Twilio stock tumbles on Q3 earnings
Twilio Inc TWLO reported financial results for the third quarter after the closing bell on Thursday. Here’s a look at the key ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03
Twilio Inc (TWLO) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
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90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
55.0%
Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap
$31.88B
large-cap · #20 of 60 peers
Summary
Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Twilio Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Twilio Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $31.88B. It ranks number 20 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TWLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.9%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TWLO included.
Price
TWLO price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-30
How TWLO ranks among 4891 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-09-30
Twilio Inc (TWLO) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $31.88B | 20/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 27.10x | 24/39 |
| P/B Ratio | 3.48x | 45/51 |
| EPS | $7.66 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $59.71 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $37.97 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 13.9% | 25/45 |
| ROA | 11.5% | 17/47 |
| ROIC | 3.9% | 31/53 |
| Gross Margin | 48.6% | 50/55 |
| Operating Margin | 6.8% | 34/58 |
| Net Margin | 21.8% | 15/49 |
| EBT Margin | 4.8% | 36/58 |
| Tax Rate | -360.3% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.47x | 6/57 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.21x | 48/52 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.21x | 47/51 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.0x | 28/46 |
| Working Capital | $3.09B | 9/57 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.19B | 21/58 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 41.2% | 18/51 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.53x | 28/49 |
| Receivables Turnover | 7.7x | 18/49 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 31.7x | 21/48 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 47 days | 32/49 |
| Payables Period | 8 days | 44/52 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $5.83B | 17/52 |
| Operating Income | $398M | 20/58 |
| Net Income | $1.27B | 11/49 |
| R&D Expense | $1.08B | 17/58 |
| SG&A Expense | $2.48B | 20/57 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $3.00B | 7/56 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TWLO | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 154M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 1793.3% | 1/31 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $3.99B | 35.9% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.06B | 9.6% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $755M | 6.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.94B | 17.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $830M | 7.5% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
TWLO quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software
Twilio Inc (TWLO) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Twilio Inc (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TWLO Twilio Inc | $31.88B | |
| MSFT Microsoft Corp | $3.77T | |
| PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | $428.53B | |
| ORCL Oracle Corp | $360.49B | |
| SAP Sap Se | $287.00B | |
| CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. | $250.54B | |
| SHOP Shopify Inc. | $201.00B | |
| CRM Salesforce, Inc. | $186.15B | |
| NET Cloudflare, Inc. | $98.68B | |
| ADBE Adobe Inc. | $95.80B | |
| SNPS Synopsys Inc | $89.32B | |
| CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc | $88.83B | |
| DDOG Datadog, Inc. | $84.48B | |
| NTES Netease, Inc. | $73.99B | |
| ADSK Autodesk, Inc. | $52.73B | |
| VEEV Veeva Systems Inc | $49.71B | |
| TEAM Atlassian Corp | $47.36B | |
| XYZ Block, Inc. | $45.79B | |
| OKTA Okta, Inc. | $36.40B | |
| TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc | $35.92B | |
| RBLX Roblox Corp | $30.71B | |
| CRWV Coreweave, Inc. | $29.64B | |
| MDB Mongodb, Inc. | $26.62B | |
| RBRK Rubrik, Inc. | $23.77B | |
| PTC Ptc Inc. | $21.22B | |
| SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc | $19.14B | |
| GEN Gen Digital Inc. | $17.89B | |
| NTNX Nutanix, Inc. | $17.43B | |
| TYL Tyler Technologies Inc | $16.15B | |
| CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd | $16.06B | |
| MANH Manhattan Associates Inc | $14.76B | |
| DT Dynatrace, Inc. | $13.59B | |
| GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. | $13.32B | |
| BSY Bentley Systems Inc | $12.36B | |
| PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. | $11.99B | |
| HUBS Hubspot Inc | $11.64B | |
| FIG Figma, Inc. | $11.21B | |
| SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. | $10.96B | |
| FROG Jfrog Ltd | $10.49B | |
| ESTC Elastic N.V. | $10.21B | |
| PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. | $9.33B | |
| PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp | $9.24B | |
| NTSK Netskope Inc | $8.99B | |
| GTLB Gitlab Inc. | $8.68B | |
| DBX Dropbox, Inc. | $8.18B | |
| S Sentinelone, Inc. | $8.06B | |
| APPF Appfolio Inc | $7.93B | |
| TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. | $7.91B | |
| DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc | $7.84B | |
| ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. | $7.51B | |
| GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. | $7.27B | |
| QLYS Qualys, Inc. | $7.18B | |
| PATH Uipath, Inc. | $6.95B | |
| NICE Nice Ltd. | $6.79B | |
| NAVN Navan, Inc. | $6.61B | |
| CVLT Commvault Systems Inc | $6.59B | |
| DUOL Duolingo, Inc. | $6.16B | |
| BOX Box Inc | $5.90B | |
| KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. | $5.73B | |
| OCTV Octave Intelligence Plc | $5.68B |
Where TWLO sits on the market map
Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
News
Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock news
Twilio Inc. Earnings Call Signals High-Growth Momentum
Twilio Inc () has held its Q3 earnings call. Read on for the main highlights of the call. Twilio’s latest earnings call struck a distinctly bullish tone as management detailed r ...
Twilio Q3 earnings beat estimates on strong revenue growth
Twilio Inc. TWLO reported better-than-expected third-quarter 2026 results, with both earnings and revenues surpassing the ...
FAQ
Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Twilio Inc (TWLO) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Twilio Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Twilio Inc stock predictions?
For TWLO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 55.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Twilio Inc forecasts updated?
Twilio Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.
Which companies are Twilio Inc's industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, TWLO included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.