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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -24.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $881.00B mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Jpmorgan Chase & Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Jpmorgan Chase & Co is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $881.00B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 National Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For JPM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -24.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JPM included.

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Price

JPM price chart and AI forecast

JPM
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How JPM ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the National Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $881.00B $2.66B 1/60
P/E Ratio 13.54x 11.48x 13/49
P/B Ratio 2.35x 1.23x 3/58
Dividend Yield 1.97% 2.94% 41/51
EPS $23.35 – –
Book Value/Share $140.92 – –
Revenue/Share $75.44 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.4% 10.6% 4/55
ROA 1.3% 1.2% 16/55
Net Margin 32.5% 29.8% 16/55
EBT Margin 41.8% 37.5% 19/59
Tax Rate 22.4% – –

Financial Health

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 12.39x 7.93x 2/59
Financial Leverage 13.39x 8.93x 2/59

Cash Flow

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$162.53B $231M 58/58

Operational Efficiency

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 13/57

Income Statement

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $200.54B $694M 1/57
Net Income $65.07B $188M 1/54

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricJPMIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $6.51 – –
Payout Ratio 27.9% 35.7% 35/50
Shares Outstanding 2658M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$286.11B5.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$4.64T92.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

JPM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · National Commercial Banks

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Jpmorgan Chase & Co (National Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
JPM Jpmorgan Chase & Co ▼ $881.00B 13.5x 2.4x
BAC Bank Of America Corp /De/ ▶ $377.33B 11.2x 1.3x
WFC Wells Fargo & Company/Mn ▼ $244.16B 10.8x 1.4x
C Citigroup Inc ▶ $217.84B 16.5x 1.1x
UBS Ubs Group Ag ▶ $159.89B – –
COF Capital One Financial Corp ▶ $121.51B 11.6x 1.1x
USB Us Bancorp \De\ ▼ $88.64B 10.9x 1.3x
PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. ▼ $87.56B 11.5x 1.4x
TFC Truist Financial Corp ▼ $56.10B 9.8x 0.9x
HBAN Huntington Bancshares Inc /Md/ ▶ $30.89B 14.4x 1.0x
MFG Mizuho Financial Group Inc ▼ $26.39B – –
RF Regions Financial Corp ▶ $23.01B 10.3x 1.2x
KEY Keycorp /New/ ▲ $21.25B 10.5x 1.2x
FHN First Horizon Corp ▶ $10.79B 10.2x 1.2x
UMBF Umb Financial Corp ▶ $9.88B 10.5x 1.2x
ONB Old National Bancorp /In/ ▶ $9.51B 12.9x 1.2x
CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc. ▼ $9.42B 13.8x 2.0x
ZION Zions Bancorporation, National Association /Ut/ ▶ $9.08B 7.8x 1.2x
BOKF Bok Financial Corp ▶ $7.58B 11.7x 1.3x
VLY Valley National Bancorp ▶ $6.92B 10.0x 0.9x
FNB Fnb Corp/Pa/ ▶ $6.02B 10.0x 0.9x
FULT Fulton Financial Corp ▶ $4.19B 10.6x 1.2x
WSFS Wsfs Financial Corp ▼ $3.86B 12.1x 1.5x
BANF Bancfirst Corp /Ok/ ▶ $3.59B 14.2x 1.8x
WSBC Wesbanco Inc ▶ $3.52B – 0.9x
NIC Nicolet Bankshares Inc ▼ $3.42B 22.2x 1.5x
FFBC First Financial Bancorp /Oh/ ▶ $3.25B 11.4x 1.1x
SFNC Simmons First National Corp ▶ $3.20B – 0.9x
PRK Park National Corp /Oh/ ▼ $3.17B 16.7x 1.9x
BANC Banc Of California, Inc. ▲ $2.71B – 0.8x
NBTB Nbt Bancorp Inc ▶ $2.61B 12.2x 1.7x
TRMK Trustmark Corp ▶ $2.59B 11.1x 1.2x
FRME First Merchants Corp ▼ $2.46B 12.7x 0.9x
WAFD Wafd Inc ▶ $2.17B 8.5x 0.7x
NWBI Northwest Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $2.15B 14.1x 1.1x
TBBK Bancorp, Inc. ▲ $2.03B 7.0x 2.9x
FCF First Commonwealth Financial Corp /Pa/ ▶ $2.02B 12.0x 1.3x
CHCO City Holding Co ▶ $1.96B 14.9x 2.4x
FSUN Firstsun Capital Bancorp ▶ $1.79B – 1.5x
HOPE Hope Bancorp Inc ▲ $1.70B 13.0x 0.7x
DCOM Dime Commercial Bancshares, Inc. /Ny/ ▲ $1.70B 13.2x 1.1x
NBHC National Bank Holdings Corp ▶ $1.67B 17.0x 1.0x
BFC Bank First Corp ▼ $1.62B 20.0x 2.0x
OCFC Oceanfirst Financial Corp ▶ $1.55B – 0.9x
CASH Pathward Financial, Inc. ▶ $1.49B – 1.8x
BHRB Burke & Herbert Financial Services Corp. ▼ $1.40B – 1.2x
WABC Westamerica Bancorporation ▶ $1.36B 12.2x 1.6x
AMTB Amerant Bancorp Inc. ▲ $1.13B 20.1x 1.2x
FMCB Farmers & Merchants Bancorp ▶ $993M 10.3x 1.5x
CAC Camden National Corp ▶ $944M 10.6x 1.3x
HAFC Hanmi Financial Corp ▲ $916M 10.3x 1.1x
SMBK Smartfinancial Inc. ▲ $859M 15.0x 1.5x
ALRS Alerus Financial Corp ▲ $772M – 1.3x
FISI Financial Institutions Inc ▲ $765M 9.3x 1.3x
SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc ▲ $750M 11.3x 1.2x
BCAL California Bancorp \ Ca ▲ $688M 8.9x 1.2x
PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. ▶ $681M 12.0x 1.3x
CARE Carter Bankshares, Inc. ▶ $669M 5.2x 1.2x
CBNK Capital Bancorp Inc ▶ $631M 11.2x 1.5x
SFST Southern First Bancshares Inc ▲ $569M – 1.3x

Where JPM sits on the market map

Finance · National Commercial Banks
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News

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) stock news

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FAQ

Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Jpmorgan Chase & Co (JPM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Jpmorgan Chase & Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Jpmorgan Chase & Co stock predictions?

For JPM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -24.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-06-26 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-07 and 2026-08-25. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Jpmorgan Chase & Co forecasts updated?

Jpmorgan Chase & Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Jpmorgan Chase & Co's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, JPM included, share the SEC industry code National Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of America Corp /De/ (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company/Mn (WFC), Citigroup Inc (C), Ubs Group Ag (UBS), Capital One Financial Corp (COF), Us Bancorp \De\ (USB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.