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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $2.65B mid-cap · #8 of 17 peers
Summary

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 14, 2026, GRBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.65B. It ranks number 8 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 14.5% is the highest of the 12 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GRBK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +4.5%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +2.1%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

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Price

GRBK price chart and AI forecast

GRBK
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How GRBK ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.65B $2.59B 8/17
P/E Ratio 9.11x 11.53x 10/11
P/B Ratio 1.34x 0.99x 7/15
Dividend Yield 0.14% 1.34% 7/7
EPS $6.64 – –
Book Value/Share $45.93 – –
Revenue/Share $46.76 – –
FCF/Share $3.87 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
ROE 14.8% 10.2% 3/13
ROA 11.2% 6.9% 3/14
Gross Margin 30.6% 22.0% 2/10
Net Margin 14.5% 7.1% 1/12
EBT Margin 20.1% 6.7% 2/12
Tax Rate 22.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.28x 0.77x 15/16
Financial Leverage 1.32x 1.77x 15/16
Interest Coverage -2.8x 66.9x 10/10

Cash Flow

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $173M $190M 9/16
Free Cash Flow $167M $196M 9/15
Capital Spending -$7M -$23M 3/15
OCF Growth YoY 4.4% 13.9% 7/10
FCF Growth YoY 2.4% 14.9% 7/10
FCF/Sales 8.3% 6.4% 5/14
CapEx/Sales 0.3% 0.6% 11/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.77x 0.89x 10/14
Receivables Turnover 71.0x 60.6x 3/7
Fixed Assets Turnover 314.7x 53.8x 1/9
Days Sales Outstanding 5 days 6 days 5/7

Income Statement

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.01B $4.20B 12/14
Net Income $291M $291M 7/13
SG&A Expense $224M $499M 10/11
Cost of Goods Sold $1.39B $3.53B 6/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGRBKIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.08 – –
Payout Ratio 1.2% 17.2% 7/7
Shares Outstanding 43M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$132M5.2% of assets
Accounts Receivable$28M1.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$562M22.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GRBK quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Green Brick Partners, Inc. (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.65B 9.1x 1.3x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $37.89B 12.4x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $20.92B 11.0x 1.6x
NVR Nvr Inc ▶ $15.45B 13.5x 4.6x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.22B 10.2x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▲ $6.04B 23.8x 7.8x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.80B 11.5x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.0x 1.0x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.59B – 0.7x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.58B 11.8x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.05B 15.9x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M – 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $846M 5.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $620M – 0.8x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▲ $496M – 6.2x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $1M – –

Where GRBK sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock news

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FAQ

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) stock forecast?

On Oct. 14, 2026, GRBK is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5379 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Green Brick Partners, Inc. stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for GRBK is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Green Brick Partners, Inc. forecasts updated?

Green Brick Partners, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Green Brick Partners, Inc.'s industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, GRBK included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.