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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-03

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) Stock Forecast Nov. 3, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 3, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage of 4891 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 41.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $3.06B mid-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Sps Commerce Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Sps Commerce Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.06B. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 Services-Prepackaged Software issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SPSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.7%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-30 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, SPSC included.

Price

SPSC price chart and AI forecast

SPSC
Cross-section · 2026-10-30

How SPSC ranks among 4891 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Prepackaged Software peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $3.06B $15.44B 60/60
P/E Ratio 40.13x 35.64x 18/40
P/B Ratio 3.28x 7.54x 46/51
EPS $2.12 – –
Book Value/Share $25.91 – –
Revenue/Share $21.67 – –
FCF/Share $5.63 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.9% 14.8% 30/46
ROA 7.3% 7.0% 24/48
ROIC 11.0% 7.4% 22/54
Gross Margin 70.2% 75.2% 39/56
Operating Margin 13.8% 9.4% 25/59
Net Margin 10.7% 14.3% 31/50
EBT Margin 14.6% 12.2% 27/59
Tax Rate 26.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 2.25x 1.55x 16/57
D/E Ratio 0.21x 0.77x 47/52
Financial Leverage 1.21x 1.78x 46/51
Interest Coverage 112.0x 10.5x 7/46
Working Capital $193M $541M 41/57

Cash Flow

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $232M $648M 51/59
Free Cash Flow $203M $453M 43/50
Capital Spending -$29M -$24M 29/50
OCF Growth YoY 33.5% 28.9% 22/52
FCF Growth YoY 36.5% 26.3% 13/43
FCF/Sales 26.0% 26.0% 25/50
CapEx/Sales 3.7% 1.0% 7/50

Operational Efficiency

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.69x 0.58x 14/50
Receivables Turnover 11.8x 6.4x 12/50
Fixed Assets Turnover 17.8x 29.7x 32/49
Days Sales Outstanding 31 days 57 days 39/50
Payables Period 16 days 24 days 37/53

Income Statement

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $780M $2.51B 51/53
Operating Income $108M $205M 36/59
Net Income $83M $293M 34/50
R&D Expense $68M $474M 59/59
SG&A Expense $449M $1.60B 53/58
Cost of Goods Sold $232M $514M 54/57

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSPSCIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 36M – –
Net Income Growth -2.3% 18.6% 26/32
EPS Growth -18.8% 22.2% 32/37

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$347M30.6% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$154M13.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$66M5.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$200M17.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$144M12.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SPSC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Prepackaged Software

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sps Commerce Inc (Services-Prepackaged Software): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SPSC Sps Commerce Inc $3.06B 40.1x 3.3x
MSFT Microsoft Corp $3.87T 27.2x 8.2x
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. $428.53B 196.0x 43.8x
ORCL Oracle Corp $360.49B 18.7x 5.4x
SAP Sap Se $287.00B 13.0x –
CRWD Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. $250.54B 2718.7x –
SHOP Shopify Inc. $201.00B 110.8x 15.9x
CRM Salesforce, Inc. $182.87B 20.3x 5.3x
NET Cloudflare, Inc. $98.68B – 60.9x
ADBE Adobe Inc. $95.80B 13.7x 8.1x
SNPS Synopsys Inc $89.32B 88.3x 2.9x
CDNS Cadence Design Systems Inc $88.83B 64.4x 12.9x
DDOG Datadog, Inc. $84.48B 560.2x 19.3x
NTES Netease, Inc. $73.99B – –
ADSK Autodesk, Inc. $52.73B 30.0x 15.6x
VEEV Veeva Systems Inc $49.71B 50.3x 6.7x
TEAM Atlassian Corp $47.36B – 44.7x
XYZ Block, Inc. $45.79B 55.2x 2.1x
OKTA Okta, Inc. $36.40B 131.0x 5.2x
TTWO Take Two Interactive Software Inc $35.92B – 10.0x
TWLO Twilio Inc $31.88B 27.1x 3.5x
RBLX Roblox Corp $30.71B – –
CRWV Coreweave, Inc. $29.64B – 5.9x
MDB Mongodb, Inc. $27.02B – 9.1x
RBRK Rubrik, Inc. $23.77B – –
PTC Ptc Inc. $21.22B 17.9x 6.1x
SSNC Ss&C Technologies Holdings Inc $19.14B 24.0x 2.9x
GEN Gen Digital Inc. $17.63B 16.2x 6.4x
NTNX Nutanix, Inc. $17.50B 12.5x –
TYL Tyler Technologies Inc $16.15B 49.7x 5.8x
CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd $16.06B 12.4x 5.6x
MANH Manhattan Associates Inc $14.81B 70.9x 73.8x
DT Dynatrace, Inc. $13.59B 81.1x 6.0x
GWRE Guidewire Software, Inc. $13.20B 98.8x 11.1x
BSY Bentley Systems Inc $12.36B 46.5x 10.3x
PAYC Paycom Software, Inc. $11.99B 28.3x 21.0x
HUBS Hubspot Inc $11.28B 127.1x 6.8x
FIG Figma, Inc. $11.21B – 7.6x
SAIL Sailpoint, Inc. $10.96B – 1.6x
FROG Jfrog Ltd $10.91B – 11.4x
ESTC Elastic N.V. $10.21B 27.8x 7.9x
PCOR Procore Technologies, Inc. $9.33B – 7.3x
PCTY Paylocity Holding Corp $9.24B 35.4x 7.6x
NTSK Netskope Inc $8.92B – 56.9x
GTLB Gitlab Inc. $8.72B – 9.4x
DBX Dropbox, Inc. $8.18B 19.8x –
S Sentinelone, Inc. $8.06B – 5.6x
APPF Appfolio Inc $7.93B 40.0x 13.6x
TTAN Servicetitan, Inc. $7.91B – –
DSGX Descartes Systems Group Inc $7.84B 26.0x 4.8x
ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp. $7.51B – 8.1x
QLYS Qualys, Inc. $7.18B 35.9x 12.8x
GLBE Global-E Online Ltd. $7.03B – 7.5x
PATH Uipath, Inc. $6.95B 22.6x 3.6x
CVLT Commvault Systems Inc $6.59B 83.0x 525.5x
NICE Nice Ltd. $6.42B 16.7x 1.7x
NAVN Navan, Inc. $6.17B – 4.7x
DUOL Duolingo, Inc. $6.16B 15.8x 4.4x
BOX Box Inc $5.90B 69.4x –
KVYO Klaviyo, Inc. $5.73B – 5.9x

Where SPSC sits on the market map

Technology · Services-Prepackaged Software
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News

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock news

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FAQ

Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Sps Commerce Inc (SPSC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Sps Commerce Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Sps Commerce Inc stock predictions?

For SPSC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 41.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-08-05 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-16 and 2026-10-02. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Sps Commerce Inc forecasts updated?

Sps Commerce Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 3, 2026.

Which companies are Sps Commerce Inc's industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, SPSC included, share the SEC industry code Services-Prepackaged Software. The largest are: Microsoft Corp (MSFT), Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Sap Se (SAP), Crowdstrike Holdings, Inc. (CRWD), Shopify Inc. (SHOP).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.