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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $620M small-cap · #14 of 17 peers
Summary

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Hovnanian Enterprises Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $620M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 2.49x is the highest of the 16 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HOV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, HOV included.

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Price

HOV price chart and AI forecast

HOV
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How HOV ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.

Valuation & Market

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $620M $2.59B 14/17
P/B Ratio 0.76x 0.99x 10/15
EPS $0.89 – –
Book Value/Share $137.36 – –
Revenue/Share $473.71 – –
FCF/Share $33.19 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 0.8% 6.7% 11/12
Tax Rate 21.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 2.49x 0.77x 1/16
Financial Leverage 3.49x 1.77x 2/16

Cash Flow

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $219M $190M 7/16
Free Cash Flow $198M $196M 7/15
Capital Spending -$21M -$23M 6/15
OCF Growth YoY 62.1% 13.9% 2/10
FCF Growth YoY 74.1% 14.9% 2/10
FCF/Sales 7.0% 6.4% 7/14
CapEx/Sales 0.8% 0.6% 6/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.99x 0.89x 5/14

Income Statement

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.82B $4.20B 10/14

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHOVIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 6M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$291M10.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.04B71.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HOV quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $620M – 0.8x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $37.89B 12.4x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $20.92B 11.0x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▲ $15.45B 13.5x 4.6x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.22B 10.2x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $6.04B 23.8x 7.8x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.80B 11.5x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.0x 1.0x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.65B 9.1x 1.3x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.59B – 0.7x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.58B 11.8x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.05B 15.9x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M – 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $846M 5.8x 0.6x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▲ $512M – 6.5x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $1M – –

Where HOV sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock news

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FAQ

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Hovnanian Enterprises Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for HOV is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts updated?

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Hovnanian Enterprises Inc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, HOV included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.