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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Paccar Inc (PCAR) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $56.84B large-cap · #5 of 18 peers
Summary

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, PCAR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Paccar Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $56.84B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 18 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PCAR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PCAR included.

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Price

PCAR price chart and AI forecast

PCAR
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How PCAR ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Paccar Inc (PCAR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $56.84B $10.75B 5/18
P/E Ratio 22.70x 37.80x 5/5
P/B Ratio 2.80x 2.80x 6/11
Dividend Yield 13.36% 4.38% 2/5
EPS $5.72 – –
Book Value/Share $38.61 – –
Revenue/Share $52.85 – –
FCF/Share $7.02 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
ROE 12.3% -7.1% 2/10
ROA 5.7% -13.1% 2/13
Gross Margin 20.0% 8.0% 3/11
Net Margin 9.0% -29.1% 2/12
EBT Margin 11.5% -29.9% 2/12
Tax Rate 21.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.16x 1.19x 7/12
Financial Leverage 2.16x 2.20x 7/12

Cash Flow

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $4.34B $185M 6/16
Free Cash Flow $3.70B $506M 4/10
Capital Spending -$648M -$840M 5/10
OCF Growth YoY -2.9% 5.2% 5/7
FCF Growth YoY 1.0% 2.5% 4/5
FCF/Sales 13.3% 5.3% 3/10
CapEx/Sales 2.3% 4.8% 8/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.63x 0.51x 5/10

Income Statement

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $27.82B $4.17B 4/10
Net Income $2.50B -$27M 2/13
R&D Expense $441M $250M 6/12
SG&A Expense $744M $744M 7/13
Cost of Goods Sold $22.26B $2.60B 5/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPCARIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $14.42 – –
Payout Ratio 252.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 526M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$5.57B12.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$23.66B53.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PCAR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Paccar Inc (PCAR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Paccar Inc (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PCAR Paccar Inc ▶ $56.84B 22.7x 2.8x
TSLA Tesla, Inc. ▲ $1.49T 392.5x 17.2x
HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd ▼ $155.70B – –
RACE Ferrari N.V. ▼ $94.91B – –
GM General Motors Co ▲ $73.71B 37.8x 1.2x
F Ford Motor Co ▲ $48.25B – 1.3x
LI Li Auto Inc. ▼ $23.83B – 0.5x
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De ▶ $18.21B – 3.6x
STLA Stellantis N.V. ▼ $12.69B – –
NIO Nio Inc. ▼ $8.81B – –
OSK Oshkosh Corp ▶ $8.01B 86.7x 1.8x
FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ ▶ $6.97B 24.4x 4.6x
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. ▶ $1.32B – –
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. ▼ $411M – –
GGR Gogoro Inc. ▲ $47M – –
WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. ▼ $33M – 4.5x
AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. ▲ $14M – 3.3x
FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. ▼ $3M – 0.3x
BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
CENN Cenntro Inc. ▼ N/A – –
FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. ▼ N/A – –
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc ▶ N/A – –
TM Toyota Motor Corp/ ▼ N/A – –

Where PCAR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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News

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock news

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FAQ

Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Paccar Inc (PCAR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, PCAR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Paccar Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PCAR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Paccar Inc forecasts updated?

Paccar Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Paccar Inc's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, PCAR included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), General Motors Co (GM), Ford Motor Co (F), Li Auto Inc. (LI).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.