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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mbia Inc (MBI) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $230M small-cap · #6 of 6 peers
Summary

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, MBI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Mbia Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $230M. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MBI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MBI included.

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Price

MBI price chart and AI forecast

MBI
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How MBI ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mbia Inc (MBI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $230M $3.76B 6/6
EPS $-2.09 – –
Revenue/Share $1.84 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
ROA -5.2% 4.3% 6/6
Net Margin -125.9% 35.4% 6/6
EBT Margin -181.5% 45.5% 6/6
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Cash Flow

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $43M $641M 6/6

Operational Efficiency

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.16x 6/6

Income Statement

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $94M $1.13B 6/6
Net Income -$102M $466M 6/6

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMBIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 51M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$117M
Total Liabilities$4.30B
Quarterly Financial Reports

MBI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Surety Insurance

Mbia Inc (MBI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mbia Inc (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MBI Mbia Inc ▶ $230M – –
ORI Old Republic International Corp ▼ $9.21B 8.1x 1.5x
ESNT Essent Group Ltd. ▲ $5.58B 8.2x 1.0x
RDN Radian Group Inc ▶ $4.47B 8.3x 0.9x
AGO Assured Guaranty Ltd ▶ $3.06B 8.7x 0.6x
NMIH Nmi Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.98B 7.5x 1.1x

Where MBI sits on the market map

Finance · Surety Insurance
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News

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock news

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FAQ

Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mbia Inc (MBI) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, MBI is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Mbia Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MBI is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mbia Inc forecasts updated?

Mbia Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Mbia Inc's industry peers?

6 issuers in our coverage, MBI included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Old Republic International Corp (ORI), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Radian Group Inc (RDN), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.