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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-14

Nvr Inc (NVR) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5379 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D n/a No per-ticker sample yet
Market Cap $15.45B large-cap · #3 of 17 peers
Summary

Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Nvr Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Nvr Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $15.45B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 33.7% is the highest of the 13 peers that report one.

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.6% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-13 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NVR included.

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Price

NVR price chart and AI forecast

NVR
Cross-section · 2026-10-13

How NVR ranks among 5379 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals

Nvr Inc (NVR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $15.45B $2.59B 3/17
P/E Ratio 13.54x 11.53x 3/11
P/B Ratio 4.56x 0.99x 3/15
EPS $384.90 – –
Book Value/Share $1272.56 – –
Revenue/Share $3576.00 – –
FCF/Share $392.67 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
ROE 33.7% 10.2% 1/13
ROA 20.9% 6.9% 1/14
Net Margin 12.0% 7.1% 2/12

Financial Health

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.61x 0.77x 10/16
Financial Leverage 1.61x 1.77x 10/16

Cash Flow

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.07B $190M 4/16
Free Cash Flow $1.05B $196M 4/15
Capital Spending -$20M -$23M 5/15
OCF Growth YoY -13.9% 13.9% 8/10
FCF Growth YoY -13.4% 14.9% 8/10
FCF/Sales 11.0% 6.4% 1/14
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 0.6% 13/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.74x 0.89x 2/14

Income Statement

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $9.53B $4.20B 4/14
Net Income $1.14B $291M 4/13

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNVRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 3M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.20B21.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.08B38.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NVR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Operative Builders

Nvr Inc (NVR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nvr Inc (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NVR Nvr Inc ▲ $15.45B 13.5x 4.6x
DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ ▶ $37.89B 12.4x 1.6x
PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ ▶ $20.92B 11.0x 1.6x
TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. ▶ $12.22B 10.2x 1.4x
ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. ▶ $6.04B 23.8x 7.8x
MTH Meritage Homes Corp ▶ $3.80B 11.5x 0.8x
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. ▶ $3.19B 10.0x 1.0x
GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. ▶ $2.65B 9.1x 1.3x
KBH Kb Home ▲ $2.59B – 0.7x
CCS Century Communities, Inc. ▶ $1.58B 11.8x 0.6x
LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. ▲ $1.05B 15.9x 0.5x
BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc ▼ $892M – 0.8x
DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. ▲ $846M 5.8x 0.6x
HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc ▲ $620M – 0.8x
SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ▲ $496M – 6.2x
VNJA Vanjia Corp ▼ $165M – –
DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. ▼ $1M – –

Where NVR sits on the market map

Real Estate & Construction · Operative Builders
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News

Nvr Inc (NVR) stock news

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FAQ

Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nvr Inc (NVR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Nvr Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Nvr Inc stock predictions?

A per-ticker accuracy statistic for NVR is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nvr Inc forecasts updated?

Nvr Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.

Which companies are Nvr Inc's industry peers?

17 issuers in our coverage, NVR included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.