Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Stock Forecast Oct. 14, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 14, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Smith Douglas Homes Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $512M. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 17 Operative Builders issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SDHC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.3%, buy ≥ +0.5%, sell < -0.6%, strong sell < -1.7% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-14 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SDHC included.
Follow SDHC freeSDHC price chart and AI forecast
How SDHC ranks among 4004 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Operative Builders peers listed below that report each metric.
Reported net income does not reconcile with earnings per share and the share count, so net-income-based ratios are withheld.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $512M | 15/17 |
| P/B Ratio | 6.45x | 2/15 |
| EPS | $0.96 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $1.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $19.71 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.67 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 19.4% | 7/10 |
| EBT Margin | 4.0% | 10/12 |
| Tax Rate | 3.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 2.00x | 2/16 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.45x | 1/16 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $37M | 13/16 |
| Free Cash Flow | $34M | 12/15 |
| Capital Spending | -$4M | 2/15 |
| FCF/Sales | 3.4% | 10/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.3% | 10/14 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.69x | 3/14 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 108.8x | 3/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $1.00B | 14/14 |
| SG&A Expense | $150M | 11/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $807M | 8/8 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SDHC | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 51M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $14M | 6.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $159M | 66.7% of assets |
SDHC quarterly financials and insider trading
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (Operative Builders): 17 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. | ▲ | $512M |
| DHI Horton D R Inc /De/ | ▲ | $37.89B |
| PHM Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ | ▶ | $20.92B |
| NVR Nvr Inc | ▲ | $15.45B |
| TOL Toll Brothers, Inc. | ▶ | $12.22B |
| ECG Everus Construction Group, Inc. | ▶ | $6.04B |
| MTH Meritage Homes Corp | ▶ | $3.80B |
| MHO M/I Homes, Inc. | ▶ | $3.19B |
| GRBK Green Brick Partners, Inc. | ▶ | $2.65B |
| KBH Kb Home | ▲ | $2.59B |
| CCS Century Communities, Inc. | ▶ | $1.58B |
| LGIH Lgi Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $1.05B |
| BZH Beazer Homes Usa Inc | ▼ | $892M |
| DFH Dream Finders Homes, Inc. | ▲ | $846M |
| HOV Hovnanian Enterprises Inc | ▲ | $620M |
| VNJA Vanjia Corp | ▼ | $165M |
| DREM Dream Homes & Development Corp. | ▼ | $1M |
Where SDHC sits on the market map
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock news
Loading...
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Smith Douglas Homes Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Smith Douglas Homes Corp. stock predictions?
A per-ticker accuracy statistic for SDHC is published only once its sample size is known. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4537 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-06-09 produced a positive net return in 73.7% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Smith Douglas Homes Corp. forecasts updated?
Smith Douglas Homes Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 14, 2026.
Which companies are Smith Douglas Homes Corp.'s industry peers?
17 issuers in our coverage, SDHC included, share the SEC industry code Operative Builders. The largest are: Horton D R Inc /De/ (DHI), Pultegroup Inc/Mi/ (PHM), Nvr Inc (NVR), Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL), Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG), Meritage Homes Corp (MTH).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.