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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $68.39B large-cap · #1 of 10 peers
Summary

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, NOC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $68.39B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 25.1% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one. Its Current Ratio of 1.17x is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NOC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

NOC price chart and AI forecast

NOC
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How NOC ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $68.39B $6.09B 1/10
P/E Ratio 15.21x 26.23x 6/6
P/B Ratio 3.82x 3.35x 4/9
Dividend Yield 1.96% – –
EPS $31.43 – –
Book Value/Share $125.89 – –
Revenue/Share $301.92 – –
FCF/Share $25.66 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
ROE 25.1% 8.9% 1/9
ROA 8.9% 5.4% 2/10
ROIC 12.3% 9.0% 3/9
Operating Margin 10.7% 10.3% 4/10
Net Margin 10.5% 8.3% 4/10
EBT Margin 12.3% 10.0% 4/10
Tax Rate 14.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.17x 2.05x 10/10
Quick Ratio 1.06x 1.54x 7/8
D/E Ratio 1.84x 0.40x 1/9
Financial Leverage 2.84x 1.40x 1/9
Working Capital $2.25B $633M 2/10

Cash Flow

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.08B $254M 1/10
Free Cash Flow $3.65B $185M 1/10
Capital Spending -$1.43B -$95M 10/10
OCF Growth YoY 70.9% 23.9% 1/7
FCF Growth YoY 178.8% 19.8% 1/7
FCF/Sales 8.5% 9.6% 6/9
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 2.3% 4/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.84x 0.53x 3/9
Receivables Turnover 18.6x 6.8x 1/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.2x 6.3x 7/8
Days Sales Outstanding 20 days 54 days 9/9

Income Statement

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $42.89B $3.78B 1/9
Operating Income $4.60B $202M 1/10
Net Income $4.50B $164M 1/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $9.45 – –
Payout Ratio 30.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 142M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$15.59B30.7% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.31B4.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.31B4.6% of assets
Inventory$1.42B2.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$32.88B64.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$10.45B20.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NOC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ ▶ $68.39B 15.2x 3.8x
GRMN Garmin Ltd ▼ $53.31B 31.1x 5.8x
LHX L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ ▼ $43.71B 23.3x 2.2x
TDY Teledyne Technologies Inc ▼ $28.45B 29.2x 2.6x
DRS Leonardo Drs, Inc. ▲ $9.38B 29.1x 3.4x
LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. ▲ $2.79B – –
NN Nextnav Inc. ▲ $1.91B – 5.7x
AERG Applied Energetics, Inc. ▶ $196M – 89.5x
CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. ▲ $113M 22.4x 1.8x
MIND Mind Technology, Inc ▲ $40M – 1.0x

Where NOC sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
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News

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FAQ

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, NOC is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NOC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ forecasts updated?

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/'s industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, NOC included, share the SEC industry code Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys. The largest are: Garmin Ltd (GRMN), L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ (LHX), Teledyne Technologies Inc (TDY), Leonardo Drs, Inc. (DRS), Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR), Nextnav Inc. (NN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.