Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Arch Capital Group Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Arch Capital Group Ltd. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $33.05B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 53 Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ACGL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, ACGL included.
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How ACGL ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $33.05B | 7/53 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.04x | 29/40 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.38x | 29/52 |
| EPS | $12.77 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $70.42 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $56.36 | – |
| FCF/Share | $17.74 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.5% | 24/48 |
| ROA | 5.5% | 16/48 |
| Net Margin | 24.4% | 8/48 |
Financial Health
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.54x | 42/54 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.54x | 42/54 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $6.10B | 6/55 |
| Free Cash Flow | $6.05B | 4/30 |
| Capital Spending | -$45M | 24/30 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -1.2% | 25/44 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -1.2% | 16/24 |
| FCF/Sales | 31.5% | 8/30 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | 20/30 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.23x | 39/54 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $19.23B | 8/55 |
| Net Income | $4.69B | 5/48 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ACGL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 341M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.11B | 1.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $61.15B | 71.9% of assets |
ACGL quarterly financials and insider trading
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Arch Capital Group Ltd. (Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance): 55 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. | ▼ | $33.05B |
| CB Chubb Ltd | ▼ | $134.26B |
| PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/ | ▶ | $129.58B |
| TRV Travelers Companies, Inc. | ▶ | $77.86B |
| ALL Allstate Corp | ▶ | $59.78B |
| AIG American International Group, Inc. | ▼ | $40.60B |
| HIG Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. | ▶ | $35.54B |
| WRB Berkley W R Corp | ▼ | $27.30B |
| CINF Cincinnati Financial Corp | ▼ | $25.42B |
| L Loews Corp | ▼ | $22.17B |
| MKL Markel Group Inc. | ▼ | $22.17B |
| EG Everest Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $14.37B |
| RNR Renaissancere Holdings Ltd | ▶ | $14.16B |
| CNA Cna Financial Corp | ▶ | $12.65B |
| AFG American Financial Group Inc | ▼ | $11.99B |
| THG Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. | ▶ | $7.75B |
| KNSL Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $7.74B |
| AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $7.19B |
| MCY Mercury General Corp | ▶ | $5.70B |
| RLI Rli Corp | ▼ | $5.24B |
| SIGI Selective Insurance Group Inc | ▶ | $5.07B |
| WTM White Mountains Insurance Group Ltd | ▼ | $5.00B |
| PLMR Palomar Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $3.51B |
| LMND Lemonade, Inc. | ▶ | $3.46B |
| SLDE Slide Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $2.98B |
| SPNT Siriuspoint Ltd | ▼ | $2.93B |
| SKWD Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $2.65B |
| HCI Hci Group, Inc. | ▲ | $2.47B |
| HG Hamilton Insurance Group, Ltd. | ▼ | $2.30B |
| PLGO Pelagos Insurance Capital Ltd | ▶ | $2.04B |
| HMN Horace Mann Educators Corp /De/ | ▶ | $1.86B |
| SAFT Safety Insurance Group Inc | ▼ | $1.52B |
| KMPR Kemper Corp | ▼ | $1.46B |
| UFCS United Fire Group Inc | ▲ | $1.43B |
| UVE Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.31B |
| ASIC Ategrity Specialty Insurance Co Holdings | ▲ | $1.24B |
| HRTG Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.08B |
| HIPO Hippo Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $906M |
| EIG Employers Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $894M |
| ROOT Root, Inc. | ▶ | $755M |
| TIPT Tiptree Inc. | ▶ | $649M |
| AII American Integrity Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $539M |
| ACIC American Coastal Insurance Corp | ▲ | $502M |
| GLRE Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. | ▼ | $485M |
| AMSF Amerisafe Inc | ▶ | $457M |
| GBLI Global Indemnity Group, Llc | ▲ | $343M |
| NODK Ni Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $303M |
| KWY Kingsway Corp | ▲ | $275M |
| KINS Kingstone Companies, Inc. | ▲ | $269M |
| JRVR James River Group Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $172M |
| KG Kestrel Group Ltd | ▲ | $37M |
| PRHI Presurance Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $30M |
| OXBR Oxbridge Re Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $8M |
| BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc | ▼ | N/A |
| DGICA Donegal Group Inc | ▶ | N/A |
Where ACGL sits on the market map
Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock news
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Arch Capital Group Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Arch Capital Group Ltd. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for ACGL is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Arch Capital Group Ltd. forecasts updated?
Arch Capital Group Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.
Which companies are Arch Capital Group Ltd.'s industry peers?
55 issuers in our coverage, ACGL included, share the SEC industry code Fire, Marine & Casualty Insurance. The largest are: Chubb Ltd (CB), Progressive Corp/Oh/ (PGR), Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV), Allstate Corp (ALL), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.