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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-15

Shell Plc (SHEL) Stock Forecast Oct. 15, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 15, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5111 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -9.0% Spearman, 326 dates
Market Cap $299.02B mega-cap · #1 of 60 peers
Summary

Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Shell Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Shell Plc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $299.02B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 60 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SHEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 326 forecast dates between 2023-03-09 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 368 forecast dates between 2023-03-09 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.4%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.4% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-15 signals)

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Price

SHEL price chart and AI forecast

SHEL
Cross-section · 2026-10-15

How SHEL ranks among 5111 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Shell Plc (SHEL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $299.02B $3.64B 1/60
Revenue/Share $239.38 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
ROE 23.5% 14.4% 8/30
ROA 11.1% 8.8% 12/33
Net Margin 5.9% 19.9% 26/33
EBT Margin 10.6% 17.6% 29/47
Tax Rate 42.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.30x 0.95x 18/54
Quick Ratio 1.03x 0.78x 10/24
D/E Ratio 1.12x 1.01x 20/48
Financial Leverage 2.12x 1.98x 17/42
Working Capital $24.76B -$46M 1/54

Cash Flow

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $123.00B $857M 1/52
OCF Growth YoY -21.4% 12.2% 44/47

Operational Efficiency

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.87x 0.38x 3/43
Receivables Turnover 15.5x 8.6x 9/42
Days Sales Outstanding 24 days 42 days 34/42

Income Statement

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $691.07B $1.98B 1/51
Net Income $41.05B $496M 2/35
R&D Expense $2.81B – –
SG&A Expense $31.22B $299M 1/9

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSHELIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 2887M – –
Net Income Growth -50.5% 16.7% 22/26

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$107.17B
Cash & Short-term Investments$30.22B
Accounts Receivable$44.60B
Inventory$22.22B
Total Liabilities$195.03B
Short-term Debt$24.64B
Quarterly Financial Reports

SHEL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Shell Plc (SHEL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Shell Plc (Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SHEL Shell Plc ▼ $299.02B – –
TTE Totalenergies Se ▼ $197.80B – –
PBR Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa ▶ $167.17B – –
CNQ Canadian Natural Resources Ltd ▼ $108.14B 2.9x –
E Eni Spa ▼ $94.78B – –
EOG Eog Resources Inc ▶ $80.88B 12.0x 2.5x
OXY Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ ▼ $61.39B 8.5x 1.5x
CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. ▶ $60.21B 9.0x –
FANG Diamondback Energy, Inc. ▲ $55.31B 38.2x 1.5x
DVN Devon Energy Corp/De ▼ $54.91B 10.0x 3.6x
WDS Woodside Energy Group Ltd ▶ $43.84B – –
EC Ecopetrol S.A. ▶ $36.80B – –
EQT Eqt Corp ▼ $33.00B 11.2x 2.2x
EXE Expand Energy Corp ▼ $21.70B 7.9x –
PR Permian Resources Corp ▶ $20.15B 12.5x 1.8x
OVV Ovintiv Inc. ▶ $18.39B 23.3x 1.6x
APA Apa Corp ▼ $16.55B 8.3x 2.4x
AR Antero Resources Corp ▼ $11.20B 8.8x 1.4x
RRC Range Resources Corp ▶ $9.78B 10.4x 2.1x
SM Sm Energy Co ▼ $9.09B 9.1x 1.2x
CHRD Chord Energy Corp ▶ $8.11B 9.9x 1.0x
MTDR Matador Resources Co ▼ $6.83B 9.0x 1.2x
MGY Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp ▶ $5.89B 14.2x 2.7x
MUR Murphy Oil Corp ▶ $5.64B 18.3x 1.1x
CRGY Crescent Energy Co ▲ $5.13B 97.5x 1.0x
CNX Cnx Resources Corp ▶ $5.12B 5.5x 1.1x
CRC California Resources Corp ▶ $4.45B – 1.3x
PARR Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.44B 5.4x 15.2x
CRK Comstock Resources Inc ▶ $3.96B 13.2x 1.5x
HESM Hess Midstream Lp ▲ $3.93B 10.5x –
BSM Black Stone Minerals, L.P. ▼ $3.34B 13.0x –
GPOR Gulfport Energy Corp ▼ $2.93B 6.4x 1.6x
TALO Talos Energy Inc. ▲ $2.84B – 2.4x
NOG Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. ▶ $2.80B – 1.4x
BKV Bkv Corp ▶ $2.44B 15.7x 1.1x
VET Vermilion Energy Inc. ▶ $1.90B – –
MNR Mach Natural Resources Lp ▶ $1.82B 12.0x –
KRP Kimbell Royalty Partners, Lp ▼ $1.77B 21.5x –
KOS Kosmos Energy Ltd. ▲ $1.61B – 3.1x
GFR Greenfire Resources Ltd. ▲ $1.58B – –
DMLP Dorchester Minerals, L.P. ▼ $1.47B 16.9x –
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. ▲ $1.29B – 1.2x
DEC Diversified Energy Co ▶ $1.04B – 1.1x
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ▼ $1.03B 8.4x 1.6x
TBN Tamboran Resources Corp ▲ $1000M – 1.2x
INR Infinity Natural Resources, Inc. ▶ $809M 4.7x 2.0x
TXO Txo Partners, L.P. ▲ $790M – –
TTI Tetra Technologies Inc ▲ $789M – 1.9x
OBE Obsidian Energy Ltd. ▲ $774M 1.9x –
GPRK Geopark Ltd ▶ $750M 1.5x –
VTS Vitesse Energy, Inc. ▶ $734M – 1.2x
GRNT Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. ▲ $652M 22.5x 1.2x
SOC Sable Offshore Corp. ▼ $645M – 1.6x
EGY Vaalco Energy Inc /De/ ▲ $637M – 1.7x
WTI W&T Offshore Inc ▲ $551M – –
SD Sandridge Energy Inc ▲ $521M 6.3x 1.0x
GTE Gran Tierra Energy Inc. ▶ $380M – 2.9x
NUAI New Era Energy & Digital, Inc. ▶ $363M – 2.6x
REI Ring Energy, Inc. ▲ $344M – 0.5x
PNRG Primeenergy Resources Corp ▼ $336M 20.7x 1.5x

Where SHEL sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
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News

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FAQ

Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Shell Plc (SHEL) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Shell Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Shell Plc stock predictions?

For SHEL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -9.0%, measured on 326 forecast dates between 2023-03-09 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 368 forecast dates between 2023-03-09 and 2026-09-15. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Shell Plc forecasts updated?

Shell Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 15, 2026.

Which companies are Shell Plc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, SHEL included, share the SEC industry code Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas. The largest are: Totalenergies Se (TTE), Petrobras - Petroleo Brasileiro Sa (PBR), Canadian Natural Resources Ltd (CNQ), Eni Spa (E), Eog Resources Inc (EOG), Occidental Petroleum Corp /De/ (OXY).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.