Bear of the day: NVR, Inc. (NVR)
NVR, Inc. is engaged in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings in the eastern and southern United States. The company markets its homes under ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14
Nvr Inc (NVR) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▲ Bullish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Top 35%
of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
n/a
No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap
$15.45B
large-cap · #3 of 17 peers
Summary
Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Nvr Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Nvr Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $15.45B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 33.7% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NVR included.
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NVR price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-13
How NVR ranks among 5379 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals
Nvr Inc (NVR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $15.45B | 3/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 13.54x | 3/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.56x | 3/15 |
| EPS | $384.90 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1272.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $3576.00 | – |
| FCF/Share | $392.67 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 33.7% | 1/13 |
| ROA | 20.9% | 1/14 |
| Net Margin | 12.0% | 2/12 |
Financial Health
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.61x | 10/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.61x | 10/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.07B | 4/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.05B | 4/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$20M | 5/15 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -13.9% | 8/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -13.4% | 8/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 11.0% | 1/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.2% | 13/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.74x | 2/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $9.53B | 4/14 |
| Net Income | $1.14B | 4/13 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NVR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 3M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.20B | 21.9% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $2.08B | 38.0% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
NVR quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Operative Builders
Nvr Inc (NVR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nvr Inc (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NVR Nvr Inc | ▲ | $15.45B |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | ▶ | $37.89B |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | ▶ | $20.92B |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | ▶ | $12.18B |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | ▶ | $6.04B |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | ▶ | $3.80B |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | ▶ | $3.19B |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| KBH Kb Home | ▲ | $2.59B |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $1.05B |
| BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc | ▼ | $892M |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $846M |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | ▲ | $620M |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | ▲ | $496M |
| VNJA Vanjia Corp | ▼ | $165M |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | ▼ | $1M |
Where NVR sits on the market map
Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
News
Nvr Inc (NVR) stock news
Here's what to expect from NVR, Inc.'s next earnings report
Valued at a market cap of $16 billion, Reston, Virginia-based NVR, Inc. (NVR) operates as a homebuilder in the United States.
Is NVR, Inc. (NVR) the Best Low Float Stock to Invest in Now?
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FAQ
Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Nvr Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Nvr Inc stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nvr Inc forecasts updated?
Nvr Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Nvr Inc's industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, NVR included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.