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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4004 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $77.86B large-cap · #3 of 53 peers
Summary

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, TRV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

Travelers Companies, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $77.86B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 53 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TRV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, TRV included.

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Price

TRV price chart and AI forecast

TRV
Cross-section · 2026-10-14

How TRV ranks among 4004 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $77.86B $2.65B 3/53
P/E Ratio 9.38x 9.87x 23/40
P/B Ratio 2.35x 1.47x 10/52
Dividend Yield 1.27% 1.89% 23/32
EPS $37.24 – –
Book Value/Share $158.80 – –
Revenue/Share $234.83 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
ROE 25.1% 19.2% 12/48
ROA 5.8% 4.1% 15/48
Net Margin 16.9% 14.4% 17/48
EBT Margin 21.1% 17.3% 17/50
Tax Rate 19.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.34x 3.04x 22/54
Financial Leverage 4.34x 4.04x 23/54
Interest Coverage 9.8x 9.5x 6/12

Cash Flow

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $11.03B $411M 5/55
OCF Growth YoY 14.5% 2.8% 14/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.34x 0.30x 21/54

Income Statement

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $48.98B $1.75B 5/55
Net Income $8.30B $355M 4/48
SG&A Expense $6.22B $479M 1/12

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricTRVIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $4.74 – –
Payout Ratio 12.7% 17.2% 20/31
Shares Outstanding 209M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$621M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$110.46B76.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

TRV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Travelers Companies, Inc. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 55 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. ▶ $77.86B 9.4x 2.4x
CB Chubb Ltd ▼ $134.26B 11.7x 1.8x
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ ▶ $129.58B 11.1x 3.8x
ALL Allstate Corp ▶ $59.78B 4.5x 1.8x
AIG American International Group, Inc. ▼ $40.60B 13.7x 1.0x
HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $35.54B 8.1x 1.9x
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. ▼ $33.05B 7.0x 1.4x
WRB Berkley W R Corp ▼ $27.30B 14.2x 2.8x
CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp ▼ $25.42B 7.6x 1.5x
L Loews Corp ▼ $22.17B 13.1x 1.3x
MKL Markel Group Inc. ▼ $22.17B 9.7x 1.2x
EG Everest Group, Ltd. ▼ $14.37B 7.5x 0.9x
RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd ▶ $14.16B 5.4x 1.2x
CNA Cna Financial Corp ▶ $12.65B 10.2x 1.1x
AFG American Financial Group Inc ▼ $11.99B 12.6x 2.5x
THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. ▶ $7.75B 10.3x 2.1x
KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $7.74B 13.6x 3.8x
AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd ▼ $7.19B 6.6x 1.1x
MCY Mercury General Corp ▶ $5.70B 6.1x 2.0x
RLI Rli Corp ▼ $5.24B 11.9x 3.0x
SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc ▶ $5.07B 10.2x 1.4x
WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd ▼ $5.00B 4.5x 0.9x
PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. ▶ $3.51B 17.3x 3.6x
LMND Lemonade, Inc. ▶ $3.46B – 6.9x
SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $2.98B 4.6x 2.5x
SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd ▼ $2.93B 5.8x 1.3x
SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $2.65B 14.1x 2.1x
HCI Hci Group, Inc. ▲ $2.47B 8.0x 2.3x
HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. ▼ $2.30B – 0.8x
PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd ▶ $2.04B – 0.9x
HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ ▶ $1.86B 10.5x 1.2x
SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc ▼ $1.52B 22.2x 1.7x
KMPR Kemper Corp ▼ $1.46B – 0.7x
UFCS United Fire Group Inc ▲ $1.43B 10.2x 1.5x
UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.31B 6.0x 2.1x
ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings ▲ $1.24B 10.8x 1.9x
HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.08B 5.0x 1.9x
HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. ▼ $906M 7.5x 2.0x
EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. ▶ $894M – 1.0x
ROOT Root, Inc. ▶ $755M 12.3x –
TIPT Tiptree Inc. ▶ $649M 15.1x 1.3x
AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. ▼ $539M 6.1x 1.5x
ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp ▲ $502M 5.0x 1.5x
GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. ▼ $485M – 0.7x
AMSF Amerisafe Inc ▶ $457M 9.7x 1.8x
GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc ▲ $343M 10.0x 0.5x
NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. ▶ $303M – 1.2x
KWY Kingsway Corp ▲ $275M – 21.5x
KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. ▲ $269M – 2.1x
JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $172M – 0.3x
KG Kestrel Group Ltd ▲ $37M – 0.3x
PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. ▲ $30M – 1.1x
OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd ▲ $8M – 1.2x
BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc ▼ N/A – –
DGICA Donegal Group Inc ▶ N/A – –

Where TRV sits on the market map

Finance · Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance
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News

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock news

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FAQ

Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, TRV is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Travelers Companies, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for TRV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Travelers Companies, Inc. forecasts updated?

Travelers Companies, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Travelers Companies, Inc.'s industry peers?

55 issuers in our coverage, TRV included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.