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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) AI Forecast

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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Stock Forecast 2025


Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) AI Stock Price Forecast & Investment Analysis

Toll Brothers, Inc. Stock Price Chart and Technical Analysis

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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis & Investment Research

Deep dive into Toll Brothers, Inc.'s business profile, financial performance, AI predictions, and competitive positioning to make informed investment decisions.

Analysis updated on April 4, 2026, 6:00 a.m. (UTC)

Toll Brothers, Inc. Investment Summary

When evaluating whether Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) represents a compelling investment opportunity, investors must consider multiple factors including the company's financial health, market position, growth prospects, and what our AI-powered predictive models suggest about its near-term price trajectory.

Company Profile

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) operates within the Real Estate & Construction sector, specifically in the Operative Builders industry. The company employs approximately 5,143 people. With a market capitalization of $13 billion, the company is a large-cap stock offering relative stability combined with growth potential.

Financial Performance Analysis

Our comprehensive financial analysis covers Toll Brothers, Inc.'s revenue, profitability metrics, balance sheet strength, and cash flow generation...

AI Price Predictions

Get AI-powered 7-day, 30-day and 90-day price forecasts for Toll Brothers, Inc. along with confidence scores and detailed analysis...

Investment Considerations

Expert analysis of whether Toll Brothers, Inc. is suitable for your investment objectives, risk tolerance, and time horizon...

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Corporate Identity

Toll Brothers, Inc. (Stock Symbol: TOL) is a prominent company operating within the Real Estate & Construction sector, with a specific focus on the Operative Builders industry. The company's shares are publicly traded on the NYSE exchange.

Leadership & Workforce

Detailed information about Toll Brothers, Inc.'s leadership team, workforce size, and organizational structure...

Market Classification

Market capitalization analysis and stock classification (mega-cap, large-cap, mid-cap, small-cap) for Toll Brothers, Inc....

Sector & Industry Analysis

In-depth sector dynamics and industry context for Toll Brothers, Inc....

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Revenue & Growth Analysis

Toll Brothers, Inc. generates annual revenues of $11 billion , demonstrating substantial market presence and operational scale.

Profitability Metrics

Net profit margin, gross margin, and operating margin analysis for Toll Brothers, Inc....

Market Valuation

P/E ratio, price-to-book, and valuation multiples for Toll Brothers, Inc....

Return Metrics

Return on equity (ROE), return on assets (ROA), and capital efficiency for Toll Brothers, Inc....

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Strategic Market Position

Toll Brothers, Inc. strategically competes in the highly dynamic Operative Builders marketplace. As a large-cap market participant, the company has established significant competitive advantages and market presence. Large-cap companies typically benefit from brand recognition, operational scale, diverse revenue streams, and the financial resources to invest in research and development, marketing, and strategic acquisitions. This size category attracts substantial institutional ownership and analyst coverage.

Industry Competitive Landscape

Toll Brothers, Inc. competes within the Real Estate & Construction sector, navigating the competitive dynamics and market forces specific to this industry. The company's competitive position depends on its ability to differentiate through product quality, cost efficiency, customer relationships, or other strategic advantages relevant to its specific market segment.

Operational Efficiency

The company shows positive operational efficiency through free cash flow generation of $994 million annually , with year-over-year cash flow growth of 130.3%. Positive free cash flow indicates the business generates more cash than required for operations and capital investments, providing resources for growth initiatives or shareholder returns.

Margin & Pricing Power Analysis

The company maintains a 22.8% gross margin characteristic of commodity-like businesses or high-volume, low-margin operators. Thin gross margins require exceptional operational efficiency and volume to generate meaningful profits. Companies at this margin level are particularly sensitive to cost increases or pricing pressures.

Operating margin of 12.5% demonstrates how efficiently the company converts revenues into operating profits after accounting for all operating expenses including research and development, sales and marketing, and general administrative costs. This healthy operating margin shows balanced investment in growth functions while maintaining reasonable profitability.

Asset Utilization Efficiency

Asset turnover ratio of 0.83x indicates solid asset utilization efficiency appropriate for many manufacturing or mixed business models. This level suggests the company generates meaningful revenue from its asset base while maintaining necessary capital investments for operations.

Financial Strength & Leverage

Current ratio of 4.07 demonstrates strong short-term liquidity with current assets significantly exceeding current liabilities. This provides a substantial buffer for meeting near-term obligations and handling unexpected financial needs.

Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Fundamental Analysis & Insider Trading Data (Quarterly Financial Reports)

Comprehensive quarterly financial data, earnings trends, insider transactions, and institutional holdings for Toll Brothers, Inc. stock analysis.

Deep dive into Toll Brothers, Inc.'s financial health, valuation metrics, and operational efficiency to make informed investment decisions.

Understanding Valuation Metrics

What these metrics mean: Valuation metrics help determine if Toll Brothers, Inc. stock is fairly priced compared to its earnings, assets, and market position.

How to read them: Lower P/E ratios may indicate undervalued stocks, while higher ratios suggest growth expectations. P/B ratio compares market value to book value.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: With a P/E ratio of 9.49, the market sees the stock as potentially undervalued.

P/E Ratio 9.49x
P/B Ratio 1.56x
Market Cap $13.10B
Dividend Yield 0.75%
EPS $13.67
Book Value/Share $87.89
Revenue/Share $117.59
FCF/Share $3.38
Understanding Profitability Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how efficiently Toll Brothers, Inc. converts revenue into profit and generates returns for shareholders.

How to read them: Higher ROE/ROA indicate better management efficiency. Margin percentages show profit at different operational levels.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: An ROE of 19.1% demonstrates excellent shareholder value creation.

ROE 19.1%
ROA 8.7%
ROIC 11.3%
Gross Margin 22.8%
Operating Margin 12.5%
Net Margin 10.5%
EBT Margin 13.9%
Tax Rate 24.5%
Understanding Financial Health Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios assess Toll Brothers, Inc.'s ability to meet short-term obligations and manage debt levels effectively.

How to read them: Current ratio >2 is generally good, Quick ratio >1 shows strong liquidity. Lower D/E ratios indicate conservative debt management.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: A current ratio of 4.07 indicates strong liquidity.

Current Ratio 4.07x
Quick Ratio 0.26x
D/E Ratio 0.64x
Financial Leverage 2.15x
Interest Coverage 241.5x
Working Capital $8.16B
Understanding Cash Flow Metrics

What these metrics mean: Cash flow metrics reveal Toll Brothers, Inc.'s ability to generate cash from operations and fund growth initiatives.

How to read them: Positive operating cash flow is crucial. Free cash flow shows money available for dividends, buybacks, or investments.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: Free cash flow of $994M provides flexibility for shareholder returns and growth investments.

Operating Cash Flow $1.07B
Free Cash Flow $994M
Capital Spending -$76M
OCF Growth YoY 130.3%
FCF Growth YoY 156.2%
FCF/Sales 10.6%
CapEx/Sales 0.8%
Understanding Operational Efficiency Metrics

What these metrics mean: These ratios measure how effectively Toll Brothers, Inc. uses its assets and manages working capital.

How to read them: Higher turnover ratios indicate efficient asset utilization. Shorter collection periods show effective credit management.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: An asset turnover of 0.83x suggests room for improvement in asset utilization.

Asset Turnover 0.83x
Receivables Turnover 77.7x
Inventory Turnover 0.8x
Fixed Assets Turnover 23.7x
Days Sales Outstanding 5 days
Days Inventory 435 days
Payables Period 28 days
Cash Conversion Cycle 412 days
Understanding Financial Statement Data

What these metrics mean: Key figures from Toll Brothers, Inc.'s income statement and balance sheet showing absolute financial performance.

How to read them: Revenue shows business scale, while margins indicate profitability. Balance sheet items reveal financial structure.

For Toll Brothers, Inc.: With annual revenue of $11253M, Toll Brothers, Inc. operates at significant scale.

Income Statement
Total Revenue $11.25B
Operating Income -$545M
Net Income -$215M
SG&A Expense $10M
Cost of Goods Sold $7.59B
Balance Sheet Highlights (% Of Assets)
Total Current Assets 87%
Cash & Short-term Investments 5%
Total Liabilities 53%
Accounts Receivable 1%
Inventory 78%
Dividend & Shareholder Information
Dividends Per Share $0.96
Payout Ratio 0.1%
Shares Outstanding 96M
Growth Metrics (YoY)
EPS Growth -1.0%

Latest Toll Brothers, Inc. Stock News & Market Analysis

Breaking news, analyst reports, and market updates affecting Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) stock price and investment outlook.

📰 We are currently updating our news feed for Toll Brothers, Inc.. Check back soon for the latest market analysis and company updates.

Toll Brothers, Inc. Competitors & Peer Analysis - Real Estate & Construction Sector

Comparative analysis of Toll Brothers, Inc. against industry peers and competitors in the Real Estate & Construction sector, featuring AI-powered forecasts and key financial metrics.

Company Ticker Symbol 90-Day AI Forecast Market Cap (USD M) P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
Beazer Homes Usa Inc BZH ██% $583M 59.1x 0.5x
Century Communities, Inc. CCS ██% $1.67B 11.3x 0.6x
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. DFH ██% $1.31B 6.0x 0.9x
Horton D R Inc /De/ DHI ██% $40.21B 12.1x 1.7x
Dream Homes & Development Corp. DREM ██% $680K 1.4x 0.6x
Everus Construction Group, Inc. ECG ██% $6.40B 31.7x 10.2x
Green Brick Partners, Inc. GRBK ██% $2.82B 9.0x 1.5x
Green Brick Partners, Inc. GRBK-PA ██% $996M 2.9x 0.6x
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc HOV ██% $724M 16.4x 0.9x
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc HOVNP ██% $142M 2.2x 0.2x
Hovnanian Enterprises Inc HOVVB ██% $724M 11.3x 0.9x
Kb Home KBH ██% $3.48B 8.1x 0.9x
Lgi Homes, Inc. LGIH ██% $884M 12.2x 0.4x
M/I Homes, Inc. MHO ██% $3.29B 8.2x 1.0x
Meritage Homes Corp MTH ██% $4.21B 9.3x 0.8x
Nvr Inc NVR ██% $18.66B 13.9x 4.8x
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ PHM ██% $22.62B 10.2x 1.7x
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. SDHC ██% $121M 11.3x 1.4x
Taylor Morrison Home Corp TMHC ██% $5.63B 7.2x 0.9x
Toll Brothers, Inc. TOL ██% $13.10B 9.5x 1.6x
Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. TPH ██% $3.95B 16.4x 1.2x
United Homes Group, Inc. UHG ██% $68M 1.1x 1.2x
Vanjia Corp VNJA ██% $80M x 1182.7x
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Frequently Asked Questions - Toll Brothers, Inc. Stock Forecast

How accurate are Toll Brothers, Inc. stock predictions?

Our AI model shows a 28% Spearman correlation coefficient for TOL predictions, based on advanced machine learning algorithms trained on over 10 years of market data. This measures the strength of the monotonic relationship between predicted and actual price movements.

What factors influence Toll Brothers, Inc. stock price forecasts?

Our analysis considers Toll Brothers, Inc.'s financial metrics, Real Estate & Construction sector trends, market sentiment, technical indicators, earnings data, and macroeconomic factors affecting stock performance.

Is Toll Brothers, Inc. a good investment in 2025?

Based on our AI analysis, Toll Brothers, Inc. shows potential for various market scenarios. Consider your risk tolerance, investment timeline, and portfolio diversification before making investment decisions.

How often are Toll Brothers, Inc. forecasts updated?

Toll Brothers, Inc. stock forecasts are updated daily using real-time market data, ensuring you receive the most current AI-powered predictions and investment insights.

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