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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 14.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $3.77T mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Microsoft Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Microsoft Corp is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.77T. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For MSFT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.7%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MSFT included.

Price

MSFT price chart and AI forecast

MSFT
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How MSFT ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.77T $16.00B 1/60
P/E Ratio 26.48x 35.38x 25/39
P/B Ratio 8.00x 7.56x 23/51
Dividend Yield 0.72% 0.81% 5/7
EPS $19.15 – –
Book Value/Share $63.36 – –
Revenue/Share $46.66 – –
FCF/Share $8.07 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
ROE 30.3% 15.2% 12/45
ROA 18.3% 6.6% 10/47
ROIC 26.0% 7.3% 10/53
Gross Margin 67.7% 75.5% 40/55
Operating Margin 47.1% 9.2% 1/58
Net Margin 41.2% 14.5% 3/49
EBT Margin 51.3% 11.4% 2/58
Tax Rate 19.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.22x 1.53x 37/57
Quick Ratio 1.21x 1.44x 6/8
D/E Ratio 0.66x 0.77x 30/52
Financial Leverage 1.66x 1.78x 29/51
Interest Coverage 39.8x 9.2x 9/46
Working Capital $34.17B $541M 1/57

Cash Flow

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $195.88B $657M 1/58
Free Cash Flow $59.96B $497M 1/49
Capital Spending -$135.92B -$23M 49/49
OCF Growth YoY 33.2% 28.2% 22/51
FCF Growth YoY -23.1% 25.3% 42/42
FCF/Sales 17.3% 25.9% 38/49
CapEx/Sales 39.2% 1.0% 3/49

Operational Efficiency

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.44x 0.57x 35/49
Receivables Turnover 5.6x 6.3x 32/49
Inventory Turnover 61.1x 62.8x 5/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.0x 30.0x 46/48
Days Sales Outstanding 65 days 58 days 18/49
Days Inventory 6 days 6 days 3/7
Payables Period 139 days 24 days 5/52
Cash Conversion Cycle -67 days 5 days 5/5

Income Statement

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $346.44B $2.52B 1/52
Operating Income $163.19B $218M 1/58
Net Income $142.63B $296M 1/49
R&D Expense $36.46B $496M 1/58
SG&A Expense $59.85B $1.64B 1/57
Cost of Goods Sold $112.05B $521M 1/56

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMSFTIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.64 – –
Payout Ratio 19.0% 28.3% 5/7
Shares Outstanding 7426M – –
Net Income Growth 36.0% 18.8% 13/31
EPS Growth 36.2% 22.3% 15/36

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$186.14B23.9% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$20.28B2.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$62.08B8.0% of assets
Inventory$1.83B0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$308.89B39.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$109.34B14.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MSFT quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Microsoft Corp (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MSFT Microsoft Corp $3.77T 26.5x 8.0x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. $428.53B 196.0x 43.8x
ORCL Oracle Corp $360.49B 18.7x 5.4x
SAP Sap Se $287.00B 13.0x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. $247.60B 2686.8x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. $201.00B 110.8x 15.9x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. $186.15B 20.6x 5.4x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $98.68B – 60.9x
ADBE Adobe Inc. $97.87B 14.0x 8.3x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc $89.69B 65.5x 13.1x
SNPS Synopsys Inc $89.32B 88.3x 2.9x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. $84.48B 560.2x 19.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. $73.99B – –
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. $53.90B 30.6x 15.9x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc $49.71B 50.3x 6.7x
TEAM Atlassian Corp $47.36B – 44.7x
XYZ Block, Inc. $45.79B 55.2x 2.1x
OKTA Okta, Inc. $36.40B 131.0x 5.2x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc $35.92B – 10.0x
TWLO Twilio Inc $31.88B 27.1x 3.5x
RBLX Roblox Corp $30.71B – –
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. $27.66B – 5.5x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. $26.62B – 8.9x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. $23.77B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. $21.22B 17.9x 6.1x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc $19.14B 24.0x 2.9x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. $17.89B 16.2x 6.5x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $17.43B 12.5x –
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc $16.15B 49.7x 5.8x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd $16.06B 12.4x 5.6x
DT Dynatrace, Inc. $15.93B 95.1x 7.0x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc $14.76B 70.3x 73.6x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. $13.32B 99.7x 11.2x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc $12.36B 46.5x 10.3x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. $11.99B 28.3x 21.0x
FIG Figma, Inc. $11.83B – 8.0x
HUBS Hubspot Inc $11.64B 131.2x 7.0x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. $10.96B – 1.6x
FROG Jfrog Ltd $10.49B – 10.9x
ESTC Elastic N.V. $10.21B 27.8x 7.9x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. $9.33B – 7.3x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp $9.24B 35.4x 7.6x
NTSK Netskope Inc $8.99B – 57.3x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. $8.68B – 9.4x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. $8.18B 19.8x –
S Sentinelone, Inc. $8.06B – 5.6x
APPF Appfolio Inc $7.97B 40.2x 13.7x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. $7.91B – –
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc $7.86B 26.0x 4.9x
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. $7.51B – 8.1x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. $7.27B – 7.8x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. $7.18B 35.9x 12.8x
PATH Uipath, Inc. $6.95B 22.6x 3.6x
NICE Nice Ltd. $6.79B 17.6x 1.8x
NAVN Navan, Inc. $6.61B – 5.0x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc $6.54B 81.4x 521.9x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. $6.16B 15.8x 4.4x
BOX Box Inc $5.93B 69.7x –
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. $5.73B – 5.9x
OCTV Octave Intelligence Plc $5.68B – 1.1x

Where MSFT sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock news

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FAQ

Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Microsoft Corp (MSFT) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Microsoft Corp every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Microsoft Corp stock predictions?

For MSFT, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 13.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Microsoft Corp forecasts updated?

Microsoft Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Microsoft Corp's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MSFT included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP), Salesforce, Inc. (CRM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.