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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 54.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $167M small-cap · #28 of 40 peers
Summary

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $167M. It ranks number 28 by market capitalization among the 40 Retail-Eating Places issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RRGB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 44.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

RRGB price chart and AI forecast

RRGB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RRGB ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-07-12

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Eating Places peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $167M $480M 28/40
EPS $-1.50 – –
Revenue/Share $62.95 – –
FCF/Share $-0.09 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
ROA -5.7% 4.3% 24/28
ROIC -1.2% 7.4% 28/34
Operating Margin -0.4% 4.5% 29/38
Net Margin -2.5% 4.7% 25/30
EBT Margin -2.5% 3.1% 32/40
Tax Rate -1.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.71x 0.65x 19/39
Quick Ratio 0.62x 0.61x 17/34
Interest Coverage 1.2x 4.1x 25/34
Working Capital -$52M -$42M 25/39

Cash Flow

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $22M $76M 27/40
Free Cash Flow -$2M $38M 26/34
Capital Spending -$24M -$75M 9/34
OCF Growth YoY -1.4% 8.2% 21/35
FCF/Sales -0.1% 2.3% 26/34
CapEx/Sales 2.0% 5.3% 31/34

Operational Efficiency

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.25x 1.06x 3/32
Receivables Turnover 86.2x 77.7x 11/24
Fixed Assets Turnover 12.2x 4.3x 4/34
Days Sales Outstanding 4 days 5 days 14/24

Income Statement

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.19B $1.19B 17/35
Operating Income -$4M $34M 30/38
Net Income -$30M $24M 28/30
SG&A Expense $112M $114M 6/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRRGBIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 19M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$129M24.5% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$23M4.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$14M2.6% of assets
Inventory$17M3.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$634M
Short-term Debt$153M29.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RRGB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Retail-Eating Places

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (Retail-Eating Places): 41 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RRGB Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc ▲ $167M – –
MCD Mcdonalds Corp ▼ $171.94B 19.7x –
YUM Yum Brands Inc ▼ $41.07B 17.0x –
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc ▲ $37.82B 26.2x 11.3x
QSR Restaurant Brands International Inc. ▼ $26.12B 23.2x 6.8x
DRI Darden Restaurants Inc ▼ $24.48B 21.2x 11.8x
YUMC Yum China Holdings, Inc. ▼ $15.45B 17.2x 2.9x
ARMK Aramark ▼ $14.57B 42.2x 4.3x
TXRH Texas Roadhouse, Inc. ▶ $11.05B 26.9x 7.1x
EAT Brinker International, Inc ▶ $8.53B 18.8x 19.2x
CAVA Cava Group, Inc. ▶ $6.69B 100.4x 8.0x
CAKE Cheesecake Factory Inc ▲ $5.72B 26.4x 11.0x
WING Wingstop Inc. ▶ $3.59B 31.1x –
CBRL Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc ▲ $1.54B 49.3x 3.2x
BH Biglari Holdings Inc. ▶ $1.37B – 2.5x
BJRI Bjs Restaurants Inc ▶ $1.26B 46.8x 3.2x
SG Sweetgreen, Inc. ▲ $1.19B – 2.6x
BLMN Bloomin' Brands, Inc. ▲ $852M 62.2x 2.0x
FWRG First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $748M 37.9x 1.2x
PZZA Papa Johns International Inc ▶ $638M 22.6x –
LOCO El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc. ▼ $497M 15.0x 1.6x
KRUS Kura Sushi Usa, Inc. ▶ $463M – 2.0x
NATH Nathans Famous, Inc. ▼ $418M 21.1x –
DIN Dine Brands Global, Inc. ▶ $405M 56.2x –
PTLO Portillo's Inc. ▶ $354M 19.4x 1.1x
PLAY Dave & Buster's Entertainment, Inc. ▲ $265M – 3.0x
JACK Jack In The Box Inc ▲ $234M 9.0x –
RICK Rci Hospitality Holdings, Inc. ▶ $196M 9.4x 0.8x
BDL Flanigans Enterprises Inc ▼ $89M 13.2x 1.3x
NDLS Noodles & Co ▶ $83M – –
GENK Gen Restaurant Group, Inc. ▶ $56M – 4.6x
STKS One Group Hospitality, Inc. ▲ $38M – –
LVO Liveone, Inc. ▲ $32M – –
CCHH Cch Holdings Ltd ▶ $19M – –
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp ▼ $16M 17.5x 0.5x
GTIM Good Times Restaurants Inc. ▶ $15M 9.9x 0.4x
NROM Noble Romans Inc ▲ $13M 11.7x 3.5x
REBN Reborn Coffee, Inc. ▶ $12M – 32.9x
BTBD Bt Brands, Inc. ▲ $10M – 1.6x
BABB Bab, Inc. ▼ $6M 9.1x 1.6x
VSTD Vestand Inc. ▲ N/A – –

Where RRGB sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Retail-Eating Places
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News

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) stock news

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FAQ

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc (RRGB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc stock predictions?

For RRGB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 44.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc forecasts updated?

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc's industry peers?

41 issuers in our coverage, RRGB included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Eating Places. The largest are: Mcdonalds Corp (MCD), Yum Brands Inc (YUM), Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG), Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR), Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI), Yum China Holdings, Inc. (YUMC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.