Radian Group Inc (RDN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Radian Group Inc (RDN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, RDN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Radian Group Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $4.47B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 6 Surety Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RDN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RDN included.
Follow RDN freeRDN price chart and AI forecast
How RDN ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Radian Group Inc (RDN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Surety Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $4.47B | 3/6 |
| P/E Ratio | 8.33x | 2/5 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.93x | 4/5 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.19% | – |
| EPS | $3.97 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $36.34 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $12.11 | – |
| FCF/Share | $10.51 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 11.2% | 4/5 |
| ROA | 5.0% | 3/6 |
| Gross Margin | 97.7% | – |
| Net Margin | 33.5% | 4/6 |
| EBT Margin | 46.9% | 3/6 |
| Tax Rate | 22.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 1.22x | 3/5 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.22x | 3/5 |
| Interest Coverage | 5.6x | – |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.39B | 1/6 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.39B | – |
| Capital Spending | -$3M | – |
| FCF/Sales | 86.8% | – |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | – |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 4/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.60B | 2/6 |
| Net Income | $536M | 3/6 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $37M | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RDN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.08 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 27.2% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 132M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $119M | 1.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.85B | 54.9% of assets |
RDN quarterly financials and insider trading
Radian Group Inc (RDN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Radian Group Inc (Surety Insurance): 6 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up freeWhere RDN sits on the market map
Radian Group Inc (RDN) stock news
Loading...
Radian Group Inc (RDN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Radian Group Inc (RDN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, RDN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Radian Group Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RDN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Radian Group Inc forecasts updated?
Radian Group Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Radian Group Inc's industry peers?
6 issuers in our coverage, RDN included, share the SEC industry code Surety Insurance. The largest are: Old Republic International Corp (ORI), Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT), Assured Guaranty Ltd (AGO), Nmi Holdings, Inc. (NMIH), Mbia Inc (MBI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.