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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5121 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 61.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $26.15B large-cap · #14 of 60 peers
Summary

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Trip.Com Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Trip.Com Group Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $26.15B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For TCOM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.4%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.5% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TCOM included.

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Price

TCOM price chart and AI forecast

TCOM
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How TCOM ranks among 5121 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2022-12-31

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CNY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $26.15B $6.58B 14/60
P/E Ratio 13.32x 28.90x 35/45
P/B Ratio 11.08x 4.58x 11/48
EPS $3.00 – –
Book Value/Share $3.60 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Tax Rate 27.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.70x 1.41x 43/52
Financial Leverage 1.71x 2.45x 40/48
Interest Coverage 0.1x 5.1x 40/47

Cash Flow

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $167M $497M 39/53

Income Statement

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $87M $388M 34/51
R&D Expense $1.05B $316M 7/27
SG&A Expense $1.66B $903M 16/41
Cost of Goods Sold $749M $1.33B 30/41

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTCOMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 655M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CNY)

Total Liabilities$1.65B41.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TCOM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Trip.Com Group Ltd (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TCOM Trip.Com Group Ltd ▼ $26.15B 13.3x 11.1x
V Visa Inc. ▶ $733.78B 33.0x 20.6x
MA Mastercard Inc ▼ $539.90B 33.9x 96.2x
BABA Alibaba Group Holding Ltd ▶ $257.75B 78.2x 1.7x
ACN Accenture Plc ▶ $150.19B 18.0x 4.7x
UBER Uber Technologies, Inc ▶ $145.57B 13.5x 5.3x
PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. ▼ $118.17B – 28.3x
MELI Mercadolibre Inc ▶ $94.14B 50.5x 12.0x
DASH Doordash, Inc. ▼ $83.65B 99.5x 8.4x
RELX Relx Plc ▼ $69.89B 7.4x –
EBAY Ebay Inc ▼ $54.69B 25.5x 11.7x
PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. ▼ $53.48B 10.7x 2.7x
MSCI Msci Inc. ▼ $41.81B 31.5x –
CPAY Corpay, Inc. ▼ $26.67B 24.7x 7.5x
FISV Fiserv Inc ▼ $25.10B 9.1x 0.9x
GPN Global Payments Inc ▼ $22.27B – 1.0x
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. ▼ $19.85B 18.1x 7.0x
FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. ▼ $18.63B 5.4x 1.2x
KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz ▶ $18.04B – –
FICO Fair Isaac Corp ▲ $16.63B 22.2x –
RBA Rb Global Inc. ▼ $16.14B 39.3x 2.9x
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc ▲ $13.27B 32.1x 2.8x
CSGP Costar Group, Inc. ▶ $12.97B 213.3x 1.6x
WSE Wise Group Plc ▶ $12.33B – 6.4x
GRAB Grab Holdings Ltd ▶ $12.28B – –
CART Maplebear Inc. ▶ $11.84B 31.2x 5.1x
ETSY Etsy Inc ▲ $8.19B 114.3x –
HQY Healthequity, Inc. ▼ $7.65B 36.1x 3.9x
Z Zillow Group, Inc. ▲ $7.07B 524.4x 1.6x
ANDG Andersen Group Inc. ▶ $6.66B – –
LYFT Lyft, Inc. ▶ $6.50B 2.5x –
EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. ▶ $6.21B 24.9x 8.0x
WEX Wex Inc. ▼ $6.17B 18.1x 4.6x
XMTR Xometry, Inc. ▲ $5.71B – –
MBGL Mobility Global Inc. ▶ $5.52B – 0.6x
RELY Remitly Global, Inc. ▲ $5.22B 20.4x 4.6x
QH Quhuo Ltd ▶ $4.83B – 11.7x
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. ▼ $4.67B 38.2x 1.0x
SEZL Sezzle Inc. ▶ $4.46B 28.9x 19.1x
DLO Dlocal Ltd ▶ $4.45B – –
PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. ▶ $4.05B 52.7x 6.6x
TNET Trinet Group, Inc. ▼ $3.23B 18.7x 25.9x
MMS Maximus, Inc. ▼ $3.15B 8.1x 1.8x
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. ▶ $3.11B 29.5x 10.4x
CBZ Cbiz, Inc. ▼ $2.97B 238.0x 1.6x
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. ▼ $2.42B 54.9x 3.7x
TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. ▶ $1.89B – 0.9x
ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. ▶ $1.78B – 4.6x
CNXC Concentrix Corp ▲ $1.69B – 1.0x
NUTX Nutex Health Inc. ▶ $1.41B 7.7x 3.6x
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc ▼ $1.38B 45.9x 5.9x
RDWR Radware Ltd ▲ $1.22B 1418.4x 3.5x
RSKD Riskified Ltd. ▲ $1.14B – 3.9x
QNST Quinstreet, Inc ▲ $930M 11.6x 2.9x
PAYS Paysign, Inc. ▲ $881M 70.9x 14.6x
CASS Cass Information Systems Inc ▶ $695M 19.7x 2.8x
PHR Phreesia, Inc. ▶ $685M 184.0x 2.6x
TDTH Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd ▼ $663M – –
PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. ▶ $645M 11.9x –
MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. ▲ $619M 8.5x 21.8x

Where TCOM sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
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FAQ

Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Trip.Com Group Ltd (TCOM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Trip.Com Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Trip.Com Group Ltd stock predictions?

For TCOM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Trip.Com Group Ltd forecasts updated?

Trip.Com Group Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Trip.Com Group Ltd's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, TCOM included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Visa Inc. (V), Mastercard Inc (MA), Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA), Accenture Plc (ACN), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.