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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -26.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $10.26B large-cap · #4 of 14 peers
Summary

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.26B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 14 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Gross Margin of 23.8% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For STRL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -26.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, STRL included.

Price

STRL price chart and AI forecast

STRL
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How STRL ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $10.26B $5.21B 4/14
P/E Ratio 18.81x 32.30x 4/6
P/B Ratio 6.80x 5.54x 4/11
EPS $17.83 – –
Book Value/Share $49.30 – –
Revenue/Share $141.01 – –
FCF/Share $15.41 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
ROE 36.8% 16.9% 2/8
ROA 15.9% 1.1% 1/9
ROIC 41.5% 3.5% 1/9
Gross Margin 23.8% 9.6% 1/10
Operating Margin 18.2% 2.9% 2/10
Net Margin 12.8% 1.5% 2/10
EBT Margin 19.5% 2.1% 2/10
Tax Rate 22.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.04x 1.13x 10/13
D/E Ratio 1.28x 2.58x 11/12
Financial Leverage 2.31x 4.14x 11/11
Interest Coverage 6.7x 5.0x 4/12
Working Capital $58M $118M 10/13

Cash Flow

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $613M $178M 2/10
Free Cash Flow $471M $201M 2/8
Capital Spending -$142M -$116M 6/8
OCF Growth YoY 43.2% 19.8% 2/8
FCF Growth YoY 30.3% 21.4% 2/6
FCF/Sales 10.9% 3.7% 1/8
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 3.1% 4/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.24x 1.16x 3/8
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.1x 12.1x 5/9
Payables Period 43 days 47 days 6/9

Income Statement

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.31B $4.31B 5/9
Operating Income $784M $155M 1/10
Net Income $554M $8M 1/10
Cost of Goods Sold $3.29B $3.11B 5/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSTRLIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 31M – –
Net Income Growth 75.5% -31.3% 1/7
EPS Growth 59.3% -18.0% 1/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$1.65B47.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$217M6.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.93B55.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.20B34.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

STRL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors): 14 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. $10.26B 18.8x 6.8x
HTHIY Hitachi Ltd $143.24B – 9.2x
FER Ferrovial N.V. $41.25B – –
J Jacobs Solutions Inc. $18.10B 78.1x 5.5x
FLR Fluor Corp $6.27B – 2.3x
ROAD Construction Partners, Inc. $5.48B 45.8x 18.3x
GVA Granite Construction Inc $5.41B – 5.7x
KBR Kbr, Inc. $5.00B 12.4x 2.8x
MWH Solv Energy, Inc. $4.86B – 9.8x
CDNL Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. $731M – 3.0x
ORN Orion Group Holdings Inc $339M 70.8x 2.0x
SHIM Shimmick Corp $106M – –
RNGE Range Impact, Inc. $61M 2.9x 2.8x
SLND Southland Holdings, Inc. $40M – –

Where STRL sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors
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News

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock news

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FAQ

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. stock predictions?

For STRL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -26.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. forecasts updated?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.'s industry peers?

14 issuers in our coverage, STRL included, share the SEC industry code Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors. The largest are: Hitachi Ltd (HTHIY), Ferrovial N.V. (FER), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J), Fluor Corp (FLR), Construction Partners, Inc. (ROAD), Granite Construction Inc (GVA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.