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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $18.21B large-cap · #8 of 18 peers
Summary

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $18.21B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 18 Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RIVN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RIVN included.

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Price

RIVN price chart and AI forecast

RIVN
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How RIVN ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $18.21B $10.85B 8/18
P/B Ratio 3.57x 2.80x 4/11
EPS $-2.73 – –
Book Value/Share $3.75 – –
Revenue/Share $4.32 – –
FCF/Share $-2.56 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
ROE -63.3% -7.1% 7/10
ROA -21.4% -13.1% 8/13
ROIC -30.7% -17.4% 6/10
Gross Margin 7.5% 8.0% 7/11
Operating Margin -60.0% -44.2% 7/11
Net Margin -55.0% -29.1% 7/12
EBT Margin -54.8% -29.9% 7/12
Tax Rate 0.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.10x 1.28x 2/15
Quick Ratio 1.65x 0.88x 2/14
D/E Ratio 1.96x 1.19x 5/12
Financial Leverage 2.97x 2.20x 5/12
Interest Coverage -3.8x -14.8x 6/15
Working Capital $4.00B $16M 4/15

Cash Flow

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$1.84B $185M 15/16
Free Cash Flow -$3.49B $506M 9/10
Capital Spending -$1.64B -$840M 7/10
OCF Growth YoY -1108.2% 5.2% 7/7
FCF/Sales -59.3% 5.3% 7/10
CapEx/Sales 27.9% 4.8% 3/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.39x 0.51x 6/10
Receivables Turnover 15.9x 10.3x 2/9
Inventory Turnover 3.3x 2.2x 5/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.1x 1.6x 6/8
Days Sales Outstanding 23 days 36 days 8/9
Days Inventory 111 days 165 days 7/11
Payables Period 60 days 111 days 8/10
Cash Conversion Cycle 75 days 120 days 5/7

Income Statement

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $5.88B $4.17B 5/10
Operating Income -$3.53B -$16M 12/14
Net Income -$3.23B -$27M 11/13
R&D Expense $1.80B $250M 4/12
SG&A Expense $2.17B $744M 5/13
Cost of Goods Sold $5.44B $2.60B 6/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRIVNIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1362M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$7.62B50.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.59B23.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$370M2.4% of assets
Inventory$1.66B11.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$10.01B66.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$2.73B18.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RIVN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De ▲ $18.21B – 3.6x
TSLA Tesla, Inc. ▲ $1.48T 389.6x 17.1x
HMC Honda Motor Co Ltd ▼ $155.70B – –
RACE Ferrari N.V. ▼ $94.91B – –
GM General Motors Co ▲ $73.71B 37.8x 1.2x
PCAR Paccar Inc ▶ $56.84B 22.7x 2.8x
F Ford Motor Co ▲ $48.25B – 1.3x
LI Li Auto Inc. ▼ $23.83B – 0.5x
STLA Stellantis N.V. ▶ $12.89B – –
NIO Nio Inc. ▼ $8.81B – –
OSK Oshkosh Corp ▶ $8.01B 86.7x 1.8x
FSS Federal Signal Corp /De/ ▲ $6.97B 24.4x 4.6x
LCID Lucid Group, Inc. ▲ $1.32B – –
LOT Lotus Technology Inc. ▼ $420M – –
GGR Gogoro Inc. ▶ $48M – –
WKHS Workhorse Group Inc. ▶ $33M – 4.5x
AIEV Thunder Power Holdings, Inc. ▲ $14M – 3.3x
FLYE Fly-E Group, Inc. ▼ $6M – 0.4x
BINI Bollinger Innovations, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
CENN Cenntro Inc. ▼ N/A – –
FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. ▼ N/A – –
PSNY Polestar Automotive Holding Uk Plc ▶ N/A – –
TM Toyota Motor Corp/ ▼ N/A – –

Where RIVN sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies
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News

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) stock news

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FAQ

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De (RIVN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for RIVN is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De forecasts updated?

Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Rivian Automotive, Inc. / De's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, RIVN included, share the SEC industry code Motor Vehicles & Passenger Car Bodies. The largest are: Tesla, Inc. (TSLA), Honda Motor Co Ltd (HMC), Ferrari N.V. (RACE), General Motors Co (GM), Paccar Inc (PCAR), Ford Motor Co (F).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.