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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
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30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $1.05B small-cap · #11 of 17 peers
Summary

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Lgi Homes, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Lgi Homes, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.05B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.49x is the lowest of the 15 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LGIH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, LGIH included.

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Price

LGIH price chart and AI forecast

LGIH
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How LGIH ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.05B $2.59B 11/17
P/E Ratio 15.91x 11.53x 2/11
P/B Ratio 0.49x 0.99x 15/15
EPS $2.92 – –
Book Value/Share $91.73 – –
Revenue/Share $73.40 – –
FCF/Share $5.64 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
ROE 3.1% 10.2% 12/13
ROA 1.7% 6.9% 13/14
Gross Margin 19.4% 22.0% 8/10
Operating Margin 4.6% 8.5% 5/6
Net Margin 3.9% 7.1% 10/12
EBT Margin 5.4% 6.7% 7/12
Tax Rate 27.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.84x 0.77x 6/16
Financial Leverage 1.84x 1.77x 6/16
Interest Coverage 321.6x 66.9x 2/10

Cash Flow

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $133M $190M 10/16
Free Cash Flow $131M $196M 10/15
Capital Spending -$2M -$23M 1/15
FCF/Sales 7.7% 6.4% 6/14
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 0.6% 14/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.44x 0.89x 14/14
Receivables Turnover 50.4x 60.6x 5/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 11.4x 53.8x 9/9
Days Sales Outstanding 7 days 6 days 3/7

Income Statement

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.71B $4.20B 13/14
Operating Income $79M $204M 4/6
Net Income $66M $291M 12/13
SG&A Expense $262M $499M 8/11
Cost of Goods Sold $1.38B $3.53B 7/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLGIHIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 23M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$61M1.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$34M0.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.79B45.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LGIH quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Lgi Homes, Inc. (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.05B 15.9x 0.5x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $37.89B 12.4x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $20.92B 11.0x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▲ $15.45B 13.5x 4.6x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.22B 10.2x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $6.04B 23.8x 7.8x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.80B 11.5x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.0x 1.0x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.65B 9.1x 1.3x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.59B – 0.7x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.58B 11.8x 0.6x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M – 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $846M 5.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $620M – 0.8x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▲ $512M – 6.5x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $1M – –

Where LGIH sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock news

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FAQ

Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Lgi Homes, Inc. (LGIH) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Lgi Homes, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Lgi Homes, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for LGIH is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Lgi Homes, Inc. forecasts updated?

Lgi Homes, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Lgi Homes, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, LGIH included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.