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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-13

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) Stock Forecast Oct. 13, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 13, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $846M small-cap · #13 of 17 peers
Summary

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Dream Finders Homes, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $846M. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 5.77x is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for DFH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DFH included.

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Price

DFH price chart and AI forecast

DFH
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How DFH ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $846M $2.59B 13/17
P/E Ratio 5.77x 11.53x 11/11
P/B Ratio 0.59x 0.99x 14/15
EPS $1.85 – –
Book Value/Share $15.60 – –
Revenue/Share $45.03 – –
FCF/Share $-1.76 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
ROE 10.2% 10.2% 7/13
ROA 3.7% 6.9% 10/14
Net Margin 3.5% 7.1% 11/12
EBT Margin 4.7% 6.7% 8/12
Tax Rate 24.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 1.64x 0.77x 4/16
Financial Leverage 2.77x 1.77x 3/16

Cash Flow

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$138M $190M 16/16
Free Cash Flow -$162M $196M 15/15
Capital Spending -$23M -$23M 8/15
FCF/Sales -3.9% 6.4% 13/14
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 0.6% 8/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.04x 0.89x 4/14
Receivables Turnover 140.0x 60.6x 2/7
Days Sales Outstanding 3 days 6 days 6/7

Income Statement

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $4.13B $4.20B 8/14
Net Income $146M $291M 10/13
SG&A Expense $473M $499M 7/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDFHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 92M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$203M5.4% of assets
Accounts Receivable$30M0.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.35B62.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DFH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $846M 5.8x 0.6x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $37.89B 12.4x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $20.92B 11.0x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▲ $15.45B 13.5x 4.6x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.22B 10.2x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $6.04B 23.8x 7.8x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.80B 11.5x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.0x 1.0x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.65B 9.1x 1.3x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.59B – 0.7x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.58B 11.8x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.05B 15.9x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M – 0.8x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $620M – 0.8x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▲ $512M – 6.5x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $1M – –

Where DFH sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock news

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FAQ

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (DFH) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Dream Finders Homes, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Dream Finders Homes, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for DFH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Dream Finders Homes, Inc. forecasts updated?

Dream Finders Homes, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 13, 2026.

Which companies are Dream Finders Homes, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, DFH included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.