10.21B 27.8x 7.9x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. $9.33B – 7.3x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp $9.24B 35.4x 7.6x
NTSK Netskope Inc $8.99B – 57.3x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. $8.68B – 9.4x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. $8.18B 19.8x –
S Sentinelone, Inc. $8.06B – 5.6x
APPF Appfolio Inc $7.97B 40.2x 13.7x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. $7.91B – –
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc $7.86B 26.0x 4.9x
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. $7.51B – 8.1x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. $7.27B – 7.8x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. $7.18B 35.9x 12.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. $6.95B 22.6x 3.6x
NICE Nice Ltd. $6.79B 17.6x 1.8x
NAVN Navan, Inc. $6.61B – 5.0x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc $6.54B 81.4x 521.9x
BOX Box Inc $5.93B 69.7x –
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. $5.73B – 5.9x
OCTV Octave Intelligence Plc $5.68B – 1.1x

Where DUOL sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) stock news

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FAQ

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Duolingo, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Duolingo, Inc. stock predictions?

For DUOL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-07-31 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-12 and 2026-09-30. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Duolingo, Inc. forecasts updated?

Duolingo, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 30, 2026.

Which companies are Duolingo, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, DUOL included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.