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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 48.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $339M small-cap · #11 of 14 peers
Summary

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Orion Group Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Orion Group Holdings Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $339M. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 1.96x is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one.

For ORN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ORN included.

Price

ORN price chart and AI forecast

ORN
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How ORN ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $339M $5.21B 11/14
P/E Ratio 70.83x 32.30x 2/6
P/B Ratio 1.96x 5.54x 11/11
EPS $0.12 – –
Book Value/Share $4.34 – –
Revenue/Share $23.25 – –
FCF/Share $-0.96 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
ROE 3.3% 16.9% 6/8
ROA 1.1% 1.1% 5/9
ROIC 3.5% 3.5% 5/9
Gross Margin 11.8% 9.6% 5/10
Operating Margin 1.2% 2.9% 6/10
Net Margin 0.6% 1.5% 6/10
EBT Margin 0.0% 2.1% 7/10
Tax Rate 14185.4% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.37x 1.13x 4/13
Quick Ratio 1.36x – –
D/E Ratio 2.15x 2.58x 8/12
Financial Leverage 3.15x 4.14x 9/11
Interest Coverage 3.1x 5.0x 8/12
Working Capital $81M $118M 9/13

Cash Flow

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $3M $178M 6/10
Free Cash Flow -$38M $201M 6/8
Capital Spending -$41M -$116M 2/8
OCF Growth YoY -88.8% 19.8% 6/8
FCF/Sales -4.1% 3.7% 7/8
CapEx/Sales 4.5% 3.1% 2/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.70x 1.16x 2/8
Inventory Turnover 365.6x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.7x 12.1x 6/9
Days Inventory 1 days – –

Income Statement

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $928M $4.31B 7/9
Operating Income $11M $155M 6/10
Net Income $6M $8M 6/10
SG&A Expense $99M $278M 4/6
Cost of Goods Sold $819M $3.11B 8/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricORNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 40M – –
Net Income Growth -39.1% -31.3% 5/7

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$300M55.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$6M1.0% of assets
Inventory$2M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$371M68.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

ORN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Orion Group Holdings Inc (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc $339M 70.8x 2.0x
HTHIY Hitachi Ltd $143.24B – 9.2x
FER Ferrovial N.V. $41.25B – –
J Jacobs Solutions Inc. $18.10B 78.1x 5.5x
STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. $10.26B 18.8x 6.8x
FLR Fluor Corp $6.27B – 2.3x
ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. $5.48B 45.8x 18.3x
GVA Granite Construction Inc $5.41B – 5.7x
KBR Kbr, Inc. $5.00B 12.4x 2.8x
MWH Solv Energy, Inc. $4.86B – 9.8x
CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. $731M – 3.0x
SHIM Shimmick Corp $106M – –
RNGE Range Impact, Inc. $61M 2.9x 2.8x
SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. $40M – –

Where ORN sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors
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News

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock news

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FAQ

Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Orion Group Holdings Inc (ORN) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Orion Group Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Orion Group Holdings Inc stock predictions?

For ORN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Orion Group Holdings Inc forecasts updated?

Orion Group Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Orion Group Holdings Inc's industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, ORN included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL), Fluor Corp (FLR), Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.