Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 14, 2026, PHM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $20.92B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PHM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.2%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
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How PHM ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $20.92B | 2/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 10.97x | 7/11 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.61x | 4/15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.90% | 5/7 |
| EPS | $9.79 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $69.42 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $87.53 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.07 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 14.7% | 4/13 |
| ROA | 10.4% | 4/14 |
| Gross Margin | 28.2% | 3/10 |
| Net Margin | 11.6% | 3/12 |
Financial Health
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 0.40x | 14/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.40x | 14/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $1.63B | 2/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.51B | 2/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$114M | 14/15 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 12.5% | 6/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 14.8% | 6/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 9.2% | 4/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.7% | 7/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.90x | 7/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $16.41B | 2/14 |
| Net Income | $1.91B | 2/13 |
| SG&A Expense | $1.55B | 2/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $11.78B | 2/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | PHM | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.01 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 10.3% | 5/7 |
| Shares Outstanding | 187M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.34B | 7.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.25B | 28.8% of assets |
PHM quarterly financials and insider trading
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | ▶ | $20.92B |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | ▶ | $37.89B |
| NVR Nvr Inc | ▲ | $15.45B |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | ▶ | $12.22B |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | ▶ | $6.04B |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | ▶ | $3.80B |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | ▶ | $3.19B |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| KBH Kb Home | ▲ | $2.59B |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $1.05B |
| BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc | ▼ | $892M |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $846M |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | ▲ | $620M |
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | ▲ | $512M |
| VNJA Vanjia Corp | ▼ | $165M |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | ▼ | $1M |
Where PHM sits on the market map
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) stock news
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Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM) stock forecast?
On Oct. 14, 2026, PHM is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4004 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for PHM is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ forecasts updated?
Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Pultegroup Inc/Mi/'s industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, PHM included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH), M/I Homes, Inc. (MHO).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.