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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) AI Forecast

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Stock Forecast Sept. 17, 2026

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on September 17, 2026, 9:09 p.m. (UTC)

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) operates within the Technology sector, specifically in the Services-Prepackaged Software industry. . With a market capitalization of $3 billion, the company is a mid-cap stock that typically offers a balance between growth potential and established business operations.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (Stock Symbol: ALRM) is a prominent company operating within the Technology sector, with a specific focus on the Services-Prepackaged Software industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the Nasdaq exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. generates annual revenues of $1 billion , indicating a well-established business with proven market demand.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc....

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Strategic Market Position

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Services-Prepackaged Software marketplace. As a mid-cap company, it occupies an attractive position balancing growth potential with established operations. Mid-caps often represent the 'sweet spot' for investors seeking companies that have proven their business models but still have meaningful runway for expansion. These companies are large enough to have competitive advantages but nimble enough to adapt quickly to market changes.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. operates within the fast-evolving technology sector where competitive dynamics are shaped by innovation cycles, platform economics, and network effects. Technology companies must continuously invest in R&D to maintain relevance, while also defending against disruption from startups and adjacent market entrants. Success in this sector often requires achieving critical scale or establishing defensible intellectual property positions.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $188 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of 10.4%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.64x indicates moderate asset turnover common in capital-intensive industries such as utilities, real estate, or heavy manufacturing. Lower turnover in these sectors is expected due to the significant infrastructure required for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 4.96 demonstrates strong short-term liquidity with current assets significantly exceeding current liabilities. This provides a substantial buffer for meeting near-term obligations and handling unexpected financial needs.

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock analysis.

Deep dive into Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: With a P/E ratio of 22.59, the market moderately values the company's earnings.

P/E Ratio 22.59x
P/B Ratio 3.08x
Market Cap $2.66B
EPS $2.31
Book Value/Share $17.61
Revenue/Share $21.61
FCF/Share $3.82
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: An ROE of 13.6% shows good shareholder value creation.

ROE 13.6%
ROA 7.1%
ROIC 9.1%
Operating Margin 12.8%
Net Margin 11.1%
EBT Margin 14.7%
Tax Rate 24.7%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: A current ratio of 4.96 indicates strong liquidity.

Current Ratio 4.96x
Quick Ratio 4.38x
D/E Ratio 0.86x
Financial Leverage 1.92x
Interest Coverage 3.1x
Working Capital $640M
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: Free cash flow of $188M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $199M
Free Cash Flow $188M
Capital Spending -$11M
OCF Growth YoY 10.4%
FCF Growth YoY 14.0%
FCF/Sales 17.7%
CapEx/Sales 1.1%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: An asset turnover of 0.64x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.64x
Receivables Turnover 6.6x
Inventory Turnover 3.8x
Fixed Assets Turnover 15.6x
Days Sales Outstanding 56 days
Days Inventory 95 days
Payables Period 30 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 121 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.: With annual revenue of $1060M, Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $1.06B
Operating Income $136M
Net Income $117M
R&D Expense $276M
SG&A Expense $311M
Cost of Goods Sold $363M
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 801%
Cash & Short-term Investments 479%
Total Liabilities 747%
Short-term Debt 132%
Accounts Receivable 162%
Inventory 94%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Shares Outstanding 49M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
Net Income Growth 11.1%
EPS Growth 4.3%

Latest Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. (ALRM) stock price and investment outlook.

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Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Competitors & Peer Analysis - Technology Sector

Comparative analysis of Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. against industry peers and competitors in the Technology sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ADBE ██% $100.44B 13.9x 8.7x
ADSK ██% $46.04B 28.0x 13.6x
AEYE ██% $91M x 28.1x
AI ██% $1.73B x 1.6x
AIFF ██% $15M x 1.0x
AISP ██% $66M 2.5x x
AITX ██% N/A x x
ALAR ██% N/A x x
ALKT ██% $2.01B x 5.5x
ALRM ██% $2.66B 22.6x 3.1x
AMPL ██% $1.73B x 12.7x
AMST ██% $6M x 4.6x
APCX ██% $10M x x
API ██% $1.41B x 2.2x
APPF ██% $7.78B 49.4x 14.8x
APPN ██% $2.73B x x
ARQQ ██% $263M x x
ASAN ██% $2.31B x 22.2x
ASFT ██% $1M x x
ATDS ██% N/A x x
ATHR ██% $42M x 42.1x
AUID ██% N/A x x
AVPT ██% $2.84B 39.8x 6.5x
AWRE ██% $26M x 1.3x
BAND ██% $1.63B x 4.0x
BB ██% $4.48B 74.9x 6.0x
BBAI ██% $1.31B x 1.7x
BCAR ██% $236M 27.2x x
BILL ██% $4.18B x 1.2x
BKYI ██% $4M x 0.9x
BL ██% $1.64B 47.1x 5.2x
BLIN ██% N/A x x
BLKB ██% $2.03B 13.5x 30.4x
BLZE ██% $812M x 10.5x
BMR ██% $19M x 1.2x
BNZI ██% $6M x 0.5x
BOX ██% $4.76B 36.4x x
BRZE ██% $2.82B x x
BSY ██% $9.40B 32.4x 7.8x
CCC ██% $3.73B x 2.1x
CCLD ██% $89M 8.9x 5.1x
CCSI ██% $671M 7.1x 16.1x
CDNS ██% $77.20B 65.9x 11.8x
CERT ██% $1.24B x 1.3x
CGNT ██% $619M x 3.0x
CHKP ██% $14.54B x 5.0x
CLBT ██% $2.85B x 5.9x
CLOQ ██% $25M x x
CLPS ██% $30M x x
CMRC ██% $284M x 5.5x
COUR ██% $1.39B x 1.2x
CRM ██% $206.19B 21.3x 6.0x
CRNC ██% $355M x 2.1x
CRWD ██% $247.14B 4132.9x x
CRWV ██% $45.97B x 9.2x
CTGL ██% $9M x x
CVLT ██% $6.02B 88.1x 115.6x
CWAN ██% $7.24B x 3.5x
CXAI ██% $6M x x
CXM ██% $1.30B 56.1x 2.5x
CYAB ██% $5M x x
DBX ██% $8.52B 19.2x x
DCBO ██% $693M x x
DDD ██% $522M x 2.2x
DDOG ██% $82.87B 466.7x 19.0x
DH ██% $103M x 0.7x
DOMO ██% $181M x x
DPLS ██% N/A x x
DSGX ██% $6.80B x 4.2x
DSNY ██% $5M x 2.7x
DT ██% $15.95B 105.4x 6.5x
DTSS ██% N/A x x
DUOL ██% $6.93B 16.9x 4.9x
DUOT ██% N/A x x
EA ██% $52.84B 63.7x 7.5x
EBZT ██% N/A x x
EGAN ██% $141M 15.9x 1.7x
ESTC ██% $8.93B 23.8x 6.9x
EVCM ██% $1.40B 41.3x 2.0x
EXFY ██% $210M x 2.7x
FATN ██% $78M x 2.9x
FDCT ██% $10M x 0.3x
FDCTD ██% $7M 0.4x 0.2x
FIG ██% $12.29B x 8.3x
FNGR ██% $9M x 0.7x
FROG ██% $11.42B x 11.9x
FRSH ██% $3.32B 17.9x 3.7x
FRSX ██% $35M x 9.0x
FSLY ██% $3.75B x 3.8x
GDYN ██% $651M 227.3x 1.3x
GEG ██% $67M x 1.6x
GEN ██% $18.35B 17.4x 6.9x
GHST ██% $2M x x
GLBE ██% $6.24B x 6.7x
GMER ██% N/A x x
GNS ██% $24M x x
GRRR ██% N/A x x
GTIC ██% N/A x x
GTLB ██% $8.13B x 8.8x
GTM ██% $1.19B x 1.4x
GWRE ██% $12.03B 86.4x 10.1x
GXAI ██% $6M x 0.4x
HPAI ██% N/A x x
HUBS ██% $11.79B 80.3x 7.1x
IDAI ██% N/A x x
IDN ██% $48M 15.4x 2.1x
IFBD ██% $8M x 0.1x
IIIV ██% $387M 45.5x 1.4x
IMAA ██% $30K x x
INLX ██% N/A x x
INSE ██% $129M x x
INTA ██% $2.83B x 8.9x
ITOX ██% N/A x x
IVDA ██% $4M x 0.7x
KARO ██% N/A x x
KC ██% $42.20B x 4.5x
KLTR ██% $216M x 127.6x
KOAN ██% N/A x x
KVYO ██% $4.62B 680.5x 4.8x
LIVG ██% N/A x x
LPSN ██% $655M x x
LSPD ██% $1.41B x x
MANH ██% $12.36B 58.8x 78.5x
MAPS ██% N/A x x
MBLY ██% $1.97B x 0.1x
MCHX ██% N/A x x
MDB ██% $30.32B 514.7x 10.2x
MFON ██% $3M x x
MKLY ██% $250M 58.5x x
MNDY ██% $4.81B x 3.9x
MQ ██% $1.65B 159.3x 2.3x
MRDN ██% N/A x x
MSFT ██% $3.64T 27.2x 8.2x
MSGM ██% $20M 8.4x 5.1x
MYPS ██% $60M x 12.0x
MYSZ ██% N/A x x
NABL ██% $727M x 0.9x
NAVN ██% $5.87B x 4.5x
NCNO ██% $2.29B 60.2x 2.5x
NET ██% $115.60B x 71.4x
NICE ██% $6.37B x 1.6x
NOW ██% $146.06B x 11.7x
NTES ██% N/A x x
NTNX ██% $18.57B 67.3x x
NTSK ██% $7.06B x 45.1x
NTWK ██% $51M x 1.4x
NXNT ██% $11M x 5.0x
NYAX ██% $1.60B x x
OCTV ██% $4.90B x 1.0x
OKTA ██% $32.89B 111.1x 4.7x
OPRA ██% $1.65B x x
ORCL ██% $432.88B 22.9x 6.5x
PATH ██% $7.10B 19.6x 3.7x
PAYC ██% $10.26B 21.0x 18.0x
PCOR ██% $7.90B x 6.2x
PCTY ██% $7.82B 29.0x 6.4x
PD ██% $1.14B 6.2x 4.9x
PDFS ██% $1.77B 171.9x 4.8x
PDYN ██% $277M x 3.9x
PERF ██% N/A x x
PHGE ██% $3M x 0.3x
PLTR ██% $418.92B 138.9x 42.9x
PNXP ██% $30K x x
PRGS ██% $1.72B 19.3x 3.4x
PTC ██% $14.23B 11.6x 4.1x
QLYS ██% $6.33B 30.7x 11.3x
QTWO ██% $3.71B 40.4x 5.8x
QUBT ██% $1.81B x 1.1x
QXL ██% $111M x 4.3x
RBLX ██% $33.88B x 222.9x
RBRK ██% $21.76B x x
RCAT ██% N/A x x
RDVT ██% $1.24B 76.0x 11.2x
RPD ██% $840M 41.7x 4.3x
RPMT ██% $66M x x
RYET ██% N/A x x
S ██% $8.06B x 5.6x
SAGT ██% N/A x x
SAIL ██% $11.62B x 1.7x
SAP ██% N/A x x
SCDA ██% N/A x x
SEGG ██% N/A x x
SHOP ██% $167.21B 86.7x 13.2x
SKIL ██% $56M x x
SKKY ██% $22M x 24.9x
SKTG ██% $10M x x
SMSI ██% $16M x 0.9x
SNAL ██% $22M x 2.3x
SNPS ██% $72.53B 67.4x 2.3x
SOUN ██% $2.63B x x
SPSC ██% $2.90B 37.2x 3.1x
SPT ██% $683M x 3.0x
SSAC ██% N/A x x
SSNC ██% $18.90B 21.9x 2.9x
SSTI ██% $79M x 1.2x
SVAQ ██% N/A x x
SVCO ██% $220M x 2.6x
SVMB ██% N/A x x
SWMR ██% $299M x 9.6x
TAOP ██% N/A x x
TDC ██% $2.71B 5.9x 4.6x
TEAM ██% $48.17B x 45.5x
TENB ██% $4.01B 594.2x 20.2x
TTAN ██% $5.60B x x
TTWO ██% $39.60B x 11.0x
TWLO ██% $36.69B 31.9x 4.1x
TYL ██% $14.19B 43.7x 4.7x
UPLD ██% $12M x x
UPYY ██% N/A x x
VEEV ██% $42.89B 42.3x 5.8x
VERX ██% N/A x x
VII ██% N/A x x
VIIQ ██% N/A x x
VPRB ██% $8M 11.6x x
VRNS ██% $5.37B x 12.1x
VTEX ██% N/A x x
VWAV ██% $11M x 0.1x
WBSR ██% $10M x x
WEAV ██% $586M x 6.9x
WFCF ██% $65M 45.1x 7.4x
WHEN ██% N/A x x
WIMI ██% $14M x 0.0x
WK ██% $3.96B 84.1x x
XYZ ██% $46.04B 128.9x 2.1x
XZO ██% $1.48B 11.7x 5.1x
YAAS ██% N/A x x
YXT ██% N/A x x
ZDGE ██% $39M x x
ZETA ██% $15.49B x 16.7x
ZPTA ██% N/A x x
ZSPC ██% N/A x x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a -8% Spearman correlation coefficient for ALRM predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc.'s financial metrics, Technology sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. a good investment in 2026?

Based on our AI analysis, Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Alarm.Com Holdings, Inc. stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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