Goldman says Tesla’s robotaxi, Optimus outlook will matter more than Q3 earnings. Here’s the bar for Oct. 21
Tesla Inc. TSLA shares are in the spotlight, with earnings on deck, its AI and robotics outlook in focus, recent analyst ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$1.48T
mega-cap · #1 of 18 peers
Summary
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Tesla, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Tesla, Inc. is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.48T. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 18 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 17.06x is the highest of the 11 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TSLA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TSLA included.
Follow TSLA freePrice
TSLA price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How TSLA ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.48T | 1/18 |
| P/E Ratio | 389.59x | 1/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 17.06x | 1/11 |
| EPS | $1.07 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $21.99 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $26.24 | – |
| FCF/Share | $1.46 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 4.4% | 3/10 |
| ROA | 2.6% | 3/13 |
| ROIC | 3.9% | 2/10 |
| Gross Margin | 18.9% | 4/11 |
| Operating Margin | 4.2% | 2/11 |
| Net Margin | 3.7% | 4/12 |
| EBT Margin | 5.0% | 3/12 |
| Tax Rate | 25.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.94x | 4/15 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.55x | 3/14 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.70x | 11/12 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.71x | 11/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.8x | 4/15 |
| Working Capital | $33.33B | 1/15 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $18.68B | 5/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.76B | 3/10 |
| Capital Spending | -$12.92B | 10/10 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 18.5% | 2/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 3.2% | 2/5 |
| FCF/Sales | 5.6% | 5/10 |
| CapEx/Sales | 12.5% | 4/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.70x | 2/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 25.4x | 1/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 6.1x | 3/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.2x | 3/8 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 14 days | 9/9 |
| Days Inventory | 60 days | 9/11 |
| Payables Period | 67 days | 7/10 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 8 days | 6/7 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $103.62B | 3/10 |
| Operating Income | $4.37B | 3/14 |
| Net Income | $3.80B | 1/13 |
| R&D Expense | $7.73B | 3/12 |
| SG&A Expense | $7.03B | 4/13 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $84.08B | 4/14 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TSLA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 3950M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $68.76B | 46.3% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $15.22B | 10.2% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $4.09B | 2.8% of assets |
| Inventory | $13.75B | 9.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $61.01B | 41.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $20.10B | 13.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
TSLA quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Tesla, Inc. (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TSLA Tesla, Inc. | ▲ | $1.48T |
| HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd | ▼ | $155.70B |
| RACE Ferrari N.V. | ▼ | $94.91B |
| GM General Motors Co | ▲ | $73.71B |
| PCAR Paccar Inc | ▶ | $56.84B |
| F Ford Motor Co | ▲ | $48.25B |
| LI Li Auto Inc. | ▼ | $23.83B |
| RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De | ▶ | $18.21B |
| STLA Stellantis N.V. | ▼ | $12.89B |
| NIO Nio Inc. | ▼ | $8.81B |
| OSK Oshkosh Corp | ▶ | $8.01B |
| FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ | ▶ | $6.97B |
| LCID Lucid Group, Inc. | ▶ | $1.32B |
| LOT Lotus Technology Inc. | ▼ | $411M |
| GGR Gogoro Inc. | ▲ | $47M |
| WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. | ▼ | $33M |
| AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $14M |
| FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. | ▼ | $3M |
| BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| CENN Cenntro Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc | ▶ | N/A |
| TM Toyota Motor Corp/ | ▼ | N/A |
Where TSLA sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
News
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock news
Tesla Rival XPeng Says It Can Adapt Driver-Assist Tech for Europe in Just 2 Weeks as Elon Musk's TSLA Faces Fresh Regulatory Pushback Over FSD
Tesla Inc.’s Chinese rival XPeng Inc. says it can adapt its driver assistance technology to match European safety standards ...
Tesla is up 10% — so why are these 2X TSLA ETFs heading in the opposite direction?
Tesla Inc. TSLA shares gained nearly 10% between Sep. 8, 2025, and Oct. 9, 2026, but five daily 2X leveraged Tesla ETFs, ...
FAQ
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Tesla, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Tesla, Inc. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TSLA is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Tesla, Inc. forecasts updated?
Tesla, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Tesla, Inc.'s industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, TSLA included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), General Motors Co (GM), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F), Li Auto Inc. (LI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.