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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $641M small-cap · #55 of 60 peers
Summary

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mediaalpha, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mediaalpha, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $641M. It ranks number 55 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Business Services, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 342.2% is the highest of the 39 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MAX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MAX included.

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Price

MAX price chart and AI forecast

MAX
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How MAX ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Business Services, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $641M $5.36B 55/60
P/E Ratio 6.60x 22.16x 32/34
P/B Ratio 22.58x 4.46x 4/47
EPS $1.37 – –
Book Value/Share $0.46 – –
Revenue/Share $19.99 – –
FCF/Share $0.92 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
ROE 342.2% 14.1% 1/39
ROA 27.0% 4.1% 4/45
ROIC 37.3% 13.4% 7/50
Gross Margin 14.7% 45.5% 35/41
Operating Margin 6.9% 10.4% 31/51
Net Margin 7.9% 7.1% 22/45
EBT Margin -0.9% 8.7% 44/53
Tax Rate 1093.0% – –

The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.

Financial Health

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.29x 1.33x 29/54
D/E Ratio 12.84x 1.65x 3/47
Financial Leverage 12.66x 2.65x 4/47
Interest Coverage 4.1x 4.1x 25/49
Working Capital $38M $307M 43/54

Cash Flow

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $57M $388M 45/53
Free Cash Flow $56M $395M 41/46
Capital Spending -$920K -$44M 2/46
OCF Growth YoY -20.6% 9.3% 39/45
FCF Growth YoY -21.5% 6.9% 31/40
FCF/Sales 4.6% 16.1% 39/46
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 1.6% 45/46

Operational Efficiency

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 3.40x 0.82x 2/48
Receivables Turnover 8.7x 5.9x 15/41
Days Sales Outstanding 42 days 62 days 27/41
Payables Period 40 days 21 days 9/35

Income Statement

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.22B $3.10B 35/48
Operating Income $84M $171M 30/51
Net Income $97M $97M 23/45
R&D Expense $23M $208M 24/25
SG&A Expense $172M $679M 37/42
Cost of Goods Sold $1.04B $1.13B 23/41

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMAXIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 61M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$171M43.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$24M6.0% of assets
Accounts Receivable$142M36.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$365M92.8% of assets
Short-term Debt$20M5.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MAX quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Business Services, NEC

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mediaalpha, Inc. (Services-Business Services, NEC): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MAX Mediaalpha, Inc. ▲ $641M 6.6x 22.6x
MA Mastercard Inc ▶ $529.81B 32.6x 94.4x
PDD Pdd Holdings Inc. ▶ $466.65B – 16.4x
UBER Uber Technologies, Inc ▲ $145.68B 15.2x 5.3x
ACN Accenture Plc ▼ $142.62B 18.3x 4.5x
MELI Mercadolibre Inc ▲ $95.11B 51.1x 12.1x
DASH Doordash, Inc. ▲ $83.67B 99.5x 8.4x
RELX Relx Plc ▼ $66.76B – –
EBAY Ebay Inc ▼ $51.80B 23.3x 11.1x
PYPL Paypal Holdings, Inc. ▼ $49.55B 9.6x 2.4x
MSCI Msci Inc. ▶ $40.77B 30.0x –
CPAY Corpay, Inc. ▼ $26.20B 23.0x 7.4x
FISV Fiserv Inc ▼ $24.81B 8.9x 0.9x
GPN Global Payments Inc ▶ $21.67B – 0.9x
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions, Inc. ▶ $19.21B 17.1x 6.8x
KSPI Joint Stock Co Kaspi.Kz ▲ $18.28B – –
FIS Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. ▼ $18.15B 5.4x 1.2x
RBA Rb Global Inc. ▼ $16.34B 33.7x 2.9x
FICO Fair Isaac Corp ▲ $15.62B 19.2x –
AKAM Akamai Technologies Inc ▶ $14.36B 35.0x 3.0x
WSE Wise Group Plc ▶ $12.46B – 6.5x
CSGP Costar Group, Inc. ▲ $12.16B 165.2x 1.5x
CART Maplebear Inc. ▲ $11.49B 24.0x 5.0x
HQY Healthequity, Inc. ▲ $7.46B 31.5x 3.8x
ETSY Etsy Inc ▶ $7.28B – –
ANDG Andersen Group Inc. ▲ $6.56B – –
Z Zillow Group, Inc. ▶ $6.29B – 1.5x
LYFT Lyft, Inc. ▲ $6.20B 2.2x –
XMTR Xometry, Inc. ▲ $6.19B – –
WEX Wex Inc. ▼ $5.95B 17.0x 4.4x
EXLS Exlservice Holdings, Inc. ▲ $5.68B 21.4x 6.9x
RELY Remitly Global, Inc. ▲ $5.03B 16.5x 4.5x
QH Quhuo Ltd ▶ $5.01B – 12.2x
AMTM Amentum Holdings, Inc. ▼ $4.53B – 1.0x
DLO Dlocal Ltd ▲ $4.43B – –
SEZL Sezzle Inc. ▶ $4.38B 27.1x 18.8x
PAY Paymentus Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.01B 47.3x 6.5x
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. ▶ $3.15B 29.9x 10.5x
TNET Trinet Group, Inc. ▶ $3.06B 17.5x 24.5x
MMS Maximus, Inc. ▶ $3.04B 8.2x 1.8x
CBZ Cbiz, Inc. ▼ $2.97B – 1.6x
PAYO Payoneer Global Inc. ▼ $2.42B 48.2x 3.7x
TIC Tic Solutions, Inc. ▶ $1.99B – 1.0x
ACVA Acv Auctions Inc. ▶ $1.78B – 4.6x
CNXC Concentrix Corp ▲ $1.65B – 0.9x
LQDT Liquidity Services Inc ▶ $1.38B 41.4x 5.8x
RSKD Riskified Ltd. ▲ $1.33B – 4.5x
RDWR Radware Ltd ▲ $1.27B – 3.6x
QNST Quinstreet, Inc ▲ $900M 11.1x 2.8x
PAYS Paysign, Inc. ▲ $874M 55.4x 14.5x
TC Token Cat Ltd ▼ $831M – 25.2x
CASS Cass Information Systems Inc ▲ $688M 18.7x 2.8x
TDTH Trident Digital Tech Holdings Ltd ▼ $688M – –
PHR Phreesia, Inc. ▲ $667M – 2.5x
PRTH Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. ▶ $644M 11.5x –
CTEV Claritev Corp ▶ $402M – –
ADV Advantage Solutions Inc. ▲ $398M – 1.0x
RMNI Rimini Street, Inc. ▲ $382M – –
RPAY Repay Holdings Corp ▲ $355M – 0.8x
IMXI International Money Express, Inc. ▲ $328M – 1.9x

Where MAX sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Business Services, NEC
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News

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) stock news

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FAQ

Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mediaalpha, Inc. (MAX) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mediaalpha, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mediaalpha, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for MAX is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mediaalpha, Inc. forecasts updated?

Mediaalpha, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Mediaalpha, Inc.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, MAX included, share the SEC industry code Services-Business Services, NEC. The largest are: Mastercard Inc (MA), Pdd Holdings Inc. (PDD), Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER), Accenture Plc (ACN), Mercadolibre Inc (MELI), Doordash, Inc. (DASH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.